More Americans are struggling to keep up with their car payments. Auto loan delinquencies have risen above pre-pandemic levels after hitting record lows during COVID — and more borrowers are now facing defaults and repossessions. A recent report from the Recovery Database Network (RDN), says more than 2.5 million cars were repossessed last year, and this year is on track to hit 3 million, the most since 2009 (1). Must Read Thanks to Jeff Bezos, you can now become a landlord for as little as $100 — and ...

Stock market bears have predicted like 4 recessions this year.They have been wrong every time. ...

Group 1 - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was 4.14% as of November 14, 2025, with the 2-year note at 3.62% and the 30-year note at 4.74% [1] - The 10-2 spread is a reliable leading indicator for recessions, typically turning negative before recessions, with a lead time of 18 to 92 weeks [2] - The average lead time to a recession based on the first negative spread date is 48 weeks, while using the last positive spread date gives an average lead time of 18.5 weeks [4][6] Group 2 - The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is influenced by the Federal Funds Rate (FFR), which has recently seen mortgage rates decline despite the Fed holding rates steady, with the latest rate at 6.24% [7] - The 10-3 month spread also indicates recession lead times ranging from 34 to 69 weeks, with similar patterns observed as in the 10-2 spread [5] - ETFs associated with Treasuries include Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF (VBIL), Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (VGIT), and Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) [9]

Wealth Composition - Stocks represent 21% of American household wealth [1] AI Impact - AI-related assets account for nearly half of the increase in American household wealth over the past year [1] Economic Outlook - A recession could potentially follow [1]

Group 1 - Investors are concerned about the inevitability of a future recession, although the timing remains uncertain [1] - Rida Morwa, with over 35 years of experience in investment banking, advises on high-yield investment strategies since 1991 [1] - The Investing Group High Dividend Opportunities aims for sustainable income through high-yield investments with a targeted safe yield of over 9% [1] Group 2 - The service includes a model portfolio with buy/sell alerts, preferred and baby bond portfolios for conservative investors, and regular market updates [1] - The philosophy of the service emphasizes community, education, and the importance of not investing alone [1]

Market Risk - An AI bubble burst could lead to an unusual recession [1]

Economic Outlook - Some suggest that an economy needs occasional downturns to stay healthy [1] - The world is experiencing a "recession recession," leading to increasing costs [1]

And joining us now is Democratic Congressman James Walenshaw of Virginia. >> Congressman, thank you so much for being here. Um, when you hear something like that, the economy is the strongest we ever had from the president. Well, that's not true because the DMV, this area where we live, is now in a recession. Uh, a lot of it because of the policies of the administration coming in here with just a a chainsaw and firing people. Um, this has been a very painful government shutdown for a lot of people in the ar ...

The longer the “recession recession” continues, the more that three risks—financial, fiscal and allocative—will grow https://t.co/52bzaEzkL7Illustration: Timo Lenzen https://t.co/E8srHZ1jEh ...

Market Cycle Analysis - The crypto market has historically followed the business cycle, potentially extending into 2026, suggesting a prolonged bull market [2] - Macro analysts suggest the crypto market cycle is no longer solely based on Bitcoin halving but correlates with the economic cycle, particularly the ISM Manufacturing Index [6][7] - The ISM, an indicator of economic activity, has historically correlated with Bitcoin's cycle tops and bottoms, but this pattern has recently broken [9][10] - An extended debt refinancing cycle, with average debt maturity increasing to approximately 54 years due to the pandemic, may be extending the liquidity and crypto cycles [12] Liquidity and Economic Indicators - Some analysts argue that economic indicators like the ISM are misleading and have unclear correlation with global liquidity [16] - Global liquidity, measured by Global M2, has risen, but Bitcoin's price has flatlined, weakening the correlation between the two [18] - Central bank policies and debt refinancing challenges could lead to a contraction in global liquidity, potentially impacting the crypto market [20][21] - Economic data may be deceptive due to factors like inflation and unemployment rates, making the economy appear stronger than it is [26][27] Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - The crypto market is expected to continue a gradual upward trend, mirroring the overall economy [40] - Assuming a recession is avoided, Q4 2025 is projected to be bullish, with Bitcoin potentially reaching its cycle top, followed by Ethereum and altcoins approximately one month later [47][48] - The current crypto market cycle differs from previous cycles due to less loose monetary policy, more mature regulatory frameworks, and different patterns of retail participation [44][45] - AI-related ventures have significantly contributed to economic growth, particularly in the US, impacting sectors like chip manufacturing and infrastructure [36][37]