Earnings ESP
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Rise in NII & Fee Income to Aid PNC Financial's Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 19:30
Core Viewpoint - PNC Financial Services Group is expected to report improved revenues and earnings for Q3 2025, driven by higher net interest income and stable loan growth, despite rising expenses and credit loss provisions [2][12]. Financial Performance Expectations - PNC is scheduled to report Q3 2025 earnings on October 15, with a consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) at $4.05, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16.1% [19]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is $5.83 billion, indicating a 7.3% year-over-year increase [19]. - The company anticipates total revenues to rise by 2-3% from the $5.7 billion reported in Q2 2025 [19]. Net Interest Income (NII) and Loan Growth - NII is projected to increase by 3% sequentially in Q3 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII at $3.66 billion, a sequential rise of 2.9% [4][5]. - Average loans are expected to grow by 1% sequentially, aligning with the company's guidance [6]. Non-Interest Revenues - Mortgage revenues are estimated to rise sequentially, with the consensus for residential and commercial mortgage revenues at $129.6 million, reflecting a 1.6% increase [8]. - Asset management and brokerage income is expected to grow, with a consensus estimate of $397.9 million, indicating a 1.8% sequential rise [9]. - Capital markets and advisory income is projected to reach $357.7 million, reflecting an 11.4% sequential increase [11]. Expense Management - PNC's expenses are anticipated to rise by 2% sequentially, driven by investments in franchise expansion and technology [15]. - Adjusted non-interest expenses are estimated to increase by 2.7% sequentially, reaching $3.47 billion [15]. Asset Quality and Credit Loss Provisions - The company is likely to maintain higher reserves for potential delinquent loans, with net charge-offs expected to be between $275 million and $300 million, up from $198 million in Q2 2025 [16]. - The consensus estimate for non-performing assets (NPAs) is $2.21 billion, indicating a 3.2% increase from the previous quarter [17].
Will GE (GE) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
If you are looking for a stock that has a solid history of beating earnings estimates and is in a good position to maintain the trend in its next quarterly report, you should consider GE Aerospace (GE) . This company, which is in the Zacks Aerospace - Defense industry, shows potential for another earnings beat.This industrial conglomerate has an established record of topping earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The company boasts an average surprise for the past two quart ...
Will Medpace (MEDP) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Insights - Medpace (MEDP) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming earnings report, supported by a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates [1][5] - The company has an average surprise of 11.63% over the past two quarters, indicating consistent performance above expectations [1][5] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, Medpace reported earnings of $3.1 per share, surpassing the expected $3 per share by 3.33% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $3.67 per share against a consensus estimate of $3.06 per share, resulting in a surprise of 19.93% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Medpace have been revised upward, with a positive Earnings ESP of +4.49%, suggesting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) indicates a strong likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report scheduled for October 22, 2025 [8] Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions prior to earnings releases [7]
Why Legget & Platt (LEG) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Insights - Legget & Platt (LEG) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having surpassed earnings estimates in the last two quarters by an average of 3.90% [1][5] Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, Legget & Platt reported earnings of $0.30 per share against an expectation of $0.29, resulting in a surprise of 3.45% [2] - For the previous quarter, the company reported $0.24 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.23, which represented a surprise of 4.35% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Legget & Platt have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP of +3.33%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that such combinations lead to positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [6][8] Earnings ESP Explanation - The Earnings ESP metric compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions prior to an earnings release [7] - A positive Earnings ESP enhances the predictive power for earnings surprises, while a negative value does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9] Upcoming Earnings Report - Legget & Platt's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on October 27, 2025 [8]
Will Banc of California (BANC) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Insights - Banc of California (BANC) has a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates and is well-positioned for continued success in upcoming reports [1][2] - The company has achieved an average earnings surprise of 11.57% over the last two quarters [2] Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Banc of California posted earnings of $0.31 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27 per share, resulting in a surprise of 14.81% [3] - For the previous quarter, the company was expected to earn $0.24 per share but delivered $0.26 per share, achieving a surprise of 8.33% [3] Earnings Estimates - Recent estimates for Banc of California have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [6][9] - The current Earnings ESP for Banc of California is +3.20%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [9] Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]
Why The Bank of New York Mellon (BK) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, continuing a trend of positive earnings surprises [1]. Earnings Performance - The company has a strong history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 8.77% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, BK achieved earnings of $1.94 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 per share by 11.49%. In the previous quarter, it reported earnings of $1.58 per share against an expectation of $1.49 per share, resulting in a surprise of 6.04% [3]. Earnings Estimates - Recent changes in earnings estimates for BK have been favorable, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - The current Earnings ESP for BK is +1.07%, suggesting that analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential. This positive ESP, combined with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicates a potential for another earnings beat [8]. Predictive Metrics - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate [7].
Can BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Insights - BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 76.64% in the last two quarters [1][2]. Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. achieved earnings of $0.22 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.19 per share, resulting in a surprise of 15.79% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $0.08 per share but delivered $0.19 per share, leading to a significant surprise of 137.50% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for BrightSpring Health Services, Inc., with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8]. - The current Earnings ESP for BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. is +49.89%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8]. Zacks Rank and Success Rate - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) suggests that the company is likely to beat earnings estimates, with historical data indicating that such combinations result in positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [6][8].
Can Bridgewater (BWB) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Insights - Bridgewater (BWB) has a strong history of beating earnings estimates and is well-positioned for future earnings growth [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $0.37 per share for the most recent quarter, exceeding the expected $0.35, resulting in a surprise of 5.71% [2] - The average surprise for the last two quarters was 8.03%, indicating consistent performance above expectations [1][2] Earnings Performance - In the previous quarter, Bridgewater reported earnings of $0.32 per share against an expectation of $0.29, achieving a surprise of 10.34% [2] - The company's Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) is currently +4.88%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about future earnings [8] Analyst Sentiment - The positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] Upcoming Earnings - Bridgewater's next earnings report is expected to be released on October 21, 2025 [8]
Will Bread Financial (BFH) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:11
Core Insights - Bread Financial Holdings (BFH) has a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates and is well-positioned for continued success in upcoming reports [1][6] Earnings Performance - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 52.96% over the last two quarters [2] - For the last reported quarter, Bread Financial achieved earnings of $3.14 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.85 per share by 69.73% [3] - In the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $2.86 per share against an expected $2.1 per share, resulting in a surprise of 36.19% [3] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Bread Financial have been increasing, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP for the company is currently +0.71%, suggesting bullish expectations for future earnings [9] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [9] Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]
Growth in AUM Likely to Support BlackRock's Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 17:01
Core Insights - BlackRock (BLK) is expected to report improved third-quarter 2025 results on October 14, with revenues and earnings anticipated to rise year over year [1][8] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 9.65% [2] AUM Growth - BlackRock remains a leading player in the ETF market, with consistent AUM growth supported by diversified offerings and strong revenue mix [3] - The approval of spot Bitcoin and ether ETFs, along with acquisitions of ElmTree and HPS Investment Partners, are expected to further boost AUM [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total AUM in Q3 is $13.08 trillion, reflecting a 13.9% year-over-year increase, while the internal estimate is $12.59 trillion [4] Revenue Expectations - Revenue growth is anticipated in investment advisory, administration fees, and securities-lending revenues, with a consensus estimate of $4.92 billion, indicating a 22.1% year-over-year rise [5] - The consensus estimate for investment advisory performance fees is $359 million, showing a decline of 7.5%, while distribution fees are expected to rise by 7.4% to $347 million [6] - Technology services revenues are projected to reach $497 million, reflecting a 23.3% year-over-year increase [6] - Advisory and other revenues are estimated at $58 million, indicating a 9.4% rise [7] Expense Overview - Total expenses are expected to increase to $3.66 billion, representing a 14.8% year-over-year rise due to restructuring initiatives and inorganic expansion efforts [9] Recent Developments - The acquisition of HPS Investment Partners on July 1 is expected to enhance BlackRock's private credit capabilities and grow fee-based revenues [10] - The acquisition of ElmTree Funds on September 2 aligns with BlackRock's long-term goal to raise $400 billion for private markets by 2030 [11] Earnings Predictions - The Earnings ESP for BlackRock is -0.51%, indicating a low chance of beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings this quarter [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 earnings is $11.53 per share, revised 1.8% lower over the past week, with a projected sales estimate of $6.27 billion, reflecting a 20.7% year-over-year rise [13]