Poland approved energy tariffs for next year, setting the key parameter for the power industry’s profitability, in a move that is poised to slightly increase electricity bills https://t.co/q0YasYIwLE ...

Market Trends & Dynamics - Expectation of increased dispersion in MAG7 stocks as the AI trade shifts focus [1] - Broadening market participation is likely to continue, albeit unevenly [1] - Market breadth, measured by the percentage of S&P constituents outperforming the index, increased from 17% over the past 6 months to 61% over the past month [2] - Small caps show the best improvement in breadth relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages among the three major indexes (Russell 2000, S&P, and NASDAQ) [3] - The economy is showing signs of slowing, a trend expected to persist into 2026 [5] Earnings & Multiples - Earnings have been driving market performance since August, offsetting flat multiple expansion [6] - Earnings trajectory needs to remain strong for another robust year in 2026 [6] Small Cap Analysis - Unprofitable stocks within the Russell 2000, representing approximately 40% of the index, have increased by 62% since April 8th, in contrast to the profitable stocks which are up 29% [8] - Recently, profitable stocks within small caps are showing more acceleration [9] - Recommendation to reduce exposure to unprofitable, lower-quality segments within small caps and increase exposure to higher-quality, profitable segments [9]

Core Viewpoint - Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) is currently rated as a Hold by the Seeking Alpha Quant rating system, while analysts show a Buy rating and Wall Street analysts rate it as a Strong Buy [3]. Company Overview - Alphabet Inc. has a market capitalization of $3.74 trillion and operates within the Communication Services sector, specifically in the Interactive Media and Services industry [4]. Valuation Metrics - The Valuation grade is an F, with an enterprise value-to-sales ratio of 9.56 compared to the sector average of 1.94, and a price-to-cash flow ratio of 23.65 versus the sector at 7.53 [5]. - The enterprise value-to-EBITDA stands at 20.84, significantly higher than the sector's 8.30, and the PEG non-GAAP forward ratio is 1.87 compared to the sector's 1.29, indicating overvaluation but a willingness among investors to pay for growth [5]. Growth Metrics - The Growth grade is a B, with a year-over-year revenue growth of 13.42%, outpacing the sector's 3.10%, and an EPS diluted growth of 34.51% compared to the sector's 18.64% [6]. Profitability Metrics - The Profitability grade is an A+, with a net income margin of 32.23%, significantly higher than the sector's 3.84% [6]. Momentum Metrics - The Momentum grade is also an A+, with a one-year price performance of 61.12% [6]. Revisions Metrics - The Revisions grade is an A, with 51 up revisions and 1 down revision for earnings per share in the last three months, and 52 up revisions with no down revisions for revenue in the same period [7]. Dividend Information - Alphabet pays a small yield of 27 basis points, which started in June 2024. The dividend grades include an A+ for safety and growth, but an F for yield and consistency, indicating underperformance compared to the sector [8].

Core Insights - Sea Limited has established itself as a leading tech company in Southeast Asia, driven by its three main businesses: E-Commerce (Shopee), Digital Financial Services (Monee), and Digital Entertainment (Garena) [1][2] - The company has experienced significant growth, particularly in its E-Commerce segment, but faces increasing competition and challenges in maintaining its market position [1][8] Company Overview - Sea Limited operates through three primary segments: Shopee for E-Commerce, Monee for digital financial services, and Garena for digital entertainment [1][2] - Garena's mobile game Free Fire was pivotal in establishing Sea's global presence and continues to be a key revenue driver [1][2] Recent Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Sea's revenue reached US$16.1 billion, a 35.5% year-on-year increase, with Shopee contributing 72% of this revenue [3][4] - Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) increased to US$91 billion, up from US$72 billion the previous year [3] - Monee's revenue grew by nearly 63% year-on-year, reaching US$2.7 billion, while Garena's revenue increased to US$1.7 billion [4] Profitability and Cash Flow - Sea achieved profitability in 2023 after a net loss of US$1.66 billion in 2022, with operating cash flow of US$3.5 billion for the first nine months of 2025 [5] - The positive cash flow allows the company to reinvest in its business without relying on external financing [5] Growth Potential - Shopee maintains a strong market position in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, with significant potential for Monee as it expands its digital payment and lending services [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for e-commerce and fintech services in a digitally savvy population [7] Competitive Landscape - Sea faces intense competition in the e-commerce sector from rivals like Alibaba's Lazada and ByteDance's TikTok Shop, which could impact margins due to aggressive promotional strategies [8] - The company must balance cost-cutting measures with the need for investment in future growth to maintain its competitive edge [9] Key Considerations - The stock trades at US$125.02, reflecting market concerns about consumer demand and competition [11] - Shopee's ability to maintain market leadership without overspending is crucial for future growth, alongside the sustainable scaling of Monee [12] - Garena's reliance on Free Fire poses a risk, necessitating the launch of new titles to diversify revenue sources [10][14] Strategic Outlook - Sea's long-term potential is anchored by Shopee and Monee, but the sustainability of Garena's performance remains uncertain [14] - The company must execute disciplined strategies to navigate the complexities of growth, profitability, and risk management across its diverse business segments [15]

Let's bring in Charlie Babrinskcoy. He's the vice chair of Aerial Investments. Charlie, it's great to see you again.Welcome. >> Thank you. Welcome back, Kelly.Great to see you. >> Thank you. And I you I one of my most memorable things right before I I think I I went out was that you had said to everybody, be careful with Oracle here.Think twice before getting involved. And that was maybe I don't know 30 40% from where we are now. So what what do you do with the stock now.Yeah, I think my exact words were tr ...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have added billions of dollars of mortgage backed securities and home loans to their balance sheets in recent months. That's adding to speculation. They're trying to lower lending rates and boost profitability ahead of a potential secondary offering.Bloomberg's Scott Carpenter covers credit and joins us here on set. Scott, great to have you on, on the program. This is a story that has been persistent because Bill Ackman often tweets about Fannie and Freddie.The president and those ...

Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) announced its 2030 corporate forecast, projecting significant earnings and cash flow growth, which positively impacted its share price by 3.07% to $119.54 [1] Financial Projections - By 2030, XOM anticipates $25 billion in earnings growth and a $35 billion increase in cash flow, both up $5 billion from previous estimates, achieved without increasing spending [2] - The upstream segment is expected to contribute over $14 billion in earnings growth, while the Product Solutions business is projected to exceed $9 billion [2] - XOM expects a return on capital employed of more than 17%, indicating strong operational efficiency and profitability, with a projected cumulative cash flow generation of $145 billion by 2030, assuming a Brent oil price of $65 per barrel [3] Shareholder Value and Capital Management - XOM is on track with a $20 billion share repurchase program for this year, maintaining the same pace for the following year, which is expected to drive earnings growth of around 13% through 2030 [4] - The company has increased its annualized dividend per share for 43 consecutive years, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [4] Production Expectations - By 2030, XOM's daily oil production is projected to rise to 5.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, primarily driven by advancements in the Permian Basin, offshore Guyana, and its LNG portfolio [5] Strategic Focus - The company is shifting its focus towards more profitable business areas while reducing operational costs and enhancing financial stability, which is expected to add long-term value for shareholders [6]

Core Viewpoint - Cemtrex, Inc. is undergoing a multi-year transformation aimed at expanding operating income, improving margins, and building a scalable enterprise [1] Group 1: Acquisition Strategy - The company is in the final stages of closing the acquisition of Invocon, a Texas-based aerospace and defense engineering firm, which is expected to enhance technology capabilities and contribute positively to operating income starting in fiscal 2026 [2] - Cemtrex has signed a new letter of intent to acquire a Tennessee-based industrial services business, which will extend the geographic footprint of its Advanced Industrial Services segment and is expected to enhance long-term earnings power [4] - The company previously decided not to proceed with the acquisition of a robotics integration firm, emphasizing a disciplined approach to acquisitions focused on profitability [3] Group 2: Operational Focus - Cemtrex is prioritizing profitability across its operating segments, with a focus on profitable growth and strengthening its earnings base [5] - The Advanced Industrial Services segment is maintaining solid performance with recurring customer activity and is emphasizing higher-margin work and geographic expansion [7] - Vicon Industries, part of Cemtrex's Security segment, has begun shipping units of its NEXT product line, with a focus on improving margins and driving efficiency through software and AI-enabled offerings [7] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company plans to continue pursuing additional acquisitions that align with its strategy to expand earnings scale and enhance strategic capabilities [5] - Cemtrex is committed to building a more resilient and higher-margin business, laying a foundation for long-term shareholder value [5]

And a lot of times what what a lot of protocols will sort of tout as revenue or profitability is more so just a circular economy. With stocks there's earnings and and like there's profitability, right. There's like an earnings report.Like an investor can take a look at the earnings report, see the company's growing, and then be like, "Yeah, I want to keep putting my money into that." With crypto, we don't really have that, right. Like it's just speculation. It's just kind of liquidity flows from one project ...

Core Viewpoint - Sweetgreen faced significant challenges in 2025, leading to a 78% decline in stock value year-to-date, but there are indications that the company's difficulties may be temporary, presenting potential for recovery in 2026 [3]. Sales Performance - Same-store sales at Sweetgreen fell by 9.5% in the third quarter of 2025, highlighting the operational challenges the company is experiencing [6]. - Comparisons for same-store sales are expected to improve in 2026, as the company will be comparing against a year with positive sales [6]. Profitability Outlook - Sweetgreen's GAAP operating loss widened in 2025, and the company anticipates reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss after achieving profitability in 2024 [9]. - Management is taking steps to strengthen the balance sheet, including the sale of Spyce and scaling back on new store openings, planning for 15-20 net new stores in 2026 compared to 37 in 2025 [9]. Cost Management - The company needs to improve cost control to enhance profitability, especially if same-store sales do not grow significantly [10]. - The stock's significant decline may provide an opportunity for a rebound if the company can effectively manage costs and improve its economic model [10].