Onchain analyses suggest BlackRock could be buying more Bitcoin and Ethereum for its exchange-traded funds (ETFs), while Grayscale, another ETF manager, could be selling theirs. These diverging signals often show up in times of high volatility and price consolidation, as market participants place their bets on different outcomes, but can also appear in capital rotation from one product to another. In particular, Lookonchain spotted the most recent activity and reported it in a post on Oct. 23. According t ...

Core Insights - U.S.-listed crypto ETFs experienced significant outflows, marking the end of a two-week inflow streak, with bitcoin ETFs alone seeing a net outflow of $536.4 million and ether ETFs losing $56.8 million [1][2] Group 1: ETF Performance - The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from BlackRock faced outflows of $29 million, while Fidelity's FBTC saw a loss of $132 million, and Grayscale's GBTC product lost $67 million, indicating a broad trend of redemptions across various issuers [2] - Smaller issuers like Bitwise and VanEck also reported outflows, contributing to the overall negative sentiment in the ETF market [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recent outflows were attributed to a volatile fortnight where bitcoin prices fell from $126,000 due to leveraged liquidations, issues with Binance's data feeds, and escalating U.S.-China trade tensions [2] - Analysts at Citi noted that the drawdown reflects bitcoin's increasing sensitivity to equity market movements, while Glassnode characterized the sell-off as a "necessary reset" following significant futures deleveraging [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the recent volatility and outflows, Citi maintained its year-end target for bitcoin at $133,000, supported by resilient ETF participation, a sentiment echoed by prediction markets [4]

Oct 15 Update:10 #Bitcoin ETFsNetFlow: -465 $BTC(-$52.05M)🔴#Grayscale(GBTC) outflows 1,261 $BTC($141.28M) and currently holds 174,683 $BTC($19.56B).9 #Ethereum ETFsNetFlow: +23,937 $ETH(+$97.9M)🟢#Fidelity inflows 37,676 $ETH($154.09M) and currently holds 790,768 $ETH($3.23B).https://t.co/In8v1oKG3k ...

Oct 13 Update:10 #Bitcoin ETFsNetFlow: -97 $BTC(-$11.12M)🔴#Grayscale(GBTC) outflows 384 $BTC($43.83M) and currently holds 176,131 $BTC($20.12B).9 #Ethereum ETFsNetFlow: -34,603 $ETH(-$142.22M)🔴#BlackRock outflows 19,963 $ETH($82.05M) and currently holds 4,072,597 $ETH($16.74B).https://t.co/fax4RLKZDt ...

Core Insights - U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant inflows, totaling $197.8 million on October 9, indicating renewed institutional interest as Bitcoin approaches record highs [1] - Cumulative totals for U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs reached $62.77 billion, with total net assets at $164.79 billion and daily trading volume at $5.32 billion [1] - Bitcoin ETFs now account for approximately 6.8% of Bitcoin's total market capitalization, highlighting their increasing importance in institutional portfolios [2] Bitcoin ETF Market Dynamics - BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the inflows with $255.47 million, solidifying its market dominance with total assets exceeding $97 billion [3] - In contrast, Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) experienced outflows of $13.19 million, while Grayscale's GBTC reported withdrawals of $45.55 million [3] - The momentum for Bitcoin ETFs follows a strong inflow session earlier in October, with a peak of $1.19 billion on October 6, where BlackRock contributed over 80% of the inflows [4] Institutional Demand and Market Trends - October marks Bitcoin's best month since summer, driven by institutional investor demand amid expectations of favorable regulatory developments and a strong earnings season [5] - Ethereum ETFs faced a reversal with $8.7 million in outflows on October 9, ending an eight-day inflow streak after attracting over $1.8 billion in cumulative inflows previously [5] - Total assets for Ethereum spot ETFs reached $29.9 billion, with trading volume at $2.34 billion, while BlackRock's ETHA fund led inflows with $39.29 million [6] Ethereum Market Performance - Ethereum was trading at $4,352, down 2.3% on the day and 3.2% over the past week, remaining about 12% below its August peak of $4,946 [7] - Spot trading volumes for Ethereum were robust at $40.4 billion over the past 24 hours, a 9% increase from the previous day, while futures activity rose 21.5% to $93.6 billion, indicating continued trader engagement despite ETF inflow pauses [7]

Core Insights - Spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing unprecedented institutional investment, with projections indicating they could reach $30 billion by year-end [2][3] - The surge in Bitcoin ETF activity is closely linked to Bitcoin's price movements, particularly as it surpassed $100,000 [3][4] - Major financial institutions are expanding their offerings of crypto ETFs, enhancing access for advisors and clients [6] Group 1: ETF Performance and Trends - By the end of Q3, Bitcoin ETFs had attracted $22.5 billion, with a single-day trading volume of $7.5 billion indicating strong liquidity [2] - BlackRock's IBIT has become the most profitable Bitcoin ETF, generating $244.5 million annually from a 0.25% fee and nearing $100 billion in assets under management [5] - All 11 spot ETFs, including $GBTC, reported positive performance, reflecting a strong market sentiment [3] Group 2: Institutional Adoption and Market Drivers - Morgan Stanley's new guidance allows advisors to allocate up to 4% of portfolios to crypto, potentially channeling trillions into regulated products [3] - Major brokerages like Wells Fargo and Merrill Lynch are now offering crypto ETFs directly to clients, increasing institutional participation [6] - The trend of investing in scarce assets like Bitcoin is driven by concerns over currency debasement and fiscal expansion [6]

Core Insights - Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced significant outflows, totaling $244 million on September 23, following a $439 million exit the previous day, indicating a trend of investor withdrawals amid market repositioning around the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut and upcoming U.S. inflation data [1][5]. Group 1: ETF Outflows - Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net outflows of $103.6 million on September 23, with Fidelity's FBTC leading the withdrawals at $75.6 million, followed by ARK 21Shares' ARKB with $27.9 million [2]. - Ethereum ETFs faced even larger redemptions, with $140.7 million flowing out in a single day, primarily driven by Fidelity's FETH, which accounted for $63.4 million in outflows [3][4]. - On September 22, Bitcoin products lost $363 million, with Fidelity's FBTC again leading the redemptions at $276.7 million, while Ethereum funds saw $76 million withdrawn [4]. Group 2: Current ETF Holdings - As of September 23, Bitcoin spot ETFs hold $147.2 billion in net assets, representing 6.6% of Bitcoin's total market capitalization, with cumulative inflows of $57.25 billion [5]. - Ethereum spot ETFs currently hold $27.5 billion in net assets, accounting for 5.45% of the total Ethereum market, with cumulative inflows reaching $13.7 billion [5]. Group 3: Recent Market Activity - The recent outflows occurred just one week after digital asset products saw nearly $1.9 billion in inflows, following the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut of 2025, which had previously spurred renewed investor demand for crypto exposure [5][6]. - During the week prior to the outflows, Bitcoin funds attracted $977 million, while Ethereum products recorded $772 million, marking a year-to-date record of $12.6 billion for Ether-backed products [6].

Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy focuses on a balanced portfolio between low-cost funds and individual stocks, emphasizing long-term holding and understanding market dynamics beyond mere financial metrics [1] Investment Strategy - The portfolio is approximately 50% in low-cost funds and 50% in single stocks, reflecting a balanced investment approach [1] - The investment philosophy prioritizes holding stocks for at least 10 years, avoiding market timing [1] Market Understanding - The market is viewed as a meeting point of demand and supply, with a focus on predicting human behavior rather than solely relying on financial ratios like P/E [1] - There is an emphasis on understanding what the market perceives in a stock beyond numerical data, which includes analyzing sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends [1] Current Investment Outlook - The company is currently bullish on specific stocks including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, as well as broad US equities and Bitcoin [1]

Group 1: Bitcoin ETFs Performance - Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. experienced their first significant outflow in over a week, with $51.28 million leaving the market on September 17, following seven consecutive sessions of inflows [1][2] - The largest outflow was from Fidelity's FBTC, which saw $116.03 million withdrawn, despite a historical net inflow of $12.56 billion [2] - Grayscale's GBTC also faced significant losses with $62.64 million withdrawn, while Ark and 21Shares' ARKB lost $32.29 million [2] Group 2: Inflows and Total Assets - BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) attracted $149.73 million in inflows on the same day, while Grayscale's lower-fee Bitcoin Mini Trust ($BTC) saw $22.54 million in inflows, raising its lifetime total to $1.84 billion [3] - Total assets under management for Bitcoin spot ETFs reached $152.45 billion, representing 6.62% of Bitcoin's market capitalization [3][4] - Cumulative net inflows across all Bitcoin products since launch stand at $57.33 billion [4] Group 3: Ethereum ETFs Struggles - Ethereum ETFs continued to face pressure, with $1.89 million in net outflows on September 17, extending a streak of withdrawals since early September [4][5] - Fidelity's FETH was the largest loser among Ethereum products, with $29.19 million in redemptions [4] - Total assets under management for Ether ETFs are now at $29.72 billion, or 5.47% of Ethereum's market capitalization, with cumulative inflows reported at $13.66 billion [5]

Market Trends - Yesterday saw the highest Bitcoin (BTC) inflows in the last 2 months [1] - Total net flow for Bitcoin was $7415 million [1] ETF Performance - IBIT experienced inflows of $2112 million [1] - FBTC saw inflows of $299 million [1] - BITB recorded inflows of $444 million [1] - ARKB had inflows of $1451 million [1] - GBTC experienced inflows of $89 million [1]