All right, so estimates 2.9% headline. I know Jay Pal said 2.9% was fine for PCE. Is 2.9% okay for CPI knowing that we have this Fed meeting coming up just uh less than a week, just about 6 days away.And if it comes in in line or lower, what do you think that means for the market. Well, tough questions, right. A lot of questions.Uh 2.9%'s above the Fed's target. I mean, the CPI runs about a half a point above the consumer expenditure deflator, which is what the Fed targets, and that's the 2% target. So if y ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state of money market accounts (MMAs) and highlights the importance of earning competitive rates on savings as interest rates decline following recent Federal Reserve rate cuts [1][4]. Group 1: Current MMA Rates - The national average interest rate for money market accounts is 0.59%, but top rates can exceed 4% APY, comparable to high-yield savings accounts [3][8]. - Money market rates have begun to decline following the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, with the current federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50% after a series of reductions [4][5]. Group 2: Considerations for MMA - Money market accounts provide easy access to funds, often with check-writing capabilities or debit card access, making them suitable for those needing liquidity while earning better returns than traditional savings accounts [6][7]. - For conservative savers, MMAs are appealing due to FDIC insurance and the protection of principal, although riskier investments may be necessary for long-term savings goals [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - There is speculation about potential rate changes in the upcoming Federal Reserve meetings, indicating that current higher rates may be a last opportunity for savers [5].

Interest Rate Expectations & Monetary Policy - The market widely anticipates the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates this month [1][2] - A surprisingly strong CPI number could lead to a reduction in the number of rate cuts priced in for next year, potentially lifting short-term yields [2] - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to remain on hold, with potential minor changes in forecasts [4] - Market expectations for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to raise interest rates have shifted to next year, although some analysts still anticipate a hike this year [7][8] Currency Market - A strong CPI number's impact on the dollar is uncertain; it could either support the dollar with lifted yields or continue the depreciation trend [4] - The market is watching for the Euro to break out of its recent range and reach the 1.20 level, but it remains around 1.18 [5] - The dollar is expected to weaken if the Fed cuts rates while the ECB remains on hold, but this expectation is not strongly reflected in market activity [6] - Citigroup anticipates the dollar/yen to decline significantly, driven by the expectation of a BOJ rate hike [8] Economic Indicators - Recent inflation and jobs data have supported the idea that the Fed needs to proceed with rate cuts [3] - Bloomberg Economics suggests a potentially weak but not overly concerning economic outlook for the Eurozone [5] Geopolitical Factors - Political disruptions in Japan could complicate the BOJ's ability to implement a rate hike [7][8] - The intersection of politics and central bank decisions will require careful monitoring in the coming weeks [9]

Core Insights - Wholesale prices unexpectedly declined by 0.1% in August, contrary to Wall Street's expectation of a 0.4% increase, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics [1][2] - This decline marks the first decrease in wholesale prices since a 0.3% drop in April, indicating potential shifts in market dynamics [2] - The headline Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 2.6%, significantly below the estimated 3.3% rise and July's 3.1%, while core PPI also fell unexpectedly by 0.1% [2] Price Movements - The decrease in wholesale prices was influenced by a 2.3% increase in tobacco product prices, alongside a 2% rise in portfolio management costs and a notable 6.9% increase in coffee prices [3] Economic Context - Upcoming consumer price index data is anticipated to show inflation rising to 2.9% in August from 2.7% in July, which will be critical for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [4] - The Federal Reserve is currently considering a potential interest rate cut, with Wall Street assigning a 100% probability to this outcome [4] Market Reactions - President Trump praised the wholesale prices report, interpreting it as a sign of no inflation and urging the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates [5] Labor Market Insights - Recent unemployment data indicated a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% in August, which was above expectations, highlighting a deteriorating labor market [6] - The jobs report revealed that the U.S. had more unemployed individuals (7.2 million) than job openings (7.18 million) for the first time since April 2021, suggesting increased labor market uncertainty [6]

PPI was a big story, but we're getting some inventories. Let's get back to Rick Santelli. Hey, Rick.Yes, indeed. That PPI was a big story. All right, Carl.The monthly numbers turning negative first time since April. Wholesale inventories and trade sales. These are coming out July final.On inventories, it moves from 210 to up 110 from the midmon read. But on trade sales, this is a fresh July number, Carl, and it is a biggie. We're expecting up two ten up 1.4%.That is the best since February when it was uh 2% ...

ToplineWholesale prices declined unexpectedly in August after Wall Street anticipated an increase, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, whose report on consumer prices comes later this week as the Federal Reserve debates interest rates. A report on wholesale prices precedes consumer price data due later this week, as the Federal Reserve debates interest rates.AFP via Getty Images ...

Core Insights - Treasuries rose, particularly short-dated notes, following a weaker-than-expected wholesale inflation reading, which solidified expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week [1][3] - The yield on two-year notes fell to 3.52%, while the benchmark 10-year notes decreased to 4.06% [2] Inflation Data - The producer price index for August decreased by 0.1% month-over-month, marking the first decline in four months [3] - Core consumer prices are expected to rise at an annualized rate of 3.1%, significantly above the Fed's 2% inflation target [5] Market Expectations - Traders have fully priced in a 25 basis point reduction at the upcoming Fed meeting, with additional cuts anticipated in October and December [4] - Market sentiment indicates a strong belief that the Fed will respond to labor market weaknesses by easing monetary policy [7]

Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Gold futures opened at $3,672.80 per ounce on Friday, reflecting a 1% increase from Thursday's close of $3,636.90, and reached a high of $3,695.50 that morning [1][2] - The current price of gold has increased by 2.9% from the opening price of $3,567.80 one week ago and has risen 9.4% over the past month from $3,356.20 on August 12, 2025 [3] - Year-over-year, gold prices have surged by 45.2% from the opening price of $2,529.10 on September 12, 2024 [3] Group 2: Market Influences - Gold prices did not react significantly to a higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index report for August, which showed a 0.4% increase after a 0.2% rise in July [2] - Despite inflation concerns, investors anticipate the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week due to a weakening employment situation in the U.S., which could further drive gold prices higher [2] - Lower interest rates enhance gold's attractiveness compared to cash and fixed income, while its status as a safe-haven asset increases demand during price rises [2] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Costco has begun selling gold bars, silver coins, and platinum bars, providing a convenient option for investors looking to diversify their wealth [5][6] - The club store first introduced gold bars in 2023, followed by silver and platinum, with all three precious metals showing substantial price increases in 2025 [6] - Analysts remain bullish on gold, with Goldman Sachs predicting a price of $3,700 per troy ounce by year-end 2025, representing a 40% increase from the January 2 opening price of $2,633 [10]

Federal Reserve Independence & Credibility - The market is approaching a credibility crisis due to President Trump's actions regarding the Federal Reserve, including attempts to remove Governor Lisa Cook and influence interest rates [2][3] - The President's demands for a 3% interest rate cut and rhetoric towards Chairman Powell are unprecedented and concerning [3] - The financial industry expresses more concern over local grocery store policies than the potential politicization of the Fed, which poses a major threat to the financial system [6] Market & Economic Implications - Inflation expectations are trending upwards, and the spread between 30-year and 10-year bonds is widening, signaling potential market instability [4] - Markets are pricing in expected rate cuts, so the actual cut in September may not significantly impact long-term rates unless it signals a shift towards prioritizing easy rates [9] - Politicizing the Fed could lead to a pattern similar to the 1970s, where long-term rates rise despite rate cuts [10] Potential Policy Responses - If long-term rates increase, the administration might consider quantitative easing or pressure banks and pension funds to buy long-term bonds, which could compromise the financial system's integrity [11]

Tonight, President Trump is dismissing the latest disappointing jobs numbers. They'll say, "You're losing jobs." And then they say, "By the way, we have a correction a month later." It follows a weaker than expected jobs report. Employers only adding 22,000 new hires in August.And revised numbers show 13,000 jobs lost in June. The first time that's happened since the pandemic. Unemployment ticking up slightly to 4.3%.The White House acknowledges it's a setback. Inflation is low and economic growth is solid. ...