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Japan's population crisis reaches tipping point | FT Film
Financial Times· 2025-05-23 05:05
[Music] Japan is having fewer babies than ever [Music] before. Meanwhile, the number of very elderly people is at a record high. This year brings the country to a tipping point known as the 2025 problem with Japan's huge postwar baby boom generation now all in their mid to late 70s.When it comes to living with a shrinking and aging population, the data clearly shows that Japan is ahead of other countries, but also that its path isn't unique, and neither are the potential solutions. So, the rest of the world ...
Cognex: Attractively Priced Despite Near-Term Headwinds
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-12 13:13
Company Overview - Cognex's share price has faced pressure recently due to valuation concerns and mixed demand across various end markets [1] - The company has significant exposure to logistics, automotive, and consumer electronics sectors [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights [1] Market Dynamics - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] Leadership Background - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University [1] - He has passed the CFA exams, indicating a strong foundation in finance and investment analysis [1]