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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-07 17:11
Company Overview - ArcBest Corporation is a century-old, multi-segment logistics operator with a unionized less-than-truckload (LTL) network and an asset-light brokerage and managed transportation business [2] - The company operates 239 service centers across North America, employing approximately 15,000 individuals, with about 56% represented by the Teamsters [2] Financial Performance - For 2024, ArcBest's projected revenue is $4.53 billion, with the asset-based LTL segment contributing $3.33 billion (74% of total revenue) and the asset-light logistics segment contributing $1.20 billion [3] - The EBITDA margin for the LTL segment is 10.2%, while the asset-light logistics segment has a margin of 3-4% [3] - The company has a collective bargaining agreement that ensures predictable 4.2% annual labor cost escalations through mid-2028 [3] Market Dynamics - The North American LTL market is valued at $85 billion, with the top 10 carriers controlling 75% of the revenue [4] - The liquidation of Yellow in 2023 removed approximately 9-10% of national capacity, benefiting ArcBest by redistributing assets to more rational operators and improving rate discipline [4] Industry Outlook - Despite a freight recession expected from 2023 to 2025, industry pricing has remained rational, and a modest rebound in manufacturing could quickly normalize volumes [5] - ArcBest's higher-cost structure due to unionization provides significant operating leverage, with potential for dramatic earnings increases if tonnage or oversized freight mix recovers [5] Investment Thesis - ArcBest's shares are trading near their liquidation value of $50-$84 per share, based on terminal, fleet, and brokerage assets, presenting an asymmetric upside opportunity [6] - A mid-cycle recovery could drive 2028 EPS to $10-12, while normalization in shipment weights could push EPS to $18-20, indicating a potential 2-3x upside [6] - Key catalysts for growth include industrial recovery, tonnage normalization, terminal monetization, and potential mergers and acquisitions [6]
ArcBest: Increasingly Confident On Earnings Growth Acceleration
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 00:07
I gave a buy rating to ArcBest Corporation ( ARCB ) as the fundamentals continue to trend in the direction I expected. Specifically, the volume rebound in November, pricing trends, and also how well the Managed SolutionsI'm a passionate investor with a strong foundation in fundamental analysis and a keen eye for identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential. My investment approach is a blend of value investing principles and a focus on long-term growth. I believe in buying quality compan ...
These Analysts Boost Their Forecasts On ArcBest Following Q4 Results - ArcBest (NASDAQ:ARCB)
Benzinga· 2026-02-02 16:58
ArcBest Corp (NASDAQ:ARCB) reported mixed fourth-quarter 2025 results on Friday.Revenue totaled $972.7 million, down from $1.0 billion a year earlier. Adjusted earnings of 36 cents per share missed the 41 cents analyst estimate, while revenue exceeded expectations of $966.361 million. Results included a $9.1 million after-tax, noncash impairment charge."2025 was a year of strong execution and meaningful progress for ArcBest," said President and CEO Seth Runser. "Amid a challenging freight environment, our t ...
These Analysts Boost Their Forecasts On ArcBest Following Q4 Results
Benzinga· 2026-02-02 16:58
ArcBest Corp (NASDAQ:ARCB) reported mixed fourth-quarter 2025 results on Friday.Revenue totaled $972.7 million, down from $1.0 billion a year earlier. Adjusted earnings of 36 cents per share missed the 41 cents analyst estimate, while revenue exceeded expectations of $966.361 million. Results included a $9.1 million after-tax, noncash impairment charge."2025 was a year of strong execution and meaningful progress for ArcBest," said President and CEO Seth Runser. "Amid a challenging freight environment, our t ...
ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCB) Maintains "Buy" Rating Amidst Revenue and EPS Challenges
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-31 11:00
ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCB) exceeded revenue estimates despite a 2.9% decline year-over-year, showcasing resilience in a challenging market.The company's EPS of $0.36 fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate, indicating significant earnings challenges.Despite an earnings miss, ARCB's stock price saw an increase, reflecting investor confidence in the company's long-term prospects.ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCB), a key player in the logistics and freight transportation sector, continues to navigate ...
ArcBest outlines $150M–$170M capex for 2026 while advancing AI and managed solutions growth (NASDAQ:ARCB)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-30 22:02
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ArcBest, LTLs still waiting on recovery
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-30 18:38
ArcBest is continuing to prep its less-than-truckload network and asset-light business for an eventual recovery. The company is hoping the implementation of better technology tools, along with structural cost takeouts, will amplify returns when demand improves. ArcBest (NASDAQ: ARCB) reported a fourth-quarter headline net loss of $8.1 million, or 36 cents per share, on Friday ahead of the market open. The number included a noncash impairment charge in its asset-light business and other one-off items. Adju ...
ArcBest Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-30 16:28
Beasley said revenue per hundredweight declined about 3% year-over-year, including and excluding fuel surcharges, primarily due to reduced shipment activity in the manufacturing vertical. He also cited higher costs tied to additional labor to support shipment growth, annual increases in contracted union labor rates, and higher equipment depreciation.In the Asset-Based segment, fourth-quarter revenue was $649 million and was described as flat on a per-day basis. The segment’s operating ratio was 96.2%, up 42 ...
ArcBest(ARCB) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-30 15:32
ArcBest (NasdaqGS:ARCB) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 30, 2026 09:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsAmy Mendenhall - Vice President of Treasury and Investor RelationsBruce Chan - DirectorCole Couzens - VPEddie Sorg - Chief Commercial OfficerJason Seidl - Managing DirectorKen Hoexter - Managing DirectorMac Pinkerton - COO of Asset-Light LogisticsMatt Beasley - CFORavi Shanker - Managing DirectorSeth Runser - President and CEOStephanie Moore - SVP of Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsAri Rosa - Senior Ana ...
ArcBest(ARCB) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-30 15:32
ArcBest (NasdaqGS:ARCB) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 30, 2026 09:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsAmy Mendenhall - Vice President of Treasury and Investor RelationsBruce Chan - DirectorCole Couzens - VPEddie Sorg - Chief Commercial OfficerJason Seidl - Managing DirectorKen Hoexter - Managing DirectorMac Pinkerton - COO of Asset-Light LogisticsMatt Beasley - CFORavi Shanker - Managing DirectorSeth Runser - President and CEOStephanie Moore - SVP of Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsAri Rosa - Senior Ana ...