Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson on Monday said he sees increased downside risks to employment, though repeated his view that policymakers need to proceed slowly as interest rates approach neutral https://t.co/KW8HHgQAG5 ...

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran on Wednesday described data that showed employment at US companies increased in October as “a welcome surprise,” though he reiterated interest rates need to be lower https://t.co/FgXF2BVrdR ...

Friday's cooler thanex expected CPI print is boosting expectations for the Fed to trim rates by a quarter point at this week's meeting. Joining us right now is former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. She's also a CNBC contributor.And Loretta, what do you think. The the numbers were a little weaker than anticipated, but you're still looking at uh inflation up better than 3% on a year-over-year basis. >> Yeah, Becky, thanks.Good morning. You're you're exactly right. If you looked at the headlines comin ...

Federal Reserve Policy - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell below 4%, reaching its lowest level since September 17th [1] - Fed Chair Powell suggested, but did not explicitly state, that rate cuts are likely to continue [3] - The Fed judged it appropriate to take another step toward a more neutral policy stance at its September meeting [4] - Powell indicated the Fed might soon halt the reduction of its balance sheet (QT) due to signs of tightening liquidity conditions [6] - Powell's comments did not decisively endorse future rate cuts, but he also did not push back against market expectations for two cuts this year [8] Economic Outlook - Rising downside risks to employment have shifted the Fed's assessment of the balance of risks [4] - Data suggests higher downside risks for employment and inflation, primarily due to tariffs rather than a broader inflation issue [5] - Prior to the shutdown, data indicated the economy was on a firmer growth path [5] - The Fed is monitoring liquidity conditions, including repo rates [6] Market Observations - The market reacted positively to Powell's comments regarding the potential halt of balance sheet reduction [6] - The market firmly expects two rate cuts this year [8]

Meanwhile, some newly released minutes from last month's Federal Reserve meeting showing officials strongly inclined to lower interest rates with the only dispute seeming to be over how many cuts were coming this year. That's two or potentially as many as three. The Fed deciding on September 17th to lower interest rates by 25 basis points.Joining us right now to talk treasuries and rates is Kamal Shri Kumar. He's the president of Shri Kumar Global Strategies. Would you be lowering rates twice, three times l ...

Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams supported further interest-rate cuts this year [1] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring US employment [1]

Monetary Policy Stance - The Federal Reserve (Fed) officials initially agreed on further easing after a quarter-point interest rate cut, though some expressed caution [1] - The Fed's decision to cut rates was influenced by a perceived shift in the balance of risks, with downside risks to employment increasing and inflation risks either diminishing or remaining unchanged [2] - A balanced approach is needed when addressing employment and inflation, focusing on the side of the mandate that is further from the goal [4] - There is an ongoing debate regarding how restrictive the Federal Reserve's policy is, influencing market perceptions [3][9][10] - The consensus leans towards future rate cuts, with the primary question being the extent of these cuts [9][10] Inflation Outlook - Some believe productivity and lower net migration will exert downward pressure on inflation, with employment not being a significant source of inflation [5] - Concerns about inflation stem from tariffs and elevated inflation expectations, with businesses planning to pass on tariff increases to consumers; most expect tariff effects to materialize by the end of next year [6] Economic Factors - Artificial intelligence (AI) is being closely monitored for its significant impact on GDP and investment, as well as its potential to reduce employment [7]

Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee suggests officials should proceed carefully with rate cuts [1] - The Federal Reserve faces pressure regarding both inflation and employment goals [1]

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said inflation risks have receded, while those for employment have moved up https://t.co/7wY6zkG3X7 ...

Monetary Policy Stance - Financial conditions suggest monetary policy is currently perceived as slightly looser than generally believed [1] - The balance of risks is leaning towards inflation rather than employment [1] - Current monetary policy and its signaling are considered somewhat on the loose side, though the difference is marginal [1]