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X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-13 08:14
UK economy barely grows, Burberry boosted by China demand and the best new pubs in London -- get briefed ahead of your morning calls with The London Rush https://t.co/HbjNcR6yhS ...
Boston Fed President Collins: Appropriate to keep policy rates at current level for 'some time'
CNBC Television· 2025-11-12 21:36
Yeah, interesting comments here from Boston Fed President Susan Collins, who is a voter this year. She's saying it's likely appropriate to keep policy rates at the current level for quote some time. Monetary policy, she says, is mildly restrictive and she wants it there.Talks about financial conditions, usually meaning the stock market, she says they're a tailwind for economic growth and economic activity has been holding up quite well. She says additional monetary support risks slowing or stalling the retu ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-12 13:40
Friedrich Merz’s advisers trimmed their German growth forecast for next year to below 1%, underscoring the scale of challenge the chancellor faces in restoring meaningful expansion to Europe’s biggest economy. https://t.co/fuiPcLtB1e ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-11-12 11:50
Economic Outlook - India is projected to surpass Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy by the end of March 2026 [1] Country Performance - The country falls short on many other measures [1]
X @Balaji
Balaji· 2025-11-12 07:21
Economic Growth and Emigration - India's economy has been the fastest-growing large economy globally over the past decade [1] - In the early stages of economic growth, countries tend to experience increased emigration as the emerging middle class gains the means to travel and seek opportunities abroad [1] - Historical examples include Britain, Japan after the Meiji Restoration, and Poland after the fall of communism, all of which experienced significant emigration during their periods of growth [2] Indian Diaspora - India is currently in the early stages of rapid economic growth, suggesting that its diaspora is likely to expand before it contracts [3] - The United Arab Emirates (UAE), with a population that is already close to 50% Indian, is likely to be a welcoming destination for Indian emigrants [3]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-11 23:45
Indonesia has an unhealthy attachment to implausible GDP targets, says @Moss_Eco. What's wrong with 5% growth? (via @opinion) https://t.co/kSFxZNLrS3 ...
Fed's Musalem: We Have Limited Room to Cut Rates
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-10 21:28
Economic Outlook - The economy has been resilient, with growth around 18% [2] - The labor market is near full employment but cooling, with both demand and supply decreasing [2][13] - Inflation is closer to 3% than the 2% target [2] - Consumption remains resilient, driven by wealth effects for higher-income households and increased debt for lower-income households [6][7] Consumer Finances - Consumer balance sheets are generally okay, but there was an increase in subprime loan and credit card defaults over the past year, which has since stabilized [8][9] - Lower-income consumers are increasingly using credit card debt to maintain consumption [7] - Many people are having more month than money, with increased visits to food pantries and requests for utility assistance [27] Company Concerns - Companies report that uncertainty has plateaued, allowing them to operate with a higher level of uncertainty [11] - Companies are experiencing higher costs, including those related to tariffs and insurance [11] - Companies closer to the consumer are having difficulty passing on costs due to pushback from buyers [12][13] - Companies are more concerned about non-interest costs, such as raw material and insurance costs, than interest costs [21] Labor Market - The labor market is cooling in an orderly way, with both supply and demand decreasing [13] - Compensation growth is reported to be between 35% and 4% [6] - Layoff announcements have been made, but weekly claims remain stable [13][14] Monetary Policy - Monetary policy is somewhere between modestly restrictive and neutral, closer to neutral [26] - The real federal funds rate is around 1%, which is the long-run neutral rate [26] - In the past year, the real federal funds rate has declined by 250 basis points, with 150 basis points from nominal interest rate reductions and 100 basis points from rising expected inflation due to tariffs [19] - There is limited room to ease policy further without it becoming overly accommodative [24][25] - It is important to bring inflation back towards 2% to allow households to catch up with their real incomes [28] Asset Prices - Financial conditions are very accommodative, and asset valuations are notable [29] - House prices and stock prices seem elevated relative to historical standards [30]
Fed's Musalem Sees Labor Market Cooling, Urges Caution on Rates
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-10 15:36
We have some news in Washington that we may be getting close to the end of the shutdown, which would release data. But just in case that doesn't happen. Based on what you know now, what do you think about the economy.Mike, good morning. Great to be here. I see an economy that is has been pretty resilient, where growth has been roughly around potential around 1.8% for four this year in spite of a lot of uncertainty. I see a labor market that has been around full employment is around, full employment with has ...
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-11-10 01:28
Economic Impact of Government Shutdown - US government shutdown's impact on the economy is more severe than expected [1] - US Q4 GDP may experience negative growth if the government shutdown continues [1] - The economy may rebound quickly once the shutdown ends [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-08 07:54
Vietnam’s economy must grow at least 8.4% in the final quarter of the year if the nation is to meet the government’s 2025 target of more than 8% expansion, Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh said Saturday https://t.co/FvOEFO9d22 ...