March 10-year T-notes (ZNH6) today are up +2 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -2.2 bp to 4.166%. Mar T-note futures rebounded from a 3-month low today and moved higher, and the 10-year T-note yield fell from a 3-month high of 4.207%. T-notes found support after the US Q3 employment index rose less than expected, a dovish factor for Fed policy. Short covering also emerged in T-notes today after crude oil prices stumbled to a 2-week low, which lowered inflation expectations. In addition, position squar ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones index dropping over 200 points, down 0.46% to 47,733.58. The NASDAQ fell 0.32% to 23,501.92, and the S&P 500 also decreased by 0.46% to 6,838.69 [1] - In the commodities market, oil prices fell by 1.6% to $59.14, gold decreased by 0.6% to $4,219.60, silver dropped 1.1% to $58.395, and copper fell 0.7% to $5.4225 [5] Sector Performance - Information technology shares increased by 0.6% on Monday, while communication services stocks saw a decline of 2.1% [1] European Market - European shares showed mixed results, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 falling 0.07%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index rising 0.14%, London's FTSE 100 down 0.23%, Germany's DAX 40 gaining 0.07%, and France's CAC 40 falling 0.08% [6] Asian Market - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei rising 0.18%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng dipping 1.23%, China's Shanghai Composite increasing by 0.54%, and India's BSE Sensex declining by 0.71% [7] Company News - Structure Therapeutics Inc. saw its shares surge 100% to $68.95 following the announcement of positive topline data from its ACCESS clinical program for aleniglipron, aimed at treating obesity [9] - Wave Life Sciences Ltd. shares increased by 124% to $16.77 after reporting positive interim Phase 1 data for its obesity drug WVE-007 [9] - Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. shares rose 63% to $14.50 after initial results from its Phase 1b PIONEER trial of Pociredir in sickle cell disease showed promising outcomes [9] - SMX (Security Matters) Public Limited Company shares dropped 57% to $141.56 after a significant rise of 135% on the previous Friday [9] - BiomX Inc. shares fell 33% to $3.4398 after discontinuing its Phase 2b trial of BX004 in cystic fibrosis patients [9] - Meihua International Medical Technologies Co., Ltd. shares decreased by 38% to $8.66 following the announcement of its delisting from Nasdaq [9]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones index falling over 200 points, down 0.46% to 47,733.58. The NASDAQ decreased by 0.32% to 23,501.92, and the S&P 500 also fell 0.46% to 6,838.69 [1] Sector Performance - Information technology shares increased by 0.6% on the same day, while communication services stocks dropped by 2.1% [1] Commodity Prices - Oil prices fell by 1.6% to $59.14, gold decreased by 0.6% to $4,219.60, silver dropped by 1.1% to $58.395, and copper fell by 0.7% to $5.4225 [5] European Market Performance - European shares showed mixed results, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 down 0.07%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index up 0.14%, London's FTSE 100 down 0.23%, Germany's DAX 40 up 0.07%, and France's CAC 40 down 0.08% [6] Asian Market Performance - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei rising 0.18%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 1.23%, China's Shanghai Composite up 0.54%, and India's BSE Sensex declining 0.71% [7] Company News - Structure Therapeutics Inc. saw its shares surge 100% to $68.95 following positive topline data from its clinical program for obesity treatment [9] - Wave Life Sciences Ltd. shares increased by 124% to $16.77 after reporting positive interim Phase 1 data for its obesity drug [9] - Fulcrum Therapeutics, Inc. shares rose 63% to $14.50 after initial results from its Phase 1b trial showed promising outcomes in sickle cell disease [9] - SMX Public Limited Company shares dropped 57% to $141.56 after a significant rise the previous day [9] - BiomX Inc. shares fell 33% to $3.4398 after discontinuing its Phase 2b trial for cystic fibrosis [9] - Meihua International Medical Technologies Co., Ltd. shares decreased by 38% to $8.66 following the announcement of its delisting from Nasdaq [9]

US consumer inflation expectations were stable in November while perceptions about job prospects improved, according to a survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York https://t.co/pw0FrSN1Bi ...

Core Insights - Consumers are feeling the impact of high prices but are increasingly optimistic about future inflation relief, as indicated by the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which rose to 53.3 in December from 51.0 in November, surpassing economists' forecasts [1][3][8] Consumer Sentiment - The improvement in consumer sentiment was largely driven by a 13% increase in expectations for future personal finances, with optimism expressed across various demographics [3][4] - Despite the positive shift, overall consumer sentiment remains low, with many still concerned about high prices affecting their financial outlook [4][8] Inflation Expectations - Year-ahead inflation expectations decreased for the fourth consecutive month, with consumers now anticipating a rate of 4.1%, down from 4.5% in the previous month [5][8] - This marks the lowest inflation expectations since January, although they remain above pre-pandemic levels [6][8] Economic Implications - Shifts in consumer sentiment and inflation expectations can influence interest rates, market performance, and consumer spending, which is a significant component of the U.S. economy [2][4] - Economists, including Federal Reserve officials, monitor these expectations closely as they can affect price-setting and wage-setting trends [4][6]

Economic Sentiment and Consumer Confidence - Consumer confidence is showing slight improvement, with inflation expectations decreasing compared to previous readings [1][2] - Although overall sentiment has increased, it remains at historically low levels [2] - Consumers are feeling some relief regarding inflation but are still cautious about the economy [3] Spending Behavior and Economic Conditions - Historically, consumer confidence correlates with spending; when confidence is low, spending tends to decrease [5] - In 2022, despite low confidence, consumers were willing to spend due to strong labor markets and income stability [5] - Currently, consumers report weakening labor markets, leading to less willingness to spend, particularly among middle and lower-income groups [6][8] Income Distribution and Spending Patterns - High-income consumers with stable incomes and significant stock portfolios are more likely to continue spending [8] - Consumers with smaller portfolios or job insecurity are more cautious and focused on value when making spending decisions [8] - The distribution of income and wealth is highly skewed, with high-income individuals contributing significantly to aggregate spending [9][10]

Core Insights - The article discusses the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index, which reflects consumer attitudes towards the economy and personal financial situations [1][2]. Group 1: Consumer Sentiment Index - The Consumer Sentiment Index has shown fluctuations, indicating varying levels of consumer confidence in the economy [1][2]. - Recent data suggests a decline in consumer sentiment, which may impact spending and economic growth [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Implications - A decrease in consumer sentiment could lead to reduced consumer spending, affecting retail and service sectors [1][2]. - The index serves as a leading indicator for economic trends, making it crucial for investors to monitor changes in consumer attitudes [1][2].

The odds for a rate cut at next week's meeting now 90% according to the bond market. But our next guest says the Fed should not be cutting. Joining us here is former CEA chair Jason Ferman who is now a professor at Harvard Kennedy School was in the Obama administration.It's great to have you Jason. Welcome. >> Great to be with you.>> You do not think the Fed should be cutting. >> Yes. First of all, I don't disagree.They are going to cut next week. >> But they have a dual mandate. They are about onetenth of ...

Well, post Thanksgiving, markets are back in riskoff mode this morning. Equities seemingly stuck between possible Federal Reserve doubbishness and the risk aversion signals being sent by the crypto markets. Joining me now, Steve Sausnik, Interactive Brokers chief strategist.Steve, it's great to see you. Thanks for being with us. Hope you had a great holiday.Um, let's talk about the sort of push and pull in the markets here because, you know, we're getting these signals that maybe Kevin Hasset's going to be ...

Key TakeawaysJPMorgan has lowered its target price for Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) shares to €39 from €43.5, signaling a revised outlook for the European telecommunications giant.The yield on Japan's 30-year government bond has increased by 3 basis points (bps), reaching 2.845%, reflecting continued upward pressure in the Japanese bond market.CME Group (CME) has temporarily halted commodities futures trading due to technical issues, impacting a range of products including cryptocurrencies.The CME trading halt ...