Market Trend - Bitcoin is regaining momentum [1]

Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy focuses on a balanced portfolio between low-cost funds and individual stocks, emphasizing long-term holding and understanding market dynamics beyond mere financial metrics [1] Investment Strategy - The portfolio is approximately 50% in low-cost funds and 50% in single stocks, reflecting a balanced investment approach [1] - The investment philosophy prioritizes holding stocks for at least 10 years, avoiding market timing [1] Market Understanding - The market is viewed as a meeting point of demand and supply, with a focus on predicting human behavior rather than solely relying on financial ratios like P/E [1] - There is an emphasis on understanding what the market perceives in a stock beyond numerical data, which includes analyzing sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends [1] Current Investment Outlook - The company is currently bullish on specific stocks including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, as well as broad US equities and Bitcoin [1]

Trend Identification and Momentum - The 200-day moving average is a key indicator for identifying momentum in crypto markets, with price above indicating bullish control and price below indicating bearish control [4] - A potential buying opportunity arises when a crypto asset, after being below the 200-day moving average for weeks or months, closes a full day above it, especially when accompanied by a fundamental catalyst like a product launch or user growth [5][7] - Stablecoin supply growth is a powerful indicator; expanding supply during a 200-day reclaim increases confidence in the move's sustainability [8] - It's crucial to ignore the 200-day moving average when fundamentals, such as significant supply unlocks or team departures, contradict the technical signals [9] Identifying Market Tops and Bottoms - The PI cycle top, a combination of the 111-day and 350-day moving averages on BTC, serves as an alarm for potential market tops when the fast line crosses above the slow line [17] - The MVRV z-score (zed score) uses on-chain data to determine if BTC is over or underpriced compared to the average cost basis of holders; a high score indicates unrealized profit and potential tops, while a low score suggests market bottoms [20][21] - The zed score's behavior may differ from previous cycles due to the influence of large buyers like ETFs and digital asset treasuries, which are re-anchoring supply at higher prices [24] - The zed score is expected to be more reliable as a bottom signal due to the potential for long liquidity wipeouts and liquidations of smaller crypto treasuries during a harsh bear market [27][29] Trading Sideways Markets - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is useful in sideways markets; look for bounces when price is near support and RSI is low (30-40 or lower), and exits when price is near resistance and RSI is high (60-70 or higher) [42] - Bollinger Bands, which expand with rising volatility and tighten when the market is calm, can be combined with RSI for trading sideways markets; sell when RSI is over 70 and price tags the upper band, and vice versa [44] Market Fundamentals - Ethereum funds saw inflows of nearly $4 billion, indicating a clear allocation preference from large buyers [34] - The total stablecoin market cap is above $280 billion, providing fresh capital for price action [34] - September will see $45 billion unlocked across the altcoin spectrum, so it's better to focus on tokens that don't have heavy unlock schedules in their immediate future [35]

Group 1 - As of September 15, 2025, two stocks in the consumer staples sector are signaling potential warnings for momentum-focused investors [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key momentum indicator, with values above 70 indicating that a stock may be overbought [2] - Hain Celestial Group is expected to report quarterly earnings of 3 cents per share on revenue of $371.46 million, with a recent stock gain of approximately 19% [6] - Hain Celestial's RSI value is 75.7, and its stock closed at $2.15 after a 1.4% increase [6] - Vita Coco Company has been upgraded from Neutral to Overweight by Piper Sandler, maintaining a price target of $39, with a stock gain of around 20% over the past month [6] - Vita Coco's RSI value is 71.9, and its stock closed at $39.57 after a 1.5% decrease [6]

🚀 $AVNT (@avantisfi) just closed 6 green candles in a row — straight vertical! 📈From <$0.10 to $0.85 in less than a week.Momentum is on fire 🔥Who’s riding this wave? 🌊 https://t.co/BEdwaL1HzG ...

Market Trends - Pumpfun streamers are gaining traction, with $KIND leveraging creator rewards and viral marketing to attract attention, potentially reaching over 1 million TikTok followers [1] - The Pokemon TCG meta is experiencing significant volume and revenue, keeping pace with other platforms and selling out inventory, positioning $CARDS as a key player in the crypto TCG space [1] Investment Opportunities - $KIND is distributing thousands of dollars to streamers through creator rewards, creating an attention flywheel [1] - $BAGWORK is seen as innovative and attracting exposure outside of crypto circles, potentially becoming a flagship stream for Pumpfun [1] - $ZARD is using Pump creator rewards to purchase rare Charizard cards, aiming to provide liquidity to the illiquid Charizard market [1]

Welcome back. Tesla shares surging this week and could be starting a run towards new highs. That is what the charts are telling our next guest, Jeff Degraphth.He's the head of macro and technical research at Renaissance. He joins us now. Nice to see you. Good to see you, Scott.This looks like a pretty good breakout. What do the charts tell you as to where it can go. It looks like a great breakout to me.It's got a lot of momentum. Uh it actually broke out yesterday and following through today with a gap high ...

Technology stocks are rising so far, so fast that some investors are starting to position for the move to lose momentum https://t.co/LBzQBrYclD ...

Trade the momentum @Mantle_Official! ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of momentum in navigating the technology landscape, particularly in the context of past market events such as the dot com bubble, the credit default crisis of 2008, and the recent AI boom [1] Group 1 - The author has over two decades of experience in the market, specifically focusing on the technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sectors [1] - The article highlights the author's specialization in risk mitigation strategies during significant market downturns [1] - The current focus is on leveraging momentum as a key strategy for investment decisions [1]