Economists have been warning that President Trump's trade wars will depress growth and hiring. Trump disagrees, but does the weakness in the latest jobs report give these warnings more weight. Here with more is Yahoo Finance senior columnist Rick Newman.Rick, hey Josh. Um, well, yeah, I think what we're seeing in the economy, not just the jobs report, but also the uh GDP report on economic growth for the first half and other things. I mean, this is exactly what you would expect to happen when you uh put tar ...

Core Insights - The article discusses disappointing jobs data that may impact market sentiment and economic outlook [1][2] Group 1: Jobs Data Impact - The jobs data released indicates a weaker than expected employment growth, which could lead to concerns about economic stability [1][2] - Analysts suggest that this disappointing data may influence monetary policy decisions moving forward [1][2] Group 2: Market Reactions - The market may react negatively to the jobs data, potentially leading to fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly gold [1][2] - Investors are likely to reassess their positions in light of the new employment figures, which could create volatility in the financial markets [1][2]

Ladies and gentlemen, we have officially survived FOMC day. We still have quite a bit of financial events to get through this week, but for the most part, we did see the Fed hold rates. Now, we're going to talk about that. We're going to address it.Now, does this affect the markets in a very negative way. Well, number one, I do think that for the most part, you know, markets have kind of priced in the idea of the Fed just kind of holding. Um, I think that it would have been a shocker if he actually did cut ...

Monetary Policy - FOMC 投票结果为 9-2，是 30 多年来美联储政策分歧最大的一次 [1] - 市场对 9 月份降息的预期降至 45% [1]

This has been the biggest FOMC meeting ever!Haha, not.Anyways, markets are moving down as there's still no rate cut and #Bitcoin lost the range.I think it's a great chance to accumulate. Could be that we fall deeper, but not for long. August/September new ATHs. https://t.co/TDUbqlBsJY ...

Now just a 47% chance of 1 rate cut in September after Powell's presser 🥶 https://t.co/Jwer3aErTGTylerD 🧙‍♂️ (@Tyler_Did_It):62% chance of 1 rate cut in September headed into Powell's presserLet's see how that holds up https://t.co/t4kWK0QgAT ...

RT Bloomberg Opinion (@opinion)@Claudia_Sahm @AllisonSchrager “The path to a rate cut is for the Fed to get comfortable that these tariffs are gonna be a one-off,” says @Claudia_Sahm.Tune in for Fed Day analysis 🎥https://t.co/VrIJWN9cHp ...

RT Bloomberg Opinion (@opinion)@Claudia_Sahm Fed Day: Is a September rate cut still on the table?https://t.co/VrIJWN8ERR ...

For those hoping for a rate cut, this means we probably do not get one for quite a bit as the economy continues to show strength.For those hoping cuts = price go up, good news is bad newsFor those believing cuts = price go down, this is incredible newsWatcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru):JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US economy grew 3% in Q2, beating expectations. ...

Federal Reserve Policy & Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady this week, with a potential rate cut in September [1] - Survey data indicates a 27% expectation for a rate cut, despite 100% believing there will be no cut in July [1] - The chance of recession has fallen to 31%, down from 38% in June and 53% in May [2] - Current rate outlook anticipates approximately two rate cuts this year and two more next year [2] - The market is pricing in 100 basis points of cuts, but the 10-year forecast only goes down to 425 basis points, suggesting a steepening of the curve [10][11] - Easing to come will be a recalibration of bringing down the policy rate and in the process resloping the yield curve, potentially another 100 basis points down to 338 basis points [13] Potential Fed Chair Candidates - The race to replace Fed Chair Jay Powell is a three-way tie between Kevin Walsh (24%), Scott Besson (24%), and Hasset (22%) [1][3] - Fed Governor Waller is also a candidate, polling at 14% [3] - Scott Besson suggests a new Fed chair could be picked as early as December [3] - Paul McCaulay advocates for Governor Chris Waller, citing his monetary policy scholarship, experience as a Fed governor, and sound economic principles [5][6][7] Potential Dissent - There is an expectation that Governor Waller and Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Michelle Bowman could dissent with the decision not to cut rates [8] - A double dissent from Fed governors hasn't been seen since 1993 [9]