Investment Strategy - The market is experiencing record highs, prompting a search for safe investment opportunities [1] - A screen was conducted to identify S&P 500 stocks with above-average growth and below-average price multiples [2] - The screen initially identified 104 stocks meeting the criteria [3] - Energy and materials stocks were excluded due to wariness, narrowing the list to 86 stocks [3] Stock Analysis - T-Mobile was highlighted as a favorable stock, with a leadership transition announcement [3] - T-Mobile is projected to have 194% earnings growth next year [4] - T-Mobile's stock is selling for just over 18 times next year's numbers [4] Market Context - The S&P 500 is expected to have 125% earnings growth next year [2] - The S&P 500 is selling for just under 22 times next year's numbers [2]

Well, speaking of those record highs, as the tech and AI trade continue to power this rally, Deutsche Bank pointing out that equity positioning is at a one-mon high, but still only moderately overweight. Can a broadening rally carry the markets even higher. Well, joining us now to discuss is Bonson Group CIO David Bonson and Vanguard chief global economist Joe Davis.Great to have you both here. David, I'll start with you and that very question, can it carry the markets higher here. Well, it certainly can.Th ...

Core Insights - Orchid Island Capital (ORC) and AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) are prominent players in the mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) sector, both providing attractive long-term returns and substantial dividend yields. The analysis aims to determine which company presents a better investment opportunity at this time [1]. AGNC Investment Corp. - AGNC employs an active portfolio-management strategy, regularly adjusting its holdings and implementing hedges to adapt to market changes, which positions it defensively against volatility [2]. - As of June 30, 2025, AGNC has hedged 89% of its outstanding balance in Investment Securities Repo, TBA position, and other debt, which may enhance cash flow stability and support long-term growth [3]. - The company holds $73.3 billion in Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), benefiting from GSE guarantees, which makes these investments relatively safer despite market volatility [4]. - AGNC's liquidity, including unencumbered cash and Agency MBS, stood at $6.4 billion as of June 30, 2025, with a modest increase in leverage to 7.6 times [5]. - The current dividend yield for AGNC is 14.4%, although it has not increased its dividend in the past five years [6]. Orchid Island Capital - ORC focuses exclusively on Agency residential MBS, which limits credit risks but increases sensitivity to interest rate changes and prepayments [7]. - The recent decline in mortgage rates is expected to improve ORC's book value as spreads in the Agency market tighten, enhancing net interest spread and overall portfolio yield [8]. - ORC currently boasts a dividend yield of 20.6% and has increased its dividend three times in the past five years, supported by a strong liquidity position of $492.5 million [10]. - Earnings for ORC are projected to surge by 450% in 2025 and 40% in 2026, significantly outpacing AGNC's expected declines [9][24]. Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, AGNC shares rose by 8.1%, while ORC shares increased by 4.3%, compared to the industry's growth of 5.2% [11]. - ORC is trading at a 12-month forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 0.88X, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 1.07X, while AGNC trades at a premium with a P/TB of 1.24X [13][16]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates AGNC's earnings will decline by 15.4% in 2025 and 0.9% in 2026, while ORC's earnings are expected to rise by 450% and 39.7% in the same years [19][20][21]. Conclusion - While AGNC remains a reliable mREIT with a disciplined strategy and steady dividends, ORC presents a more compelling opportunity for income-seeking investors due to its higher dividend yield, strong liquidity, and significant earnings growth potential [22][24].

Market Outlook - The market is believed to continue its upward trend due to a strong economy and consumer base, despite focus on the Federal Reserve [2] - Consumer sentiment is strong and accelerating, with healthy consumer and corporate credit [3] - Capital markets are experiencing a resurgence, expected to continue for multiple years [3] - While unemployment has slightly increased, it remains at historically low levels [3] - The AI boom continues to gain momentum, presenting opportunities for retail investors to focus on core competencies and specific stocks [4] - October is historically a volatile month, but the absence of substantial leverage in the system suggests that any pullback may be limited [4][5][6][8] - Earnings growth is accelerating, and market participation is broadening, indicating a constructive outlook [9] Investment Strategy - Putnam Investments focuses on individual stock selection rather than broad market plays [10] - Portfolio allocation is closely tied to the S&P 500 sectors [12] - Larger companies ("Goliaths") are seen as winners across various industries due to their scale, operating leverage, and ability to invest in AI [12][13] - Sectors of interest include Amazon, Walmart, Croup, and Co-Star (a commercial real estate data analytics company) [13][14] - The market is considered expensive, but compelling risk-reward opportunities exist at the individual stock level [14]

ab 15 September 2025 Global Research Chemicals Sector What are North American investors focused on? Last week we met with 20+ institutions across North America. Discussions focused on earnings risk for FY25 and what could drive earnings recovery in FY26. Investors seemed to doubt the sector's ability to achieve top-line inflection and double-digit earnings growth in FY26. Key topics of focus were: (1) how have volumes in end markets & regions developed through 3Q?; we walked through the feedback from the Gl ...

[Music] Stocks our strategists feel are poised to deliver positive returns are featured now in their top stock picks of the week. Welcome to another edition of Zach's top stock picks. I'm Brian Bolan.I'm the aggressive growth stock strategist here at Zachs. I've got a top stock pick and later on Andrew Ro is going to join me and he has got a top stock pick for the week. All right, let's get right into it, shall we.My top stock pick for the week is Microsoft and that's MSFT. If you're following along at home ...

Group 1: Stock Split Overview - A stock split is an action where a company splits its existing shares into multiple new shares, making the stock more accessible to investors [1] - A forward stock split lowers the price per share, with examples such as a 2-for-1 split or a 10-for-1 split, which do not alter the company's market capitalization or total value of holdings [1] - While a stock split may lead to short-term increases in trading volume and positive investor sentiment, it does not guarantee long-term performance improvements [1] Group 2: Market Insights from Bob Keiser - Bob Keiser, co-chief investment officer at Aspire Strategist Portfolios, has been bullish on large-cap core and growth stocks for two years, citing them as primary drivers of earnings growth [2] - Keiser believes that a predicted Fed interest rate cut will not significantly alter the macro trend of growth in these sectors, although it will be a positive factor [2] - The top 10 stocks in the index account for approximately 40% of its market capitalization, driven by the tech and growth sector expected to post four consecutive quarters of double-digit earnings growth [3] Group 3: Earnings Growth Projections - Consensus expectations forecast a third consecutive year of double-digit earnings growth in 2026, with S&P 500 earnings projected to reach $300 per share [3] - The anticipated broadening of earnings growth beyond the tech sector includes contributions from industrials, materials, and financials, which is necessary for achieving the $300 per share target [3] Group 4: Stock Recommendations - A list of stocks trading over $400 that could potentially split was compiled, focusing on those with significant price surges and a history of stock splits [6] - The methodology emphasizes stocks popular among elite hedge funds, with a strategy that has outperformed the market significantly since May 2014 [7] Group 5: Company-Specific Highlights - Parker-Hannifin Corporation (NYSE:PH) reported total revenue of $19.9 billion for FY2025, with a record adjusted segment operating margin of 26.1% and a backlog of $11 billion [10][11] - W.W. Grainger Inc. (NYSE:GWW) achieved total sales of approximately $4.6 billion in Q2 2025, marking a 5.6% year-over-year increase, despite a decline in operating margin to 14.9% [13][14]

Core Insights - Recent fiscal quarter results from Oracle and Adobe are included in the September-quarter tally, with major banks set to report on October 14 [1] - Adobe's results exceeded estimates but did not alleviate the bearish sentiment surrounding the stock, primarily due to concerns about its ability to maintain its software niche in an AI-driven market [2] - Alphabet faces similar skepticism regarding the sustainability of its search dominance, although it has other business segments to rely on [3] Company Performance - Adobe shares have decreased by approximately one-third over the past year, underperforming the broader market and the Tech sector [3] - Oracle's quarterly results were exceptionally strong, with a backlog increase and management's outlook surpassing even the most optimistic estimates [4] - Adobe's earnings for the current fiscal year are projected to rise by 12% on a revenue increase of 9.6%, with expectations of 12.8% earnings growth and 9.2% revenue growth for the next year [5] Earnings Estimates and Trends - Q3 earnings estimates for the S&P 500 are expected to grow by 5.1% on 6% higher revenues, marking the lowest growth pace since Q3 2023 if actual results align with expectations [7][9] - The estimate revisions trend has been positive since April, with Q3 earnings growth expectations for the Tech sector projected at 12% on 12.5% higher revenues [10][15] - Despite positive trends in the Tech and Finance sectors, 11 of the 16 Zacks sectors have faced downward pressure on estimates since the start of the quarter [11][12] Sector Analysis - The Tech sector is anticipated to continue as a key growth driver, contributing significantly to overall S&P 500 earnings growth for Q3 [15] - Without the Tech sector's strong performance, total S&P 500 earnings growth would only be 2% instead of the expected 5.1% [15]

Core Insights - Target's stock has decreased approximately 40% over the past year due to stagnating earnings growth, increasing competition, and an upcoming leadership change [2] - The company has a history of underperforming during economic downturns, with significant stock declines during inflation shocks and financial crises [3] - Current fundamentals indicate potential further declines, with projections suggesting a possible drop to $45 per share, representing a 50% decrease from current levels [4] Revenue Performance - Target's revenue has been declining, with an average annual decrease of 0.3% over the last three years; FY 2024 reported $106 billion, a 0.7% decrease from the previous year [5] - The latest quarter recorded a further decline of 0.8%, driven by low discretionary demand and competition from value-oriented retailers like Walmart and Costco [6] Margin Analysis - Profitability is declining, with an average operating margin of 5.4% over the last year and a gross margin of 29% in Q2, down from 30% the previous year [8][9] - A shift towards lower-margin essentials and reliance on promotions have diminished pricing power, with potential gross margin contraction to 25-26% leading to a 40% reduction in operating income [9][10] Valuation Concerns - At a current price of $92 per share, Target faces substantial downside risk if revenues contract by approximately 2% annually and gross margins revert to lower levels [10] - If investor sentiment deteriorates, Target's valuation could reassess to 8x earnings, implying an equity value of around $45 per share, reflecting a 50% downside [11] Future Outlook - The upcoming third-quarter results will be critical; stabilization in comparable store sales or gross margin could alleviate some pressure, while continued weaknesses may increase investor skepticism [12] - Target's potential for recovery lies in enhancing its affordable, style-centric private labels, which may require a long-term perspective from both investors and customers [13]

Core Viewpoint - Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. has increased its quarterly dividend by 33% to $1.00 per share following stronger-than-expected earnings and an optimistic full-year outlook [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported second-quarter earnings of $4.38 per share, exceeding the analyst consensus of $4.05 by over 8% and showing a 36% increase from $3.21 per share in the same quarter last year [3]. - Revenue for the second quarter rose by 10% year-over-year to $4.54 billion, slightly surpassing Wall Street's estimate of $4.54 billion [3]. Future Guidance - Royal Caribbean raised its full-year adjusted earnings guidance to a range of $15.41 to $15.55 per share, up from the previous forecast of $14.55 to $15.55, which is above the average analyst estimate of $15.39 and indicates approximately 31% earnings growth over 2024 [4]. - For the third quarter, the company forecasts adjusted EPS between $5.55 and $5.65, which is below the consensus estimate of $5.97, citing timing of operating costs and a temporary drag from the introduction of Star of the Seas [5]. Stock Performance - Following the announcement, RCL stock increased by 3.59% to $353.76 [5].