Amdocs(DOX)
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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Amdocs Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 23:31
Core Viewpoint - Investors should closely monitor Amdocs Limited (DOX) stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Jan 16, 2025 $50.00 Call option [1] Company Analysis - Amdocs currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) within the Computers - IT Services Industry, which is positioned in the top 34% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while one analyst has lowered their estimate, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.86 per share to $1.78 per share [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility surrounding Amdocs suggests that options traders anticipate a significant price movement for the stock, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek out options with high implied volatility to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Amdocs (NasdaqGS:DOX) FY Conference Transcript
2025-11-18 23:17
Amdocs FY Conference Summary Company Overview - Amdocs is focused on customer experience within the telecommunications sector, providing software solutions that simplify complex processes for telecom companies [12][22][28] - The company does not engage in hardware production, emphasizing a software-centric approach [12] Business Model - Amdocs operates on a recurring software revenue model, primarily serving tier-one telecommunications customers [21][22] - The company takes accountability for both product delivery and implementation, ensuring that customers achieve their business outcomes and KPIs [22][23] - Long-term contracts with a fixed set of customers contribute to customer retention and loyalty [22] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Amdocs has a diverse customer base, with significant revenue contributions from both large and smaller customers [36] - The company is expanding its footprint globally, with notable contracts in regions like Brazil and Japan [36] - Cloud services account for approximately 30% of Amdocs' business, with growth driven by partnerships with AWS, Azure, and GCP [40][41] - The transition to cloud services is seen as a multi-year journey, with ongoing investments in R&D to support this shift [46] AI and Technological Advancements - Amdocs is actively investing in AI, with a focus on enhancing customer service through its Amaze platform [51][60] - The company reports significant improvements in key performance indicators (KPIs) for call centers, with uplifts of 40-50% in average handling time, first call resolution, and transactional net promoter score [64] - Amdocs is leveraging partnerships with NVIDIA to integrate advanced AI capabilities into its offerings [66][117] Product Innovations - The eSIM platform is gaining traction, with over 30 customers onboarded, and is expected to grow as the market shifts towards digital SIM solutions [154] - The ConnectX platform allows rapid launch of mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) services, targeting influencers and celebrities as potential customers [155] - The MarketOne platform is designed to help service providers manage digital subscriptions, reflecting the shift in consumer behavior towards multiple subscription services [158] Strategic Partnerships - Amdocs maintains strategic partnerships with major tech companies like NVIDIA, AWS, Microsoft, and GCP, which are crucial for cloud migration and technological advancements [117][118] - These partnerships enhance Amdocs' ability to deliver integrated solutions and support customer needs in the telecommunications sector [118] Future Outlook - Amdocs anticipates that the integration of AI and cloud technologies will significantly impact its revenue and operational efficiency starting in 2026 [70][76] - The company is exploring outcome-based pricing models, which align with its focus on delivering value to customers [130][132] - Amdocs is positioned to disrupt traditional business models in telecommunications, particularly in areas like call center operations and service delivery [145][146]
Analyzing Amdocs' Dividend Growth Potential
Forbes· 2025-11-18 18:15
Group 1 - Tesla shareholders approved Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay package, raising questions about the prudent use of capital amid significant company headwinds [2] - Mismanagement of capital can lead to reduced shareholder returns, particularly through reduced or suspended dividends [2][3] Group 2 - Amdocs has shown consistent revenue and net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) growth, with revenue increasing by 2% and NOPAT by 4% compounded annually since 2014 [4] - Amdocs' NOPAT margin improved from 12% in 2019 to 14% in the trailing twelve months (TTM), while invested capital turns decreased from 1.0 to 0.9 [4] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) for Amdocs increased from 11% in 2019 to 12% over the TTM [4] Group 3 - Amdocs has increased its quarterly dividend from $0.29 per share in 3Q19 to $0.53 per share in 3Q25, resulting in an annualized dividend of $2.12 per share and a 2.5% dividend yield [5] - Cumulative free cash flow (FCF) for Amdocs from 2019 through the first nine months of 2025 reached $2.9 billion, significantly exceeding the $1.3 billion paid in dividends [6] Group 4 - Amdocs is currently undervalued with a price-to-economic book value (PEBV) ratio of 1.0, indicating market expectations of no NOPAT growth [8] - If Amdocs' NOPAT grows at a conservative rate of 3% compounded annually through 2034, the stock could be valued at $98 per share, representing a 17% upside [8] Group 5 - Amdocs' dividend growth history and current yield of 2.5% make it a strong candidate for inclusion in the Dividend Growth Stocks Model Portfolio [9] - Financial adjustments made by the firm's Robo-Analyst technology revealed over $200 million in adjustments to the income statement and over $1 billion in adjustments to the balance sheet [11][12]
Amdocs: Neutral On Mixed Q4 And Limited Upside (NASDAQ:DOX)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-17 15:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the focus on value investing in Asia, particularly in Hong Kong, targeting stocks with significant discrepancies between market price and intrinsic value [1] - It highlights two main categories of investment opportunities: deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks, which are characterized by their strong competitive advantages [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The research service aims to identify deep value stocks, such as net cash stocks and low price-to-book (P/B) ratio stocks, which are available at a discount [1] - It also seeks wide moat stocks, which are high-quality businesses with sustainable competitive advantages, often referred to as "Magic Formula" stocks [1] - Monthly updates and watch lists are provided to keep investors informed about potential investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Market Focus - The primary focus is on the Asian equity market, with a particular emphasis on Hong Kong-listed stocks [1] - The service is designed for value investors looking for unique investment opportunities in the region [1]
Amdocs: 'Neutral' On Mixed Q4 And Limited Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-17 15:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the focus on value investing in Asia, particularly in Hong Kong, targeting stocks with significant discrepancies between market price and intrinsic value [1] - It highlights two main categories of investment opportunities: deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks, which are characterized by their strong competitive advantages [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The research service aims to identify deep value stocks, such as net cash stocks and low price-to-book (P/B) ratio stocks, which are available at a discount [1] - It also seeks wide moat stocks, which are high-quality businesses with sustainable competitive advantages, often referred to as "Magic Formula" stocks [1] - Monthly updates and watch lists are provided to keep investors informed about potential investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Market Focus - The primary focus is on the Asian equity market, with a particular emphasis on Hong Kong-listed stocks [1] - The service is designed for value investors looking for unique investment opportunities in the region [1]
These Analysts Cut Their Forecasts On Amdocs Following Q4 Results - Amdocs (NASDAQ:DOX)
Benzinga· 2025-11-12 17:17
Core Insights - Amdocs Limited reported better-than-expected earnings for Q4, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.83, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.82, and quarterly sales of $1.150 billion, exceeding the estimate of $1.146 billion [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first quarter, Amdocs expects adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.73 to $1.79, which is below market estimates of $1.87. The company anticipates first-quarter sales between $1.135 billion and $1.175 billion, compared to market expectations of $1.153 billion [2] - Fiscal 2025 was highlighted as a significant year, with cloud-related activities achieving over 30% of total revenue and delivering double-digit growth. The company maintained strong profitability while committing to R&D [3] Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, Amdocs shares fell by 7.5%, trading at $77.64 [4] - Analysts adjusted their price targets for Amdocs, with B of A Securities and Stifel both maintaining a Buy rating but lowering the price target from $100 to $97 [6]
These Analysts Cut Their Forecasts On Amdocs Following Q4 Results
Benzinga· 2025-11-12 17:17
Core Insights - Amdocs Limited reported better-than-expected earnings for Q4, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.83, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.82, and quarterly sales of $1.150 billion, exceeding the estimate of $1.146 billion [1] - For the first quarter, Amdocs anticipates adjusted EPS in the range of $1.73-$1.79, lower than market estimates of $1.87, and expects sales between $1.135 billion and $1.175 billion, compared to market expectations of $1.153 billion [2] - The company highlighted significant growth in cloud-related activities, which accounted for over 30% of total revenue, and emphasized improved profitability while maintaining R&D commitments [3] Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, Amdocs shares fell by 7.5%, trading at $77.64 [4] - Analysts adjusted their price targets for Amdocs after the earnings report, with B of A Securities and Stifel both maintaining a Buy rating but lowering their price targets from $100 to $97 [6]
Amdocs Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Decline Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 13:06
Core Insights - Amdocs Limited (DOX) reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results with non-GAAP earnings of $1.83 per share, exceeding management's guidance and the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1][10] - The company's revenues for Q4 were $1.15 billion, surpassing the consensus mark but down 9% year-over-year due to the phase-out of certain business activities [2][10] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating income increased 5% year-over-year to $248.1 million, with an operating margin expansion of 290 basis points to 21.6% [5] - Managed services revenues rose 3.7% year-over-year to $748.3 million, and the company ended Q4 with a backlog of $4.19 billion, up $40 million sequentially [5] - Amdocs generated operating cash flow of $229.8 million and free cash flow of $198.6 million during Q4, with full fiscal 2025 figures at $749.1 million and $645.1 million respectively [7] Revenue Breakdown - North America revenues were $762 million (66% of total), down 8.8% year-over-year; Europe revenues were $180 million (16% of total), down 0.8%; and Rest of the World revenues were $208 million (18% of total), down 5% [3][4] Future Guidance - For Q1 FY2026, Amdocs expects revenues between $1.135 billion and $1.175 billion, with a midpoint of $1.155 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3% [8] - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share to be between $1.73 and $1.79, while for fiscal 2026, revenue growth is expected in the range of 1.7-5.7% [9][11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is pegged at $4.7 billion, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 3.8% [11]
Amdocs (DOX) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 00:01
Core Insights - Amdocs reported $1.15 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9% while EPS increased to $1.83 from $1.70 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.14 billion, resulting in a surprise of +0.68%, and the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.82 with a surprise of +0.55% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Amdocs' shares returned +5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.4% change, and the stock holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3] - Geographic Revenue breakdown shows North America at $762.4 million, exceeding the estimated $747.81 million but down -8.8% year-over-year; Rest of the World reported $208 million, below the $220.41 million estimate, down -14.8% year-over-year; Europe achieved $179.8 million, surpassing the estimate of $172.12 million, down -2.3% year-over-year [4] - Managed Services Revenue was reported at $748.3 million, slightly above the estimated $744.28 million, showing a year-over-year increase of +3.7% [4]
Amdocs (DOX) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 23:26
Core Insights - Amdocs reported quarterly earnings of $1.83 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.82 per share, and showing an increase from $1.70 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +0.55% [1] - The company generated revenues of $1.15 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.68%, although this represents a decline from $1.26 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Amdocs has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters, achieving this four times [2] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Amdocs shares will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.86 on revenues of $1.14 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.60 on revenues of $4.7 billion [7] Industry Context - The Computers - IT Services industry, to which Amdocs belongs, is currently ranked in the top 29% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [5][6]