Workflow
Risk Management
icon
Search documents
X @Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal· 2025-10-07 01:49
If you want to reduce risk and play for higher prices consider selling some and buying longer dated calls where you can only lose your premium (as I did in 2021 with ETH and only risked 5% for a potential leg higher which failed).I appreciate your attention in this matter. ...
X @Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal· 2025-10-07 01:49
On my own circumstances, not yours.Also don't forget that your risk profile is different to mine.I can afford to take outrageously concentrated risks like having 80%+ of my liquid stack in Sui.Your mileage will differ. Sui might not be the best bet... ...
How To Build An Investing Strategy | Fidelity Investments
Fidelity Investments· 2025-10-06 20:00
Investment Strategy Importance - A clear investment strategy is crucial for reaching financial goals, acting as a roadmap to navigate the market's unpredictability [1][2] - Investors with a well-defined and consistently followed strategy tend to outperform those without one [3] - Emotions can negatively impact investment decisions, but a solid strategy helps investors make choices based on goals, not feelings [3] Building an Investment Strategy - Experts recommend covering minimum payments, maintaining sufficient cash for daily expenses, utilizing workplace 401K matches, paying off high-interest debt, and fully funding emergency savings before investing [4] - Determine investment goals (long-term like retirement, short-term like education, or mid-term like buying a house) and their timelines to tailor the strategy [4][5] - Risk tolerance is a critical factor; higher risk can lead to greater gains or losses, while lower risk is suitable for shorter timelines [5][6] Investment Options and Considerations - When evaluating stocks, consider the company's business potential, market share growth, revenue and earnings growth, product/service value, and analyst ratings [8] - For bonds, assess the credit rating to gauge the issuer's financial health and repayment likelihood, as well as the bond's duration to understand its sensitivity to interest rate changes [8][9] - Diversification is essential; avoid over-concentration in a single stock or bond to mitigate risk [10] - When selecting ETFs and mutual funds, align the fund's objective with investment goals and consider funds with diversified investments [10][11] - Expense ratios impact returns; even small differences can accumulate significantly over time [11][12] Managing and Maintaining the Strategy - Regularly review and adjust the investment strategy to align with changing needs, timeframes, and risk appetite [14] - Rebalancing the portfolio periodically is essential to maintain the desired asset allocation [14] - Experts suggest reviewing and confirming investment goals at least annually [15]
Can I Retire at 65 With $940k in an IRA and $2,200 in Social Security?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-06 13:00
Core Insights - The article discusses retirement planning for individuals with $940,000 in an IRA and expected Social Security benefits of $2,200 per month, focusing on whether this is sufficient for retirement at age 65 [1][6][21] Retirement Income Calculation - Potential portfolio income is a significant aspect of retirement planning, often exceeding Social Security income for most individuals [2] - Social Security benefits can be maximized by delaying collection until age 70, increasing monthly benefits to $2,728, or $32,736 annually [3] - If retiring at 65, Social Security payments would be reduced to $1,906 per month, or $22,880 annually [4][7] Investment Options - Investing in corporate bonds with a 5% annual yield could grow the IRA to approximately $1.2 million by age 65, generating about $60,000 annually in retirement [8][10] - Annuities can provide guaranteed monthly income, with a potential payout of $7,566 per month, or $90,792 annually, if the entire IRA is invested in an annuity [12][13] - Investing in the stock market, such as an S&P 500 fund, could yield an average return of 11% per year, potentially growing the portfolio to $1.58 million by age 65, resulting in $173,800 in annual returns [16][17] Tax Considerations - Withdrawals from an IRA are subject to income taxes, and approximately 80% of Social Security benefits may also be taxable [18] - Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) begin at age 73, with the amount depending on age and portfolio size [19] Conclusion - Individuals planning to retire at 65 should ensure their savings are adequate, considering Social Security benefits, income sources, and risk management [21]
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-10-06 11:00
The cold war was terrifying. Managing risk today is arguably more complex. We explain why history suggests escalation is not always a sign that something is going wrong, however https://t.co/wzdOKWw3cEIllustration: Chloe Cushman https://t.co/5cChIfW4nz ...
The ONLY 3 Indicators I use to make $3,291/Day Trading
Craig Percoco· 2025-10-05 15:00
Trading Strategy Overview - The core strategy revolves around identifying areas where price is expected to move in a specific direction, while maintaining contained risk [7][8] - The strategy uses a combination of indicators, price action analysis, and confluence factors to filter out noise and identify high-probability trading opportunities [9][20] - The strategy emphasizes simplicity in charting to improve clarity and repeatability in trade execution [7] Key Indicators and Tools - The strategy uses custom indicators like "it Foundation" to identify the New York Stock Exchange open at 9:30 [5] - "Inevitable Trade Pro Plus" is used to highlight overvalued and undervalued areas based on RSI [5] - Trend line tools, trend-based Fibonacci extensions, and rectangle boxes are used for technical analysis [6] - Lux Algo's fair value gap indicator is used to identify potential areas of price reaction [6] Core Trading Principles - The strategy focuses on identifying trends after the New York open at 9:30, looking for price movement in a positive or negative direction [10][11] - Identifying overvalued or undervalued areas is a key component, but these indicators should not be used in isolation [12][14] - The strategy incorporates "change of character" to identify potential trend reversals [15][16] - Fair value gaps are used to pinpoint high-potency areas for potential trades [18][19] Risk Management and Profitability - The trader aims to achieve approximately five positive risk factors per week, which translates to one per day [8] - The strategy involves containing the downside and allowing winners to run [9] - The trader emphasizes the importance of consistency and letting winners run to maximize profitability [56] - The trader's win rate is in the high to medium 30% range, indicating that managing losses is crucial [27] Confluence Factors - The "oversight underside retest" is a key confluence factor, involving price breaking and retesting trend levels [29][30] - Fibonacci projections are used to identify potential trend reversals based on the golden ratio [33][34] - The strategy considers whether a five-wave pattern is complete and if the Fibonacci levels align with potential reversal points [36][37] Entry Model - The entry model involves waiting for price to come down into the midpoint of a fair value gap, known as the consequential encroachment level [38] - The trader anticipates these levels and positions risk outside of the candle producing the fair value gap [39][41] - Risk is reduced systematically as the trade moves in the desired direction [53]
Short-Dated Options Are Transforming Grain Markets | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-03 15:30
Market Trend - Agricultural markets are experiencing a shift towards shorter-term options, indicating a focus on swift risk management [1] - Nearly 40% of grains and oil seed options volume is traded at 30 Days To Expiration (DTE) or less [2] - Since 2020, over 46% of Chicago wheat options volume has been traded at 30 DTE or less [3] - Over 40% of soybean and soybean oil options volume falls into the 30 DTE or less category [3] Risk Management - The preference for options with fewer days to expiration (DTE) is increasing [2] - Weekly options offer granular hedging opportunities [2] - Short-dated new crop options allow for targeted risk management around critical events like planting, harvests, and USDA reports [2] - Lower DTE strategies have become essential due to supply chain vulnerabilities to weather shocks, political events, and policy changes [4] Underlying Factors - The trend in wheat options is likely tied to hedging against political supply side risks [3] - The trend in soybean and soybean oil options reflects the need to manage sudden policy and other demand side risks [3]
NASDAQ 100 Index, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Forecasts – US Indices Quiet Without NFP
FX Empire· 2025-10-03 13:54
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for investment actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1].
Texas Pacific Land: Premium Justified, Buy This Ideal Royalty Play
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-03 11:46
Core Insights - Texas Pacific Land (TPL) is described as a hidden gem in Wall Street, contrasting with larger companies like Exxon and Chevron, yet it plays a significant role in the industry [1] Company Overview - TPL operates in the land and resource management sector, focusing on oil and gas production, which is essential for energy supply [1] Investment Perspective - The article emphasizes the potential of TPL as an investment opportunity, highlighting its undervalued status compared to more prominent oil companies [1] Analyst Background - The analysis is provided by a professional portfolio manager with extensive experience in risk management and financial market analysis, indicating a well-informed perspective on TPL [1]
X @Bitget
Bitget· 2025-10-03 10:52
Risk Management - To mitigate the risk of trading tokens with identical tickers, the industry advises referring to the contract address provided in the official announcement [1]