Well, we mentioned it before, but today is the six-month anniversary of the tariff crash low. The S&P 500 is up 35% since then. Our next guest says a return of volatility would not be surprising, but growth opportunities still exist.So, let's bring in Henyan and Walsh Asset Management President and CIO Kevin Man. Kevin, it's great to have you back here. >> Thank you, Morgan.>> On set, I mean, 35% gain in the S&P in six months. Who would have thought it. >> Who would have thought it.But if history serves as ...

Paul, it's great to have you on. And let's start right there. What are you looking at that indicates that momentum is slowing.>> Yeah, thanks. No, we're starting to see the gains be a little bit less than they were in previous days, a little bit like throwing a ball in the air where it as it gets to its peak, its rate of in of increase or its rate of climb gets less and then you're then you get the ball falling. So, could the market fall here.Yes, absolutely. uh as we saw in January, it would only take one ...

Market Outlook & Strategy - Edward Jones believes the market is in a unique period, driven by both the secular theme of AI and a cyclical theme supported by potential Fed rate cuts [4] - Edward Jones anticipates broadening earnings growth beyond technology and AI sectors in the coming year, potentially leading to broader market leadership [5] - While acknowledging the S&P 500's significant rise of over 35% since its low, Edward Jones doesn't foresee the fundamental story being derailed, though volatility is possible [5] - Edward Jones expects the Fed to move towards a neutral stance, potentially cutting rates from 425-450 basis points to 325-350 basis points, which could stimulate consumer demand and benefit cyclical market sectors [7] - Edward Jones favors diversification as a key investment strategy, emphasizing exposure to both large-cap (AI technology) and mid-cap (cyclical expansion) stocks [8][10] AI Theme & Investment - Edward Jones views the AI theme as having a long runway, starting with data center infrastructure and semiconductors, and eventually extending to sectors benefiting from AI's productivity gains, such as financial services, healthcare, and industrials [11] - Edward Jones suggests that the current AI trend is more akin to the 1995-1996 period, implying substantial growth potential [10] Diversification & Alternative Investments - Edward Jones notes increased interest in gold as a diversifier due to factors like softening dollar and fiscal debt, but suggests exposure through gold mining stocks, particularly in Canada's material sector [13][14] - Edward Jones recommends a basket of commodities, including precious and industrial metals, for diversification in the next phase of the cycle [14]

Core Insights - Gold investment carries inherent risks similar to other investments, including price risk, speculation risk, opportunity cost, and fraud risk [1][4][5][8] Price Risk - Investors face price risk when purchasing gold at high prices, as buying high in hopes of short-term gains can be challenging [1] - Gold is recovering from historically low prices and is increasingly viewed as a diversification asset by central banks and individual investors [2] - Proper expectations, a long investment timeline, and appropriate allocation can mitigate pricing risk, with gold primarily serving as a stabilizer in a diversified portfolio [3] Speculation Risk - Gold should be viewed as a speculative investment due to its dependence on unpredictable macroeconomic, political, industrial, and financial factors [4] - Investors should be cautious of over-exposure and unrealistic expectations regarding gold's performance [4] Opportunity Cost Risk - Opportunity cost refers to potential gains from alternative investments while funds are tied up in gold, which historically serves as a diversification asset rather than a growth driver [5][6] - A low allocation to gold can help minimize lost opportunities in other assets [6] Fraud Risk - The gold market is not subject to securities regulations, which can lead to increased risks of fraud, including low-quality or counterfeit products and scams involving non-existent mines or fake gold-backed certificates [8][10] - It is crucial for investors to research the reputation of organizations before making investments in gold [8] Conclusion - While gold offers diversification benefits and inflation hedging, its unpredictability introduces speculation and opportunity cost risks, along with price risk when purchased at high levels. The prevalence of financial scams in the gold industry necessitates careful selection of providers [9]

Uh Nicole Webb, I think we've figured out those technical difficulties. Nicole, I'm going to bring you back into this conversation and maybe we'll start right there because I asked you what the next key catalyst was for this market, but we know tech has continued to dominate here. Uh so what's your takeaway.>> Yeah, the the thing that I wanted to get across earlier was just this. We believe that the banks are going to kick off this earning season in just a couple of well, not even two weeks now. Uh really s ...

Group 1: Currency and Gold Market Dynamics - The perception of gold as a safer asset compared to the US dollar is growing among investors, reflecting concerns about geopolitical risks and the dollar's status [1][7]. - The dollar remains strong in the forex market, but there are emerging trends that suggest a potential shift in investor sentiment towards gold [2][3]. - Despite the recent correction in the dollar, it is not expected to lead to a significant turnaround in its status as a global currency [5][8]. Group 2: Sentiment and Investment Strategies - Gold is viewed as a sentiment gauge rather than a traditional investment, as it does not generate income but reflects market sentiment [6][10]. - The current surge in gold prices is not accompanied by a defensive trade in US equity markets, indicating a complex relationship between these asset classes [7][8]. - Diversification into various asset classes, including gold, is becoming increasingly important for investors, especially younger ones entering the market [11][12]. Group 3: Tech Sector and Market Concentration - The concentration of the top ten stocks in the S&P 500, which account for 41% of the index, poses a risk due to their significant influence on market movements [20][21]. - Historical comparisons to the tech bubble of the late 1990s highlight the unique nature of market cycles, suggesting that current conditions may not mirror past events [19][20]. - Investors are advised to consider strategies to mitigate volatility associated with concentrated positions in the tech sector [21][22].

Core Insights - PepsiCo, Inc. demonstrates resilience in a slowing global economy, reporting Q2 2025 earnings per share of $2.12 and revenues of $22.73 billion, reflecting a modest year-over-year increase [1][8] - The company's diversified business model across beverages, snacks, and nutrition products provides a buffer against inflationary pressures and slowing consumer spending [1][3] Group 1: Business Performance - PepsiCo's strong performance is attributed to its broad geographic and category diversification, particularly in international markets like Latin America, India, and parts of Europe and the Middle East [2] - The North American operations are undergoing a multiyear integration initiative aimed at improving efficiency and reducing costs, unlocking synergies between beverages and snacks divisions [2] - Investment in technology, AI-driven productivity, and data analytics is enhancing operational efficiency while maintaining innovation across key brands [2][3] Group 2: Product Strategy - The ongoing portfolio transformation towards "permissible" and functional products, including low-sugar beverages and protein-infused snacks, aligns with consumer preferences for health and sustainability [3] - Focus on high-margin away-from-home channels may help offset potential declines in retail volumes due to weakened discretionary spending [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Coca-Cola and Keurig Dr Pepper are also leveraging their diversified product portfolios and global presence to navigate economic challenges [4][5][6] - Coca-Cola's strategy includes a wide range of beverages beyond soda, which helps sustain volumes despite inflationary pressures [5] - Keurig Dr Pepper's balance between at-home coffee consumption and a broad cold beverage portfolio positions it well for potential economic downturns [6] Group 4: Financial Metrics - PepsiCo's stock has seen an approximate decline of 8.1% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry's growth of 1.3% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.66X, slightly above the industry average of 17.37X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year decline of 1.6% in 2025 earnings, with a projected growth of 5.8% in 2026 [10]

Core Viewpoint - The focus is on constructing investment portfolios that generate additional income through dividends, emphasizing companies with competitive advantages and strong financials to provide attractive Dividend Yield and Dividend Growth [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy aims to combine high Dividend Yield and Dividend Growth companies to reduce dependence on broader stock market fluctuations [1] - A well-diversified portfolio across various sectors and industries is recommended to minimize volatility and mitigate risk [1] - Incorporating companies with a low Beta Factor is suggested to further reduce the overall risk level of the investment portfolio [1] Group 2: Portfolio Composition - Suggested investment portfolios typically consist of a blend of ETFs and individual companies, focusing on broad diversification and risk reduction [1] - The selection process for high dividend yield and dividend growth companies is meticulously curated, prioritizing total return, which includes both capital gains and dividends [1] - This approach ensures that the portfolio is designed to maximize returns while considering a full spectrum of potential income sources [1]

Investment Strategy Importance - A clear investment strategy is crucial for reaching financial goals, acting as a roadmap to navigate the market's unpredictability [1][2] - Investors with a well-defined and consistently followed strategy tend to outperform those without one [3] - Emotions can negatively impact investment decisions, but a solid strategy helps investors make choices based on goals, not feelings [3] Building an Investment Strategy - Experts recommend covering minimum payments, maintaining sufficient cash for daily expenses, utilizing workplace 401K matches, paying off high-interest debt, and fully funding emergency savings before investing [4] - Determine investment goals (long-term like retirement, short-term like education, or mid-term like buying a house) and their timelines to tailor the strategy [4][5] - Risk tolerance is a critical factor; higher risk can lead to greater gains or losses, while lower risk is suitable for shorter timelines [5][6] Investment Options and Considerations - When evaluating stocks, consider the company's business potential, market share growth, revenue and earnings growth, product/service value, and analyst ratings [8] - For bonds, assess the credit rating to gauge the issuer's financial health and repayment likelihood, as well as the bond's duration to understand its sensitivity to interest rate changes [8][9] - Diversification is essential; avoid over-concentration in a single stock or bond to mitigate risk [10] - When selecting ETFs and mutual funds, align the fund's objective with investment goals and consider funds with diversified investments [10][11] - Expense ratios impact returns; even small differences can accumulate significantly over time [11][12] Managing and Maintaining the Strategy - Regularly review and adjust the investment strategy to align with changing needs, timeframes, and risk appetite [14] - Rebalancing the portfolio periodically is essential to maintain the desired asset allocation [14] - Experts suggest reviewing and confirming investment goals at least annually [15]

Mark Cuban hasn’t been afraid to share his thoughts on business and investing, even if he has ruffled some feathers along the way. Some of his investment takes are pretty basic and politically correct. Avoid debt, learn constantly, be patient and only invest in what you understand. That’s pretty straightforward, but Cuban hasn’t always given investing tips that everyone agrees with. The billionaire entrepreneur stirred up controversy in a 2011 Wall Street Journal interview by saying that “diversification ...