🎧 TUNE IN: What’s really behind crypto’s 2025 volatility?Bitcoin’s drop to the low-$80Ks, over $1T erased from market cap, and record ETF outflows aren’t caused by blow-ups — this downturn is macro and liquidity-driven.Host @savannah_fortis joins @noelleinmadrid, @TimMeggs, and @glengoodman to explain the forces shaking the market and how to navigate them. ...

The reason why I think hedging is so important is that okay if we have a spot position what it means okay maybe for bitcoin if we holding spot that means we are betting the market would go up that's why you have this long position already >> and uh for people out there they have a salary they have pension fund they have 401ks they are generally betting the market to go up only so in other words they are in a long position at the same time. So if your whole portfolio is betting the market to go up only you'r ...

Market Outlook - The market has been volatile and news-driven, especially in the AI space [2] - Market conditions are strong towards the end of the year and potentially through February [3] - Hedge funds have shown significant buying volume [4] - The market may experience low volatility due to the absence of major news cycles [4] - A Federal Reserve rate cut is anticipated, with Fed funds futures indicating an 86% chance [5] - The market is expected to perform well over the next four to five months [5] - GDP growth is expected to be around 2% [16] Investment Strategy - Investors should be mindful of market rotation, with value areas like financials, energy, and healthcare showing relative strength [9][10] - Technology stocks, while still showing growth, may need to consolidate [11] - Investors should avoid unprofitable tech names and meme stocks [11] - Metals are viewed positively, despite expected volatility [14] - Energy plays can satisfy both the AI growth story and the natural resources value story [15] Potential Risks and Considerations - The second year of a presidential cycle historically sees a correction, typically starting in mid-March [13] - Tax cuts and deregulation may mitigate the typical weakness in the second year of a presidential cycle [14] - The economy has "ankle weights" and will experience news-driven events that create volatility [17]

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The S&P 500 may end November essentially flat, but the path forward looks meaningfully clearer as volatility calms down, stock market breath improves and trend-following strategies turn into buyers, according to Goldman Sachs Group’s trading desk https://t.co/zL0eRtDAMs ...

The volatility is likely going to pick up as Bitcoin has been showing strength with its recent bounce.That's why I think that #Altcoins will make a comeback, including $ARB.Looking to see whether Arbitrum can break $0.25 in the coming 1-2 weeks.If that happens, then I assume we'll see a test at $0.40. ...

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Growing expectations for an interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve are contributing to a positive trend in global equity markets, potentially leading to the best week since June [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Impact - Optimism surrounding Federal Reserve easing is influencing market sentiment and driving equity performance [1] - The anticipation of interest-rate cuts is seen as a key factor in the current market rally [1] Group 2: Market Volatility - There is a cautionary note regarding potential volatility in the markets due to the optimism already being priced in [1] - The interplay between Federal Reserve policies and advancements in AI is highlighted as a significant factor for future market movements [1]

Market Analysis and Predictions - The crypto market is experiencing a downturn, with BTC significantly below its previous high of $126,000 and altcoins performing even worse [1][4] - Historically, BTC has experienced drawdowns averaging around 80% from peak to trough in bear markets [5] - A classic 75% drawdown from a $126,000 high could put BTC's low around $30,000, aligning with previous consolidation areas [7][8] - Past cycles suggest a full bear market for BTC, from peak to recovery, averages 12 to 15 months [15] - If BTC follows historical patterns, the final bottom could be around late 2026 or early 2027 [16] Factors Influencing Market Behavior - The classic 4-year halving cycle may be disrupted by ETFs, institutional flows, and policy decisions [19] - The market has matured with increased liquidity and sophisticated players, potentially reducing volatility compared to earlier cycles [11] - Significant demand has come from consistent ETF flows, with cumulative net inflows of $58 billion representing 66% of BTC's market cap [26][28] - Derivatives markets, particularly options, are playing a larger role in hedging downside risk and damping volatility [30][31][32] Potential Risks and Bearish Scenarios - A proper macro shock, such as a recession or a correction in the AI trade, could trigger a significant sell-off in BTC [35][36][37] - Leveraged digital asset treasuries (DATs) and potential outflows from spot ETFs could exacerbate downward pressure on BTC [39][40] - Remote issues like advancements in quantum computing could negatively impact market sentiment [41][42] Altcoin Performance - ETH has historically been more volatile than BTC in downturns, with drawdowns ranging from 80% to 90% [45] - ETH now has stronger structural support with proof of stake, a growing DeFi ecosystem, and US spot ETFs [45][46] - Other major altcoins are likely to experience even harder and faster drawdowns than BTC [55]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the volatility and lack of income associated with cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, contrasting them with high-yielding closed-end funds (CEFs) that provide reliable dividends and less volatility [2][14]. Cryptocurrency Insights - Bitcoin has experienced significant declines in 2025 despite initial bullish signals from political endorsements and family investments, leading to losses for many investors [4][7]. - The article suggests that while crypto can yield vast riches through well-timed bets, such strategies are not sustainable for building lasting wealth [3][4]. Investment Alternatives - The focus shifts to two specific CEFs: BlackRock Science and Technology Trust (BST) and BlackRock Science and Technology Term Trust (BSTZ), which yield 7.7% and 9% respectively, while investing in top-quality tech stocks [8][9]. - These funds have been performing similarly to the S&P 500, providing both stock-like performance and bond-like income, making them attractive to disciplined investors [9][11]. Market Dynamics - Both BST and BSTZ are currently trading at an average discount of around 9.6% to their net asset value (NAV), which has widened recently, presenting a buying opportunity for investors [11][12]. - The article advocates for a strategy of purchasing these funds during market panics to benefit from their dividends and potential price recovery during bull runs [13][14]. Income Strategy - The article highlights a mini-portfolio of five monthly dividend funds with an average yield of 9.3%, suggesting that now is an opportune time to invest in these funds to benefit from consistent income streams [15][16][17].