Hello and welcome to the latest edition of Market Sunrise. We've got another packed show for you this morning. The question of the day is, will President Trump's big beautiful bill get passed before the July 4th holiday.Well, also coming up in today's show, we'll take a look ahead to the US unemployment report and how the tears of a finance minister moved the markets. Stick around too to hear more from our exclusive interview with the secretary general of the OECD. I asked him whether AI would take away our ...

Labor Market Overview - US economy added 147,000 jobs in June [1] - Unemployment rate fell slightly to 4.1% [1] - Average hourly earnings grew 3.7% over the past year [1] Sector Analysis - State government jobs drove job growth [1] - Private sector job growth was the weakest since last October [1]

off in the equity trade. Back to you. >> All right, Steve, let's bring you in here.What's your outlook in terms of the impact on July September, which was pretty much a foregone conclusion. >> I think this is a very mixed report, Melissa. I, I, I have to point out, I don't even know if President Trump is going to like this report.Why 73,000 of the job gains were government. Now it was minus eight on the federal side, plus 40 on the state side. I think it was plus 20 or 30 on the local side.So what you have ...

A lot of numbers to go through here. 147,000 jobs created, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is above the 106 estimate that we got from Bloomberg Economics and the economists. We surveyed private payrolls up 74,000.Let's take a look here at the unemployment rate. It falls to 4.1%. There was some thought it was going to go maybe as high as four four.The forecast was four for three. So much better number than anticipated. We also see and I'm going to jump here to jobless claims, a big drop in ...

BREAKING:🇺🇸 US UNEMPLOYMENT RATE CAME IN AT 4.1%EXPECTATIONS: 4.3% ...

Labor Market Overview - US average hourly earnings rise 0.2% month-over-month in June, below the estimated +0.3% [1] - US unemployment rate in June is 4.1%, lower than the estimated 4.3% [1]

Investors are watching the House of Representatives as it prepares to vote on President Trump's mega bill while also awaiting the June jobs report. Let's bring in Drew Mattis, head of the global economic and market strategy team at Metife Investment Management. Drew, great to have you with us.Um, first, because they're discussing it as we speak in Congress, the bill, how important is that to your overall market outlook for later this year in terms of getting those tax cuts extended. Well, without the tax cu ...

The unemployment rate in America’s auto heartland is among the highest in the country, @conorsen says (via @opinion) https://t.co/e2zjTt3z4h ...

Market Overview - The market recovery in the first half of the year has been surprising, with many stocks returning to or exceeding pre-crisis levels despite ongoing uncertainties [5][12] - The focus has shifted from the "Magnificent Seven" to the "Troubling Three," which includes NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta as the primary drivers of market performance [10][11] NVIDIA and AI Sector - NVIDIA's performance is seen as a key indicator for the S&P 500, with its stock movements significantly influencing broader market trends [7][52] - Concerns are raised about the sustainability of NVIDIA's high valuations and the potential for commoditization in the AI space, which could lead to lower profit margins [19][20][33] Technology Sector Dynamics - The technology sector is experiencing high concentration, with a few stocks dominating market performance, reminiscent of historical trends seen in the past 40-50 years [12] - The liquidity in the marketplace is poor, with fewer buyers and sellers, leading to exaggerated market movements [53][54] Economic Indicators - The health of the US economy, particularly employment rates, is critical for market stability; rising unemployment could lead to significant shifts in bond yields and equity valuations [64][70] - Monitoring continuing claims for unemployment benefits is essential, as an increase could signal a downturn in consumer spending and economic health [71][72] AI in Healthcare - There is a growing belief that AI will have a more significant impact in healthcare and drug discovery than in consumer-facing applications, with potential for rapid advancements in diagnostics and treatment [38][41][45]

Housing Market Trends - New home sales experienced a nearly 14% month-over-month decline in May, marking the biggest drop in three years [1] - Existing home sales managed a slight increase in May despite headwinds [5] - Resale inventory is up 20% compared to last year [5] Affordability and Demand - Housing affordability has improved slightly from a year ago, but home sales continue to "bounce along the bottom" [3] - Consumer confidence dropped drastically in April, impacting housing demand [4] - A frozen labor market and a potentially rising unemployment rate pose headwinds for housing demand [4][6] Seller and Buyer Dynamics - The market is rebalancing, with bargaining power shifting towards buyers [10] - There were the most price cuts for any May since 2018, indicating sellers and buyers are coming back together [9] - Sellers are facing more competition and need to be more strategic [10] Economic Factors - The labor market is a key factor to watch, potentially more important than higher interest rates [6] - Inflation is roughly 21%, as measured by PCE [7] - The impact of tariffs is already playing itself out [8] Future Outlook - Zillow's forecasting team believes home sales could increase slightly and finish the year slightly higher than in 2024 [12]