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Planet Labs: A $1.5 Trillion Catalyst Could Force Another Rerate
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-21 14:18
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - Stocks are screened based on recent sell-offs, with a preference for those where insiders have purchased shares post-decline [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who buy shares after sell-offs [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to aid in analysis [1]
Blackstone Mortgage Trust: Stabilization Achieved, Risks Still Linger (NYSE:BXMT)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-20 10:26
Core Insights - The article emphasizes a strategy that combines technical analysis with the CAN SLIM method to identify high-growth, underanalyzed micro-cap companies [1] - The focus is on financial trends, profit growth, and institutional capital accumulation to uncover stocks with significant upside potential [1] - The research approach integrates both fundamental and technical analysis, allowing for the identification of strong growth stocks before they gain widespread attention [1] Financial Trends - Key indicators prioritized include relative strength, trading volume shifts, and accelerating profit growth, which help pinpoint stocks with the highest potential [1] - The integration of Forex trading experience aids in understanding price movements, market volatility, and sentiment-driven trends [1] Research and Analysis - Writing for Seeking Alpha is described as an integral part of the investment process, allowing for the refinement of strategies and testing of investment theses [1] - The aim is to deliver in-depth company analyses focusing on stocks with strong growth trends, improving fundamentals, and technical setups that signal potential breakouts [1] Market Engagement - The structured research approach is intended to enhance market understanding and provide actionable investment insights [1]
"Damage Already Done" to MSFT? Sell-Off Presents New Mag 7 Opportunity
Youtube· 2026-02-19 19:00
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft has experienced a significant decline of nearly 30% from its all-time high reached last summer, indicating a challenging year for the company so far [1]. Technical Analysis - The current trading analysis shows resistance at the $400 mark and support levels around $398 and $387, with recent trading indicating a bounce off a diagonal downtrend line [3][4]. - Positive momentum is observed in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting potential upward movement if the stock can approach the $400 resistance again [5][10]. - The stock is currently trading near levels similar to those seen a year ago, around the $395 to $399 range, which could indicate a potential for a bounce [8]. - There is a possibility of a double bottom formation at the $395 level, with resistance levels at $400 and $425 [9]. Market Sentiment - The implied volatility in the options market remains high, reflecting ongoing uncertainty regarding Microsoft's stock performance [11]. - The stock's performance is being compared to its historical context, with some analysts suggesting that the recent sell-off may have been overdone [14]. Investment Strategy - A bullish strategy is proposed involving a diagonal call spread, buying the at-the-money $400 call and selling a $415 call expiring on February 27, with a debit of approximately $10.15 [19][20]. - The expected move for the stock is around $15, which aligns with the anticipated volatility [23]. - This strategy allows for capital efficiency, enabling investors to control a significant amount of deltas in Microsoft without the need for a large capital outlay [25][26].
Why Are FuboTV Shares Sliding On Thursday? - FuboTV (NYSE:FUBO)
Benzinga· 2026-02-19 18:23
Shares of FuboTV Inc. (NYSE:FUBO) are declining on Thursday, caught in a broader market environment where major indices are trading lower. While the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down 0.68% and the S&P 500 is down 0.66% in recent trading, the sports-first streamer is significantly underperforming its sector.The CatalystFuboTV's current downturn aligns with continued pressure following its first-quarter 2026 financial report. Despite reporting a revenue beat of $1.55 billion against analyst expectations of $1.10 bill ...
Avis Budget Group: A Broad Q4 Miss, A Big Impairment, And A Familiar Outcome (NASDAQ:CAR)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-19 18:15
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Avis Budget Group: A Broad Q4 Miss, A Big Impairment, And A Familiar Outcome
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-19 18:15
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Super Micro Computer: Margins May Expand This Year (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-19 12:47
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly those influenced by non-recurrent events, to identify potential buying opportunities [1] - Insider buying at lower prices serves as a key indicator for selecting stocks, reflecting confidence from company executives [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and assess motivations [1]
What Options Say About Palantir For The Intermediate-Term (Technical Analysis)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-19 09:39
Core Viewpoint - Michael James McDonald is a stock market forecaster and author who emphasizes the importance of contrary opinion and investor sentiment in predicting market trends [1] Group 1: Background and Publications - McDonald served as Senior Vice President of Investments at Morgan Stanley and has been a long-term advocate for measuring investor sentiment [1] - His first book, "A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market," was published in July 2000, predicting the end of the 18-year bull market and the onset of a trading range market [1] - A second book, "Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis," was published in 2002 [1] Group 2: Market Predictions - On August 31, 2010, McDonald declared the end of a ten-year trading range market and the beginning of a new long-term bull market [1] - He notes that emotions of fear and greed can drive 50% or more of a stock's price, highlighting the significance of investor expectations [1] Group 3: Sentiment Analysis - McDonald has developed metrics to measure when too many investors have similar expectations, which can indicate potential market reversals [1] - Through his company, the Sentiment King, he continues to analyze investor psychology to forecast major stock trends [1]
Nebius Stock Jumps After Buy Rating And $150 Target
Benzinga· 2026-02-18 20:37
Group 1 - Nebius Group NV (NASDAQ:NBIS) shares are experiencing an increase following Compass Point's initiation of coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $150, indicating significant upside potential from the current price of approximately $97.52 [1] - The company underwent a corporate transformation after divesting its Russia-based operations, completing the process in mid-2024, which was valued at around $5.4 billion and generated $2.8 billion in cash proceeds [2] - Despite positive analyst sentiment, Nebius reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that fell short of expectations, with revenue of $227.7 billion compared to a projected $247.5 billion, reflecting an 8% downside surprise [3] Group 2 - The technical outlook for Nebius shows a strong setup, trading above key moving averages, particularly the 200-day SMA, although the 20-day SMA is below the 50-day SMA, indicating potential short-term bearish pressure [4] - The stock's RSI is at 54.12, suggesting a neutral position without immediate overbought or oversold conditions, while the MACD indicates bullish momentum, hinting at possible continued upward movement [5] - Key support for the stock is identified at $83.00, with resistance at $110.50; a bounce back could occur if the stock approaches support, while a breach of resistance may signal a continuation of the upward trend [6] Group 3 - Over the past 12 months, Nebius's stock has shown strong performance, gaining 108.25%, reflecting a solid upward trajectory, although vigilance for signs of reversal or consolidation is advised [6] - The stock is currently positioned at 66.6% of its 52-week range, indicating it is closer to the highs than the lows, which suggests strong market sentiment but also potential for pullbacks as it approaches resistance levels [7] - At the time of publication, Nebius shares were up 3.36% at $100.80, indicating positive market activity [7]
Bitmine Immersion: Ethereum's Biggest Public Whale
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-18 18:11
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly those influenced by non-recurrent events, to identify potential buying opportunities [1] - Insider buying at lower prices serves as a key indicator for selecting stocks, reflecting confidence from company executives [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]