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Marsh & McLennan Q2 Preview: Will Cost Pressures Weigh on Results?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:31
Core Viewpoint - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, 2025, with earnings estimated at $2.67 per share and revenues at $6.91 billion, reflecting nearly 11% year-over-year growth in both metrics [1][6]. Financial Performance Estimates - Second-quarter earnings estimates have been revised upward, indicating a 10.8% increase from the previous year, while revenue estimates suggest an 11.1% year-over-year growth [2]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $26.95 billion, representing a 10.2% year-over-year increase, and the earnings per share estimate is $9.58, indicating an 8.9% growth [3]. Historical Performance - MMC has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten the consensus in each of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 2.6% [3]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for MMC, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.86% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4]. Revenue Drivers - The projected revenue growth in Q2 is attributed to strong performances in the Risk and Insurance Services and Consulting segments, with significant contributions from Marsh and Guy Carpenter subdivisions [7]. - The Risk and Insurance Services segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 14.7% year-over-year, while the Consulting segment's revenues are projected to grow by 5.6% [8][9]. Expense Considerations - Total operating expenses are anticipated to rise by 7% year-over-year, primarily due to increased compensation and benefits, which may pressure the net margin [10]. - The adjusted net margin is expected to be 18.6%, down from 19.2% in the previous year [10].
Analysts Estimate NVR (NVR) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for NVR, with a consensus outlook indicating lower revenues and earnings per share (EPS) expectations [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - NVR is expected to report quarterly earnings of $106.33 per share, reflecting an 11.9% decrease year-over-year [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $2.4 billion, which is a 5.8% decline from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.01% over the last 30 days, indicating a slight reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for NVR is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +3.25% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading indicates a potential earnings beat, particularly when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - NVR currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, NVR was expected to post earnings of $107.87 per share but only achieved $94.83, resulting in a surprise of -12.09% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, NVR has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Market Reaction - The stock's movement may depend on how actual results compare to expectations, with potential for upward movement if results exceed estimates, and downward movement if they fall short [2][15]. - Other factors beyond earnings results may also influence stock performance, making it essential to consider a broader context [15][17].
Tesla Q2 Earnings Preview: Will the EV Giant Disappoint Again?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is expected to report second-quarter 2025 earnings of $0.40 per share and revenues of $22.6 billion, reflecting a decline from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for second-quarter earnings per share has decreased by $0.01 in the past week, indicating a 23% decline year-over-year [2]. - Quarterly revenues are projected to decline by 11.3% compared to the same period last year [2]. Group 2: Vehicle Deliveries and Sales Performance - Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles in the second quarter, a 13.5% decrease from the previous year, marking the largest quarterly sales drop in the company's history [3]. - This decline in deliveries is attributed to a demand problem rather than production issues, as the new Model Y has ramped up production [4]. Group 3: Segment Performance - Automotive sales revenues are expected to decline by more than 6%, with gross margins from automotive sales projected at 15%, down 3 percentage points from the previous year [5]. - Conversely, revenues from the Energy Generation/Storage segment are anticipated to rise to $3.03 billion, reflecting growth both sequentially and year-over-year [6]. Group 4: Operating Expenses and Capital Expenditures - Tesla's high operating expenses and capital expenditures are likely to impact profits and cash flows, as the company continues to invest heavily in expanding gigafactory output and enhancing its Supercharger network [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Tesla this earnings season, with an Earnings ESP of +0.82% [8].
CCL Stock Rises 20% in a Month: Should You Act Now or Hold Steady?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:46
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) shares have increased by 20.3% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry's growth of 11.8% and the S&P 500's growth of 3.7% [1][2] Financial Performance - Carnival has achieved record-breaking earnings, with EBITDA rising 26% year over year and net income more than tripling [6] - The company has met its 2026 financial targets 18 months ahead of schedule, indicating strong commercial execution and operational discipline [6] - For fiscal 2025, Carnival raised its adjusted EBITDA forecast to approximately $6.9 billion, up from $6.7 billion, reflecting over 10% year-over-year growth [13] Demand and Pricing - Net yields increased by 6.5% in the fiscal second quarter, driven by strong ticket pricing and onboard spending [7] - 93% of 2025 capacity is already booked at historically high prices, indicating strong demand and pricing power [8] Strategic Developments - The anticipated July debut of Celebration Key is expected to generate strong consumer interest and command pricing premiums [10] - Carnival is modernizing its fleet with the AIDA Evolution program and launching new ships with family-friendly amenities [11] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Carnival, with an average price target of $30.04, suggesting a potential upside of 4.8% from the last closing price [23] - The company holds an average brokerage recommendation of 1.60, indicating a favorable outlook [24] Stock Valuation - Carnival stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 13.40X, below the industry average of 19.79X, presenting an attractive investment opportunity [17]
ABT to Report Q2 Earnings: CGM and Cardiac Devices in Focus
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 13:31
Core Insights - Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09 in the last quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.9% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $11.07 billion, indicating a 6.7% increase year-over-year, while EPS is estimated to rise 9.6% to $1.25 [1][2] Revenue Estimates by Segment - **Diagnostics**: Expected revenue growth impacted by a decline in COVID-19 testing revenues, but anticipated to benefit from high demand across various settings. Estimated revenue increase of 0.1% year-over-year [3][4][6] - **Established Pharmaceuticals (EPD)**: Projected to continue strong performance across multiple regions and therapeutic areas, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 6.1% [7][8] - **Medical Devices**: Anticipated to show significant growth, driven by the Diabetes Care division and continuous glucose monitor (CGM) systems, with a projected revenue increase of 10.9% year-over-year [8][9][13] - **Nutrition**: Expected robust sales from adult nutrition brand Ensure and solid growth in infant formula and toddler brands, with a year-over-year revenue improvement of 4.3% [13] Earnings Estimate Revision - Estimates for Q2 earnings have remained unchanged at $1.25 per share over the past 30 days, indicating stability in expectations [3] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The Medical Devices segment is highlighted as a standout performer, with growth driven by new product approvals and strong demand in various categories, including heart assist devices and structural heart products [10][11][12]
Snap-on Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: What Lies Ahead for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:31
Core Viewpoint - Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) is expected to report declines in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with a revenue estimate of $1.2 billion, reflecting a 2.2% decrease from the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is stable at $4.61 per share, indicating a 6.1% decline from the same quarter last year [2] - Snap-on has experienced a negative trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of nearly 1% on average, with a notable negative surprise of 6.2% in the last reported quarter [2] Influencing Factors - The company is focusing on enhancing value creation through initiatives in safety, service quality, customer satisfaction, and innovation, including expanding its franchise network and increasing its presence in emerging markets [3] - Snap-on's innovation pipeline remains strong, with ongoing investments in product development and global brand expansion [3] Challenges - External challenges include macroeconomic headwinds, geographic pressures in key industries, and geopolitical disruptions, which are likely impacting performance [4] - The Tools Group unit has been sluggish due to lower activity in U.S. operations and adverse foreign currency translations, with an estimated 4% decline expected in the second quarter [5] - Rising raw material and operational costs continue to pose risks to profitability [4][9] Market Position - Despite challenges, Snap-on's manufacturing strategy allows for quick adjustments to evolving production landscapes, with expected resilience in the automotive repair sector due to increased household spending on repairs [6] - The Repair Systems & Information Group is predicted to see a 3% rise in the second quarter [6] Valuation - Snap-on's stock is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 16.54x, which is below its five-year high of 18.63x and the industry average of 17.50x, presenting an attractive investment opportunity [8] Recent Performance - Over the past three months, Snap-on's shares have decreased by 4.8%, compared to a 0.8% drop in the industry [10]
Analysts Estimate Southern Copper (SCCO) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper (SCCO) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, which could significantly influence its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Southern Copper's quarterly earnings is $1.06 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 13.1% [3]. - Expected revenues for the quarter are $3.01 billion, down 3.5% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 14.96%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Southern Copper matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - Southern Copper currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Southern Copper exceeded the expected earnings of $1.13 per share, achieving $1.19, resulting in a surprise of +5.31% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - While Southern Copper does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [17].
Stay Ahead of the Game With Goldman (GS) Q2 Earnings: Wall Street's Insights on Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 14:16
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs is expected to report quarterly earnings of $9.43 per share, reflecting a 9.4% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $13.5 billion, a 6% increase from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate 1.1% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial forecasts [1][2] - The importance of earnings estimate revisions is highlighted as a predictor of investor actions and stock performance [2] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- FICC' to reach $3.39 billion, a year-over-year increase of 6.7% [4] - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Debt investments' are projected at $151 million, indicating a significant decline of 49.2% from the prior year [4] - 'Net Revenues- Platform Solutions- Consumer platforms' are expected to be $619.93 million, reflecting a 3.5% increase [5] - 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- Equities' are forecasted at $3.74 billion, showing an 18.2% increase [5] - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Private banking and lending' is estimated at $744.53 million, a 5.3% increase [6] - 'Net Revenues- Platform Solutions- Transaction banking and other' is expected to be $65.86 million, a decrease of 5.9% [6] - 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- Advisory' is projected at $891.69 million, a substantial increase of 29.6% [7] - The total 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management' is estimated at $3.82 billion, a slight decline of 1.5% [7] Key Metrics - The 'Book Value Per Share' is expected to reach $347.76, up from $327.13 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Assets Under Supervision (AUS) - Total' is forecasted to be $3,228.04 billion, compared to $2,934.00 billion a year ago [8] - The 'Common equity tier 1 capital ratio' is estimated at 15.1%, up from 14.8% year-over-year [8] - The 'Leverage ratio' is expected to be 5.3%, slightly down from 5.4% in the previous year [9] Stock Performance - Goldman Sachs shares have increased by 13.4% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 composite, which rose by 4.1% [10]
Exploring Analyst Estimates for Monarch Casino (MCRI) Q2 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 14:16
Core Insights - Analysts project Monarch Casino (MCRI) will report quarterly earnings of $1.22 per share, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year increase [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $130.37 million, marking a 1.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1] Revenue Projections - 'Revenues- Other' is estimated at $5.37 million, showing a decline of 4% from the previous year [4] - 'Revenues- Hotel' is projected to be $18.40 million, indicating a decrease of 6.8% year-over-year [4] - 'Revenues- Food and Beverage' is expected to reach $32.20 million, reflecting a slight increase of 1.1% from the prior year [4] - 'Revenues- Casino' is forecasted to be $74.47 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 4.9% [5] Market Performance - Shares of Monarch Casino have increased by 5.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 4.1% [5] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [5]
Seeking Clues to Commerce (CBSH) Q2 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 14:16
Core Insights - Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.02 per share, reflecting a decline of 4.7% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 3.8% to $430.36 million [1] Earnings Estimates - There has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1][2] - The consensus estimate for the 'Efficiency Ratio' is 55.9%, slightly improved from 56.0% in the same quarter last year [4] - Analysts predict a 'Net Interest Margin' of 3.6%, unchanged from the previous year [4] Key Financial Metrics - 'Average total interest earning assets' are estimated at $30.64 billion, up from $30.02 billion year-over-year [5] - The estimated 'Book value per share' is $26.85, compared to $24.48 a year ago [5] - The 'Tier I risk-based capital ratio' is expected to be 17.0%, an increase from 16.2% in the previous year [6] - The 'Total risk-based capital ratio' is projected at 17.8%, compared to 17.0% last year [6] Loan and Income Projections - 'Non-accrual loans' are expected to be $21.76 million, up from $19.30 million in the same quarter last year [7] - The forecast for 'Total Non-Interest Income' is $157.57 million, compared to $152.24 million a year ago [8] - 'Fully-taxable equivalent net interest income' is projected to reach $275.75 million, up from $264.58 million last year [8] - 'Trust fees' are expected to be $55.69 million, compared to $52.29 million in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Bank card transaction fees' are forecasted at $47.42 million, slightly down from $47.48 million last year [9] Stock Performance - Commerce shares have increased by 6.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 4.1% increase [9]