Simulations Plus' ( SLP ) share price plummeted after the company reported preliminary Q3 FY25 results that fell well short of expectations. While soft biopharma market conditions and Simulations Plus' relatively large services business mean that current weakness is not surprising, the companyRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adju ...

Group 1 - MongoDB's stock has increased over 40% following the release of solid Q1 results, indicating strong company performance and attractive pricing [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly characterized by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments and a limited set of investment opportunities driving up asset prices [1]

Group 1 - AST SpaceMobile's stock has been stable recently, but there are positive developments in its business fundamentals [1] - Competing services are experiencing initial challenges, yet there are indications of increasing demand [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misinterpretations of long-term business prospects [1] Group 2 - Narweena aims for excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - The research process emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights [1] - The investment strategy is characterized by a high risk appetite and a long-term horizon, focusing on deeply undervalued stocks [1] Group 3 - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities [1] - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Other businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting their performance [1] Group 4 - Economies are increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, has a strong educational background in engineering, finance, and an MBA, along with CFA exam completion [1]

PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL ) has traded with elevated volatility as fintech stocks appear to be favored by momentum investors on recession fears. The company posted a strong quarter with management essentially indicating that they can continue deliveringJulian is the leader of the investing group Best Of Breed Growth Stocks where he only shares positions in stocks which have a large probability of delivering large alpha relative to the S&P 500. He also combines growth-oriented principles with strict valuation hur ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is nearing the end of a six-year capital expenditure (CapEx) cycle, which began in 2021, with significant investments aimed at expanding capacity in the U.S. [7][12] - The company reported a 13% growth in the first half of Q2, with expectations for continued acceleration in revenue growth [34][40] - The revenue opportunity supported by new investments could exceed $40 billion by 2030, depending on market demand [25][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has increased its exposure to high-growth markets, particularly industrial and automotive, from 40% in 2013 to around 70% in 2022 [10][11] - The company is focusing on embedded business, with new fabs designed to support high-speed analog and embedded products [15][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The industrial sector is showing broad recovery across all geographies and channels, with significant growth expected [40][41] - Automotive markets are recovering, particularly in China, driven by increased electric vehicle (EV) adoption [42][66] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is strategically investing in U.S. manufacturing to ensure geopolitical reliability and to better support customers [12][12] - The focus is on transitioning from older fabs to more efficient 300mm wafer fabs, which will significantly reduce costs and improve margins [102][104] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the recovery of the semiconductor market, particularly in industrial and automotive sectors, and emphasized the importance of being prepared for demand surges [34][39] - The company is well-positioned to navigate geopolitical tensions and potential decoupling from China, viewing it as an opportunity rather than a risk [72][74] Other Important Information - The company is actively working on requalifying parts for different manufacturing locations to mitigate potential tariff impacts [91][92] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a diverse manufacturing footprint to support customer needs and market demands [12][66] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the current state of the semiconductor market recovery? - Management noted a broad recovery in the industrial sector and a positive outlook for automotive markets, particularly in China, where EV adoption is increasing [39][42] Question: How is the company managing inventory levels? - The company is deliberately holding higher inventory levels to prepare for demand fluctuations and to avoid capacity constraints experienced in previous cycles [46][52] Question: What are the implications of tariffs and geopolitical tensions? - Management indicated that current tariffs have not significantly impacted operations, and the company is prepared for potential changes in the geopolitical landscape [62][64]

Group 1 - Autodesk's growth is currently accelerating due to a shift in its business model, although underlying growth remains modest as recent tailwinds are fading [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations resulting from a poor understanding of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] - The investment strategy is influenced by an aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity, which may create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends [1] Group 2 - Many industries are expected to face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting their performance negatively [1] - The economy is increasingly characterized by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] Group 3 - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, has a strong educational background in engineering and finance, along with an MBA, and has passed the CFA exams [1]

Okta's ( OKTA ) stock has been let out of the doghouse by investors over the past 6 months. While the company's revenue growth remains tepid, margin gains have been impressive. RPO growth also points towards a revenueRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be achieved by identifying businesses with secular growth op ...

Company Performance - Schrödinger (NASDAQ: SDGR) reported extremely strong results in Q1, indicating a thriving business despite a challenging demand environment [1] - The company's share price reflects its positive performance and potential benefits from regulatory tailwinds going forward [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to poor understanding of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns [1] - The investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term horizon [1] - Narweena targets smaller cap stocks and markets with less obvious competitive advantages, driven by the belief that an aging population and low growth will create new investment opportunities [1] Market Trends - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance as competition decreases [1] - Conversely, some businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting their performance negatively [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1]

Company Performance - Unity's first quarter results were soft but in line with expectations, indicating a stable performance despite challenges [1] - The Create business segment is showing signs of recovery, while the adtech segment remains uncompetitive [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to poor long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns [1] - The investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and markets with less obvious competitive advantages [1] Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a decline in infrastructure investment needs [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1]

Group 1 - Snap Inc.'s first results showed solid performance primarily due to strong subscription revenue growth, but management's downbeat tone and lack of guidance for Q2 raised concerns among investors [1] - Richard Durant leads Narweena, an asset manager focused on identifying market dislocations and businesses with long-term growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals, targeting deeply undervalued stocks with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments and driving up asset prices while compressing risk premia [1]