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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Hawkins Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 15:05
Group 1 - Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Dec 19, 2025 $70.00 Call showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Hawkins currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) in the Chemical - Specialty industry, which is in the bottom 28% of the Zacks Industry Rank, indicating a negative outlook [3] Group 2 - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Hawkins, while three have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 87 cents to 72 cents per share for the current quarter [3] - The high implied volatility may present a trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with elevated implied volatility, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as expected at expiration [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Riverview Bancorp Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Riverview Bancorp, Inc. (RVSB) is experiencing significant implied volatility in its options market, particularly with the Dec 19, 2025 $01.00 Call, indicating potential for a major price movement in the near future [1]. Company Analysis - Riverview Bancorp is currently rated as Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) within the Financial - Savings and Loan Industry, which is positioned in the top 40% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3]. - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while one analyst has lowered their estimate, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from six cents per share to four cents per share [3]. Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Riverview Bancorp, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to either a rally or a sell-off [2][4]. - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4].
Optimistic on LULU? This Bull Put Spread May Fit Perfectly
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 12:00
Group 1 - Lululemon (LULU) has experienced significant selling pressure recently but is beginning to stabilize around the $160 mark [1] - The company currently has its lowest price-to-earnings (PE) ratio in several years at 11.20 [3] Group 2 - A bull put spread trade is being considered for LULU, focusing on a longer-term strategy rather than a regular monthly expiration [4] - The maximum profit for this bull put spread is limited to the premium received, while the maximum potential loss is also capped [5] - Implied volatility for LULU is at 65.15%, with an IV Percentile of 89% and an IV Rank of 80.21% [5] Group 3 - A specific bull put spread could involve selling the March 20 put with a strike price of $130 and buying the $125 put, trading for around $0.90 [6] - This trade would yield a maximum risk of $410, representing a 21.95% return on risk if LULU remains above $130 [6] - The breakeven point for this spread is calculated at $129.10, which is approximately 23.90% below the recent closing price [7] Group 4 - Risk management strategies for the bull put spread include setting a stop loss based on the premium received or adjusting the trade if LULU breaks below the key support level of $160 [8]
Biotech Stock Could Turn 4-Year Peak Into Records
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-24 20:29
Core Insights - BridgeBio Pharma Inc (NASDAQ:BBIO) stock has increased by 3.3% to $70.36, reaching a four-year high of $70.60, with a year-over-year gain of 154.9% [1] - The stock's recent performance is supported by low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 44%, ranking in the 13th percentile of its annual range, indicating potential for further gains [2] - A high put/call volume ratio of 1.03 and a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.52 suggest a prevailing pessimism in options trading, which could lead to continued upward momentum for the stock [4] - An increase in short interest by 12.8% indicates that 11.8% of BBIO's float is shorted, with a potential for a short squeeze as it would take over eight days for short sellers to cover their positions [5]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in IBKR Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 15:11
Group 1 - The stock of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Jan. 16, 2025 $11.25 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant price change or an upcoming event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Interactive Brokers Group holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) in the Financial - Investment Bank industry, which is in the top 9% of the Zacks Industry Rank, indicating a positive outlook [3] Group 2 - Over the past 60 days, two analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Interactive Brokers Group for the current quarter, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 46 cents per share to 49 cents [3] - The high implied volatility may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from time decay [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Community Health Systems Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 14:46
Group 1 - Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Dec 19, 2025 $1.00 Call showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant event that could lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2] - Currently, Community Health Systems holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Medical - Hospital industry, which is in the top 40% of the Zacks Industry Rank, but analysts have revised earnings estimates downward, leading to a consensus estimate shift from earnings of 6 cents per share to a loss of 32 cents [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility surrounding Community Health Systems may indicate a trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options, hoping the stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Option Volatility and Earnings Report for November 24 - 28
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 12:00
Core Insights - Earnings season is beginning to slow down, providing some relief after recent market volatility, with key companies like Alibaba, Zscaler, Deer & Company, and Dell Technologies set to report this week [1] Earnings Reports - This week features earnings reports from: - Alibaba (BABA) with an expected move of 7.2% - Dell Technologies (DELL) with an expected move of 9.4% - Zscaler (ZS) with an expected move of 9.9% - Deer & Company (DE) with an expected move of 5.5% [4] Implied Volatility - Implied volatility tends to be high before earnings reports due to market uncertainty, leading to increased demand for options [2] - After earnings announcements, implied volatility typically decreases to normal levels [2] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize expected moves to structure trades: - Bearish traders may consider selling bear call spreads outside the expected range - Bullish traders might sell bull put spreads or look at naked puts for higher risk tolerance [4] - Neutral traders can explore iron condors, ensuring short strikes remain outside the expected range [5] Stock Screening - A stock screener can identify stocks with high implied volatility, using filters such as: - Total call volume greater than 5,000 - Market cap greater than 40 billion - IV Rank greater than 40% [6][7] Previous Earnings Performance - Last week's earnings move for TCOM was +2.2%, compared to an expected move of 6.2% [9]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Carnival Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-20 14:51
Core Viewpoint - Investors in Carnival Corporation & PLC (CCL) should closely monitor the stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Dec 19, 2025 $1.00 Put option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectations for future price movements, with high levels suggesting potential significant changes or upcoming events that could impact the stock [2] - The current high implied volatility for Carnival shares may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - Carnival currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which is positioned in the bottom 40% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, five analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Carnival's current quarter, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate from earnings of 20 cents per share to 24 cents [3]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Amdocs Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 23:31
Core Viewpoint - Investors should closely monitor Amdocs Limited (DOX) stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Jan 16, 2025 $50.00 Call option [1] Company Analysis - Amdocs currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) within the Computers - IT Services Industry, which is positioned in the top 34% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while one analyst has lowered their estimate, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.86 per share to $1.78 per share [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility surrounding Amdocs suggests that options traders anticipate a significant price movement for the stock, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek out options with high implied volatility to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Options Corner: PANW
Youtube· 2025-11-19 14:30
Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks has underperformed both the broader market and its tech sector peers, with a 3.5% increase compared to a 21% rise in the XLK ETF [1][2]. Performance Analysis - The stock recently peaked at approximately 223.61 but has since retraced, currently holding a support range between 196 and 198, which are significant lows established during its previous upward movement [3][5]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined to about 37, indicating a weakening momentum, while the stock price has fallen below its moving averages [4]. Technical Indicators - Key moving averages are converging around the 205 level, with potential support identified at the 251-day EMA near 191 [4][5]. - The supportive area aligns with a high volume node between 196 and 198, while resistance is noted between 205 and 207, where moving averages and previous highs converge [5]. Options Strategy - Anticipation of elevated implied volatility ahead of earnings, with the options market pricing in a potential 7% move in shares [7]. - A neutral to bullish options strategy is proposed, involving a custom four-legged spread that combines selling an out-of-the-money put vertical and buying an upside call calendar [8][9]. - The strategy includes selling a 190 strike put and buying a 185 strike put, financing the purchase of a 215 strike call expiring on November 28 [9][10]. - The apex of profitability is targeted at or near 215, with a break-even point at approximately 189.70, allowing for some downside cushion before incurring losses [11][12].