Arm Holdings PLC (NASDAQ:ARM) stock is up 2.8% to trade at $131.72 today. The chipmaker is building off yesterday's 3.5% pop that stemmed from a price-target hike from BofA Global Research to $140 from $135. Thanks to a 20% year-to-date gain and bounce off $100, the stock has cleared a key trendline with bullish implications. The trendline in question is Arm's 80-day moving average. Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, this “crossover” event has happened two other times during the last t ...

Source: BenzingaBut beneath the surface, a powerful positioning imbalance is quietly building.40% Short Interest Creates A Structural Pressure PointMore than 135 million ImmunityBio shares are currently sold short, representing over 40% of its float. That's an unusually high level — and one that creates structural risk for bearish investors if the stock continues rising.Short sellers eventually must buy back shares to close positions. When prices rise rapidly, that process can accelerate, forcing additional ...

Shares of Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:OPEN) are surging 15.5% to trade at $5.37, gapping higher after the real estate name posted an impressive Q4 revenue of $736 million, surpassing expectations of $594. The company said it expected to hit "net income positive" by the end of the year, as per a "12-month go-forward basis." Opendoor also reported a narrower-than-expected quarterly loss of $0.07 per share. Today's bull gap has the stock eyeing a third-straight pop, its highest close in nearly a month, a ...

Group 1 - Under Armour has a high short interest of approximately 33.4% of its float, indicating significant negative sentiment among investors [2][3] - The company reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results on February 6, exceeding expectations and prompting a reassessment of its stock [2][7] - Following the earnings report, Under Armour's stock surged by 19.4%, reaching a new 52-week high of $7.70, but later faced a decline after Citigroup downgraded the stock from "Neutral" to "Sell" [3] Group 2 - Under Armour, based in Baltimore, Maryland, specializes in athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories, with a market capitalization of approximately $2.9 billion [4] - The stock has shown a significant upward trend, increasing by 39.34% over the past six months and 48.8% over the last three months, despite a modest 2.87% rise over the last 52 weeks [5] - Valuation-wise, Under Armour's shares are trading at 0.60 times sales, which is below the industry average and its own five-year historical multiple, potentially attracting value-oriented investors [6]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin is experiencing a significant price correction, having dropped nearly 45% from its October 2025 peak of $126,210, now stabilizing around $68,500, indicating a shift in market dynamics as it matures into a macro-sensitive asset [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Analysts are considering two frameworks: a short-term technical rebound due to trapped bearish bets and a long-term view influenced by tightening liquidity and high interest rates, which will affect investment strategies [2] - Prediction markets show a 44% probability that Bitcoin will rally to $84,000, a notable increase from 24.8% just last week, indicating a shift towards bullish sentiment [3] - In contrast, Ethereum has only a 30% chance of rising to $3,000, reflecting skepticism towards altcoins [4] Group 2: Potential for Rebound - Some analysts suggest that a short squeeze could drive an immediate rebound, as overcrowded bearish positions may lead to a sharp upside movement [5] - The expectation is that as Bitcoin's price stabilizes, a "pain trade" could occur where trapped shorts are forced to cover, potentially leading to a rapid price increase [6] - Market structure indicators, such as whale accumulation and the percentage of supply in profit, suggest that the sell-off may be slowing down [6]

Core Insights - Deep Sail Capital reported a net return of 14.2% in Q4 2025, with a total return of 34.8% for the year, outperforming both the Russell 2000 Mid Cap Growth Index and the Russell 2000 Index by over 10% [1] Fund Performance - The Fund had an average long exposure of 84% in Q4 2025 and 82% for the entire year [1] - Both long and short portfolios contributed positively to the Fund's performance in Q4 [1] Company Focus: Beyond Meat, Inc. - Beyond Meat, Inc. (NASDAQ:BYND) is highlighted as a significant contributor to the Fund's performance, with a remarkable return of 350% during a short squeeze in Q4 [3] - As of February 4, 2026, Beyond Meat's stock closed at $0.71, reflecting a -31.27% return in the past month and an 81.99% decline over the past year, with a market capitalization of $321.309 million [2] - Beyond Meat is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 10 hedge fund portfolios holding the stock at the end of Q3, unchanged from the previous quarter [4] Investment Perspective - While Beyond Meat is recognized for its potential, the company is viewed as having less upside compared to certain AI stocks, which are considered to carry less downside risk [4]

Group 1 - FuboTV (NYSE:FUBO) is a virtual Multichannel Video Programming Distributor (vMVPD) offering streaming services, including live sports, news, and entertainment [1] - Seaport Global has set a price target of $3 for FuboTV, indicating a potential upside of about 85.19% from its current trading price of $1.62 [1][6] - The company has received a Buy rating, highlighting strong growth potential, particularly following its merger with Disney's Hulu + Live TV segment, which is expected to enhance market presence [2][6] Group 2 - Short interest in FuboTV has increased to 18.1% year-to-date, with a 30-day average short volume of around 39%, suggesting the potential for a short squeeze that could drive the stock price higher [3][6] - FuboTV's current trading price is $1.62, having decreased by 8.47% today, with a trading range between $1.56 and $1.78 [4] - The company's market capitalization is approximately $571.4 million, with a trading volume of 24.36 million shares, indicating significant investor interest [5]

Core Viewpoint - The potential for a short squeeze in US Treasuries is emerging, driven by various economic factors and market dynamics, which could lead to significant price movements in the bond market. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Shorting US Treasuries is considered risky, akin to historical short plays against sovereign currencies, with the US Treasury bond being a benchmark for fixed income since post-WW II [1][2] - The current short position in US Treasury futures is at 1.97 million contracts, marking one of the most crowded positions in history for long bonds [4] - The total ETF short interest stands at approximately $12.4 billion, indicating substantial bearish sentiment in the market [4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Long bond yields have risen to around 4.85%, influenced by inflationary pressures and currency debasement, prompting traders to short Treasury bonds [3] - Inflation peaked at 9.0% in June 2022, leading to increased short positions as traders anticipated lower prices and higher yields [3] - China has reduced its holdings of US Treasuries to $682.6 billion as of November 2025, down from a peak of $1.32 trillion in 2013, reflecting a long-term diversification strategy [3] Group 3: Potential Market Movements - Economists predict a potential move of 25-50 basis points in the near term, with the possibility of even larger daily movements if short coverage becomes panicky [5] - The $12.6 trillion Repo market could trigger significant price movements as shorts may need to cover positions before a price surge [8] - Recent Treasury auctions have performed above expectations, indicating strong demand despite the crowded short positions [4]

Group 1: Market Trends - Silver prices have surged over 5% to exceed $108 per ounce, reaching all-time highs due to strong safe-haven and investment demand, alongside tightness in the physical market [1] - The Bloomberg Commodity Index experienced its strongest weekly gain since February 2022, increasing by 5.3%, with silver up 260% and gold up 85% over the past year [3] - A historic short squeeze and robust retail buying have contributed to the rise in silver prices, while industrial demand from sectors like solar and electrification has tightened the physical market [4] Group 2: Company Performance - Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation controls one of the world's larger gold-silver deposits through its 64,000-acre Hycroft Mine [5] - The company's stock has increased over 2,400% in the past year, rising from a 52-week low just above $2 [5] - As of the latest data, Hycroft shares traded at $54.02, reflecting an increase of $3.32 or 6.55% [5]

Core Viewpoint - The natural gas market is experiencing significant volatility due to a cold weather event, reminiscent of the polar vortex in 2018, which has led to a substantial impact on production and prices. Group 1: Market Conditions - The current cold weather has frozen off about 10% of natural gas production, coinciding with record demand levels [2] - The market is reacting strongly to this disruption, with cash market prices reaching $20 and $60 in the Northeast [4] - There is uncertainty regarding the duration of the cold weather and its impact on stock levels, raising concerns about potential shortages [4][7] Group 2: Price Dynamics - A parabolic move in natural gas prices has been observed, with discussions around a potential short squeeze affecting market dynamics [5] - The energy complex may see a repricing of natural gas if the cold weather persists, which could lead to higher prices throughout the year [9] Group 3: Broader Implications - The volatility in natural gas prices is expected to ripple into the power markets, as gas generation is a critical component of electricity supply [6] - There are concerns about the ability to refill storage in the summer, which could exacerbate supply issues [7][8] - Energy producers and infrastructure players are positioned to benefit from the current market conditions, particularly those less hedged against price increases [8]