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Review & Preview: The Fed's Fog
Barrons· 2025-10-29 22:02
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has implemented its anticipated interest rate cut, but the direction of its future monetary policy remains uncertain [1] Group 1 - The Fed's recent decision aligns with market expectations, indicating a proactive approach to economic conditions [1] - The uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move suggests potential volatility in financial markets [1] - Analysts are closely monitoring economic indicators to gauge the Fed's future policy direction [1]
Powell warns shutdown is clouding Fed's view of the economy: 'Driving in the fog'
Fox Business· 2025-10-29 21:25
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing government shutdown is creating uncertainty regarding key economic data, which may impact the Federal Reserve's decision-making for the upcoming December meeting [1][5][7]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Response - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need for caution in policy decisions due to the lack of complete economic data caused by the government shutdown [1][5]. - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on December 9-10, and Powell indicated that the Fed will continue its work despite the incomplete data [2][5]. - The Fed has already implemented its second interest rate cut of the year to support the labor market, even as inflation remains above target levels [7]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Powell noted that while official employment data for September is delayed, available evidence suggests low levels of layoffs and hiring, with declining perceptions of job availability among households and hiring difficulty among firms [9]. - The Fed is committed to collecting and evaluating all available data to make informed decisions, despite the challenges posed by the shutdown [7][10].
Dow’s climb toward 48,000 closing level is thwarted as Fed’s Powell pushes back on December rate cut
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 20:48
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's quarter-point interest rate cut was anticipated, but the lack of clear signals for future cuts disappointed investors, leading to mixed stock market reactions. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered its main interest-rate target by a quarter of a percentage point to a range of 3.75% to 4% [6] - The decision included two dissents: one member favored no change, while another preferred a larger 50-basis-point cut [6] - The Fed announced the end of its quantitative-tightening program in December [2][6] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the Fed's announcement, major U.S. stock indexes fell, with the Dow dropping almost 0.2%, the S&P 500 closing flat, and the Nasdaq Composite rising close to 0.6% for a record high [6] - Bond yields increased across the Treasury curve, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising 7.4 basis points to almost 4.06%, impacting mortgage rates [3] - Market participants were surprised by the Fed's lack of commitment to further rate cuts, which affected bond market reactions [4][7] Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Investors began the session optimistically, pushing major stock indexes higher, with the Dow briefly surpassing 48,000 for the first time [5] - Positive earnings reports and expectations for progress on U.S. trade deals with China and South Korea contributed to initial market optimism [5]
What a Federal Reserve rate cut means for your finances
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 19:42
Core Points - The Federal Reserve has cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point for the second time since September, following a nine-month period without cuts [1] - The federal funds rate influences borrowing costs for consumers, affecting credit cards, auto loans, and mortgages [1][3] - The Fed aims to manage inflation and encourage full employment, facing challenges with inflation above the 2% target and a weak job market [3] Impact on Savings and Loans - Falling interest rates will reduce the attractiveness of yields on savings accounts and certificates of deposit [4] - After the last rate cut in September, three of the top five high-yield savings accounts reduced their rates, with current top rates around 4.46% to 4.6% [5] - The national average for traditional savings accounts is significantly lower at 0.63% [6] - Prospective homebuyers have already factored in the recent rate cut into the housing market [7]
'Growing chorus' of support to skip rate cut ahead, says Fed Chair Powell
Youtube· 2025-10-29 19:40
Core Viewpoint - The discussion highlights differing perspectives within the committee regarding future interest rate cuts, emphasizing that a reduction is not guaranteed and depends on various economic indicators and risks [1][4][6]. Group 1: Interest Rate Decisions - The committee has reduced rates by 150 basis points, bringing them into the range of 3% to 4%, which aligns with many estimates of the neutral rate [2]. - There is a division among committee members on whether to pause further cuts or continue, reflecting differing views on economic conditions and risks [4][6]. - Some members advocate for a wait-and-see approach to assess the real impact of stronger economic growth and potential risks to the labor market [3][6]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The labor market is considered a more reliable indicator of economic momentum compared to spending data, suggesting that its performance will influence future policy decisions [3]. - There are concerns about inflation risks and employment risks, which contribute to the differing philosophies among committee members regarding monetary policy [5][6]. Group 3: Committee Dynamics - The committee is committed to achieving maximum employment and stable prices, but members have varying forecasts and risk tolerances, leading to disparate views on policy actions [6]. - The recent economic projections and public remarks from Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) participants indicate a growing sentiment for a cautious approach moving forward [7].
Bitcoin Tumbles After Rate Cut. Risk Off in Crypto?
Barrons· 2025-10-29 19:02
CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Oct. 29, 2025: Stocks and Bonds Take a Hit Last Updated: 4 hours ago Bitcoin Tumbles After Rate Cut. Risk Off in Crypto? By Paul R. La Monica Another interest rate cut in December "is not a foregone conclusion,†according to Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. That comment sparked a sell-off in stocks–and equities weren't the only "risk on†asset that took a tumble. Bitcoin prices, which were already down Wednesday, fell even further during Powell's press conference. Bitco ...
Miran Wanted a Bigger Rate Cut–Schmid Wanted None
Barrons· 2025-10-29 18:32
CONCLUDED Fed Meeting Today: Interest Rates, Quantitative Tightening, Powell Speech, and More Last Updated: Updated 4 hours ago Miran Wanted a Bigger Rate Cut–Schmid Wanted None By Sabrina Escobar Stephen Miran (L) and Jeffrey Schmid (R) (Getty Images(1); Bloomberg (1)) Fed governor Stephen Miran and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid were the sole dissenting votes at the October FOMC meeting. Miran voted against the committee's decision to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, prefer ...
US interest rates cut as concerns over Trump tariff inflation spike don't materialise
Sky News· 2025-10-29 18:12
Group 1 - The US central bank, the Federal Reserve, has cut interest rates for the second time this year, reducing the rate by a quarter of a percentage point to a range of 3.75%-4% [1] - The decision to cut rates was made despite the government shutdown, which has frozen non-essential government functions and delayed the release of key economic data [2] - Inflation data showed a rise to 3% in September, which is 1 percentage point above the Fed's target of 2%, but lower than economists' expectations, allowing for the rate cut [3] Group 2 - Fed Chair Jerome Powell has warned that the US economy is expected to grow less, and goods may become more expensive due to increased import taxes and supply disruptions [4] - President Trump has expressed frustration with the Fed, particularly targeting Powell's leadership and attempting to remove a rate-setter from her position [5][6] - The anticipation of an interest rate cut has positively influenced US and European stock markets, leading to record highs in major stock indexes [8]
The Fed announces its second rate cut of the year during the government shutdown
Business Insider· 2025-10-29 18:00
Core Points - The Federal Reserve announced a quarter-percent rate cut, aligning with market expectations despite a government shutdown disrupting major data releases [1][2] - The Fed's decision was made without complete economic data, as key reports like the September jobs report were delayed due to the government shutdown [2][4] - Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the Fed's dual mandate of maximum employment and tempered inflation, indicating a shift towards a more neutral policy in response to a softer job market [3][4] Economic Indicators - The consumer price index rose to 3% in September, slightly below the 3.1% forecast, marking the first time it has reached this level since January [8] - Job openings have declined, and unemployment has increased, with more Americans seeking work than available roles [4] - Consumer sentiment dipped in October, indicating a decrease in financial security among Americans [9] Fed's Internal Dynamics - The Federal Open Market Committee has shown division in recent decisions, with some members advocating for more aggressive rate cuts [10][11] - New Fed governor Stephen Miran preferred a half-percentage point cut, while others wanted to maintain current rates [10] - Political pressure from the Trump administration has influenced the Fed's decision-making, with calls for rate cuts from the president [12][13] Future Outlook - Powell stated that lower rates should support economic activity, particularly for consumers borrowing for mortgages and loans [14] - The Fed aims for a strong economy with a robust labor market and stable prices, although the immediate effects of a single rate cut may not be visible [14]
Fed cuts rates for the second time in 2 months
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 16:27
This story was originally published on Multifamily Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Multifamily Dive newsletter. The Federal Reserve cut its main interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday to a range between 3.75% to 4% following a two-day meeting. The decision marks the second rate reduction by the central bank this year, coming after it reduced rates by a quarter point in September. However, apartment industry observers don’t expect major short-term effects from th ...