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Should You Buy Regulus (RGLS) After Golden Cross?
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 14:55
Core Insights - Regulus Therapeutics Inc. (RGLS) has reached a significant support level, indicating a potential investment opportunity from a technical perspective [1] - The recent breakout of RGLS's 50-day simple moving average above its 200-day moving average signifies a "golden cross," which is a bullish indicator [1] - RGLS has experienced a substantial price increase of 97.7% over the last four weeks, suggesting strong upward momentum [3] Technical Analysis - A golden cross event consists of three stages: the stock price bottoms out, the shorter moving average crosses above the longer moving average, and the stock maintains upward momentum [2] - The occurrence of a golden cross is contrasted with a death cross, which indicates potential bearish price movement [2] Earnings Expectations - RGLS's earnings expectations have shown positive changes, with two upward revisions and no downward revisions in the last 60 days, enhancing the bullish outlook [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGLS has also moved upward, further supporting the positive sentiment around the stock [3] Investment Consideration - Given the technical indicators and positive earnings estimate movements, RGLS is recommended for investors to consider adding to their watchlist [5]
估值被严重低估,但ASML为何不再值得买入?
美股研究社· 2025-04-23 11:00
Core Viewpoint - ASML's stock has declined approximately 14% since analysts rated it as a strong buy in early February, and while it appears undervalued, it is currently not a buy due to bearish technical indicators and weak growth expectations for the second quarter [1][14]. Technical Analysis - The downward trend for ASML began with a bearish engulfing pattern in mid-February, and the stock is currently far below its trend line, indicating a lack of support and potential for further declines [3][4]. - The 50-day moving average has remained significantly below the 200-day moving average, indicating a consistent long-term bearish momentum [5]. - Recent price action shows that ASML has fallen below all Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting that the recent rebound is failing [6]. - There are no signs of improvement in ASML's situation, with bearish indicators persisting [8]. Financial Performance - ASML reported net sales of €7.742 billion for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 46.4%, aligning with expectations, and a dollar growth of 41.77% to $8.82 billion, exceeding forecasts by $35.52 million [11]. - The company’s bookings were €3.936 billion, slightly above the previous year's €3.611 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $6.83, surpassing expectations by $0.31 [11]. - However, a concerning signal is the significant decline in operating cash flow, which, while historically normal for Q1, raises some alarm [11]. Future Guidance - ASML expects Q2 2025 revenue to be between €7.2 billion and €7.7 billion, representing a 19.3% increase from €6.243 billion in Q2 2024, but this is a significant slowdown compared to Q1's growth rate [12]. - The anticipated gross margin for Q2 is projected to be between 50% and 53%, which is consistent with the previous year's margin of 51.5% [12]. Valuation - The current price-to-sales ratio for ASML is 7.394, down from over 15 in mid-2024, indicating that the stock is undervalued despite the disappointing guidance for Q2 [14]. - The valuation reflects excessive pessimism, as the expected revenue growth remains around average levels, and the stock is trading at a premium of 193% compared to the median price-to-sales ratio in the IT sector [14][15]. - Although the stock may present a long-term investment opportunity, the combination of weak technicals and slowing growth suggests that short-term gains are unlikely [15].
UnitedHealth Group: Not A Falling Knife
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-21 18:24
I have not written to you about UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE: UNH ) before, though over time I have owned a modest on-and-off position in the stock.Individual investor focused upon a limited number of diversified stocks. Seeks stocks selling below fair value estimates; favors dividend growth and/or income. Advocates fundamental investment analysis, supplemented by the technical charts. Options strategies primarily employed to generate additional income or hedge risk. If interested, you may find out ...
Accenture: Buy The Trump Slump (Technical Analysis)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-19 09:54
Group 1 - Accenture plc (ACN) has recently experienced a significant stock decline due to being targeted by DOGE, which is viewed as an overreaction and presents a potential buying opportunity [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of technical analysis in identifying key bottoming patterns for investment decisions [1] - The author expresses a commitment to high-quality technical analysis and values such as excellence, integrity, transparency, and respect in their investment approach [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial data or performance metrics related to Accenture plc or the tech sector [2]
Meta: Momentum Building Up
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-17 03:57
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]
Some Names I've Bought During Tariff Mayhem
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-16 14:48
We all know that the level of uncertainty is through the roof right now. With a constantly changing landscape of what to expect when looking forward to domestic and global macroeconomic growth, formulating any rational expectation of what to expect forMy experience stems from the hedge fund industry beginning in the mid-90's, working as a Portfolio Manager, Domestic Equity Analyst and Trader. I was the Portfolio Manager of a domestic Long/Short Equity product with gross assets that peaked over 1 Billion dol ...
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Sharp Rebound Sets Stage for Further Upside
FX Empire· 2025-04-15 20:40
Group 1 - The price of crude oil is experiencing a narrow trading range, with a low of $60.92 and a high of $62.12, indicating a consolidation phase [1] - A decline below the day's low of $60.92 could target $60.68, followed by $59.54, while resistance levels are identified at $62.74 and $63.45 [2] - The current consolidation phase may lead to a continuation of the rally from the recent lows, suggesting potential upward movement in crude oil prices [3][4] Group 2 - The recent decline in crude oil prices represents the largest bearish correction since May 2023, followed by a sharp rally and bullish reversal [5] - There is potential for the subsequent rally to test resistance levels around the 20-Day MA at $66.18 and the 50-Day MA at $68.29, with support seen at the bottom of the trend channel [5]
Apple: Minimal Impact From Upcoming Tariffs On Semiconductors
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-14 22:24
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Amazon's Q2 Guidance Could Catch The Street Off Guard
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-14 13:36
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Alphabet May Become The Largest Company In The World, Here's How
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-14 01:19
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by market participants, including traders, medium-term speculators, and buy-and-hold investors, particularly in identifying the right time to buy stocks [1] - It highlights the tendency for average stock purchasers to buy stocks that are already overbought, leading to potential losses when prices drop [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of actionable trading and investing ideas, as well as community interaction for better decision-making [1] Group 2 - David H. Lerner is identified as an analyst with a decade of experience in software consulting and technology, focusing on market trends and trade ideas [2] - The analyst employs a combination of technical analysis and market psychology to achieve outsized returns, indicating a strategic approach to investing [2] - A trading style known as "Cash Management Discipline" is utilized to hedge against market volatility, reflecting a risk management strategy [2]