3 July 2025 | 11:09AM EDT Global Economics Comment: A Surprisingly Small Uncertainty Drag (Briggs/Dong) A Surprisingly Small Uncertainty Drag Trade policy uncertainty rose in most countries after President Trump's election victory (and spiked sharply following Liberation Day on April 2), exceeding levels observed during the 2018-19 trade war. While uncertainty indices remain high Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and o ...

Key Takeaways FIX saw 37% of Q1 2025 revenue from advanced tech builds, exposing it to tariff-driven cost pressures. Project pricing is mostly locked in early, and supplier hikes have stayed within typical ranges so far. FIX's $6.9B backlog reflects strong demand in tech and institutional markets into 2026.As tariff headlines rattle the construction and tech sectors, Comfort Systems USA (FIX) finds itself at the intersection of both. With 37% of its first-quarter 2025 revenue tied to advanced tech project ...

Forecasters anticipate a monthly report on US employment will show slower hiring and the highest unemployment rate since 2021 as the Trump administration’s trade and immigration policy shifts start to leave an imprint https://t.co/bWU5uDfHjD ...

Core Insights - The current market presents a unique opportunity for investment in multifamily real estate despite prevailing uncertainties [1][3] - Valger emphasizes that the multifamily sector is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, which could lead to significant rent growth in the coming years [3][4] Market Conditions - Multifamily valuations are at a historically low point, with increased cap rates and decreased net operating income [3][5] - A projected shortfall of 800,000 to 1 million multifamily units in the U.S. over the next 3-5 years is anticipated due to a decline in development starts [3] Investment Opportunities - The current dislocated pricing in the multifamily sector offers disciplined investors the chance to acquire high-quality assets at discounted prices [5] - Investors are encouraged to focus on long-term strategies rather than short-term gains, as proper management can lead to outperformance [5] Impact of Tariffs and Trade Policy - The evolving tariff policies under the Trump administration may increase entry costs for less experienced developers, potentially benefiting established firms with strong operational capabilities [6][7] Technological Advancements - The integration of AI in real estate is seen as a competitive edge, helping firms identify distressed opportunities and improve investor communication [7] - Navatar's technology is highlighted as a tool that enhances deal flow management and investor relations, crucial during market dislocations [8][9] Company Profiles - DVO Real Estate, founded in 2012, has grown significantly, managing over 50 assets and more than 11,000 apartments valued at over $2.5 billion [10] - Navatar serves as a CRM platform tailored for alternative assets and investment banking, facilitating efficient workflows in private markets [11]

President Donald Trump upended the outlook for trade policy again Friday when he said he was ending negotiations with Canada due to the country's adoption of a Digital Services Tax. https://t.co/yJEpF54mfE ...

ab 18 June 2025 Global Research US Economic Perspectives June FOMC: The Fed's new outlook FOMC median policy assumption this year unchanged The FOMC left rates unchanged at their meeting this week but not their projections. In the June Summary of Economic Projections, the median assumption of appropriate policy (the median "dot") for 2025 was left unrevised at 3.9%, below our expectation for a 25 bp upward revision. However, 2026 revised up 25 bp to 3.6%, which was in line with our expectations, and up 25 b ...

US Economic Weekly Economics - North America Waiting game Research Analysts North America Economics David Seif - NSI david.seif@nomura.com +1 212 667 9180 Aichi Amemiya - NSI aichi.amemiya@nomura.com +1 212 667 9347 Jeremy Schwartz - NSI jeremy.schwartz@nomura.com +1 212 667 9637 June FOMC meeting – hawkish on net The June FOMC meeting was hawkish on net. The 2025 median rate projection was left unchanqed at two cuts, but the committee was highly divided with 10 participants expectinq 2 or 3 rate cuts this ...

Alex Irving, CFA +44 207 676 7044 alex.irving@bernsteinsg.com For the exclusive use of JATIN CHAWLA at TVF CAPITAL ADVISORS PTE LTD on 19-Jun-2025 19 June 2025 Global Logistics Supply Chain Pulse Check: The pull forward David Vernon +1 917 344 8333 david.vernon@bernsteinsg.com Antoine Madre +33 1 58 98 74 52 antoine.madre@bernsteinsg.com Justine Weiss +1 917 344 8433 justine.weiss@bernsteinsg.com The trade policy landscape is marked by significant instability: agreements close to being signed but all of a s ...

All right. So, Lauren, I was just mentioning um our Fed survey, our CNBC exclusive Fed survey. It shows the Fed funds rate at 3.89% by the end of this year.Do you see a similar picture playing out with the Fed cutting rates pretty significantly this year. That is our base case expectation this year that the Fed would cut one to two times because frankly that's what the Fed has told us so far. And our expectation for the meeting this afternoon is that the Fed will do as much as it can to do as little as poss ...

Lowe’s (LOW) FY Conference June 11, 2025 01:30 PM ET Speaker0 Well, good afternoon. Thank you all for joining us. My name is Brian Nagel. I'm a senior equity research analyst here at Oppenheimer covering consumer growth and ecommerce. So this is day three of our twenty fifth annual Oppenheimer consumer growth and ecommerce conference. So, again, thank you all for joining us. I am very pleased to have with us our next presenting company, Lowe's, and three of the company's executives. That's CEO, Marvin Ellis ...