Ahead of the Senate Banking Committee's confirmation vote on Steven Myron to be Federal Reserve Governor, you told your colleagues that if you're in favor of Federal Reserve independence, then you should vote no. Myron was confirmed by the full Senate last night. Today, he is participating in the Fed's monetary policy meeting, but he has not resigned from his position at the White House.He's on a leave of absence. How could Myron threaten Federal Reserve independence. So look, Myron is just there to be Dona ...

Fed Policy & Interest Rates - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut, but there may be three Fed voters dissenting, potentially advocating for a 50 basis point cut [1] - The market will closely monitor the Fed's summary of economic projections, particularly the dot plot, to gauge the expected policy rate for the current and subsequent years [2] - The market is pricing in nearly 150 basis points of cuts for the next year, expecting the Fed to go below 3%, which may be difficult for the Fed to indicate [3] - The market expects the Fed to cut rates drastically, anticipating a new Fed chair next year to aggressively save the cycle and prolong the expansion [11][12] Bond Market Dynamics - The president's influence on the Fed is priced into the term premium, which is the value in extending out the bond curve [4] - Forward rates indicate that the market expects 10-year Treasury yields to be close to 550 basis points (55%) in 10 years, the highest in over 20 years [5] - The market may be pricing in too much term premium, as 550 basis points (55%) growth for the next 20 years is unlikely [6] - The market is already pricing in the Fed getting back to its 2% inflation target [13] Economic Conditions & Inflation - The economy is showing a two-speed dynamic, with high-income consumers continuing to spend, making the inflation story tricky [8] - Core inflation, excluding shelter, grew at 270 basis points (27%) last month, the highest level in the last two years, indicating high-income consumers are doing well [9] - Small businesses are suffering due to high interest rates, leading to firing and a higher unemployment rate [9] - Tariff policies and immigration could lead to stagflationary conditions, with lower growth and higher inflation [14]

The Federal Reserve’s announcement on interest rates tomorrow may prove to be far less consequential for the central bank than another pending decision over which it has no say https://t.co/bsdjbvrm4X ...

Let's start with Lisa Cook. She's involved in this Fed decision, and yet the president still seems to be trying to get her off the Fed. How is that happening and how might still some legal actions impact anything she does at this Fed meeting. Well, it doesn't look like anything's going to impact what she does at this Fed meeting because she's already there.And we have not heard that the White House has actually filed its appeal to the Supreme Court. So we're not expecting any immediate moves from the justic ...

🔥 UPDATE: Odds of a 25 basis point cut at tomorrow’s Fed meeting have climbed to 95%, per Kalshi. https://t.co/VaofR29Tng ...

Stock futures are inching higher ahead of the start of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting to set interest rates. Here's what investors need to know today. https://t.co/6G8oM6yvU4 ...

The Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 50 basis points.They are very far behind the curve. Jerome Powell should fix this mess now. https://t.co/btsp6A1XSv ...

The European Central Bank must stand ready to act on interest rates, with uncertainty persisting despite inflation being under control, Governing Council member Jose luis Escriva said https://t.co/rAI5aO77cA ...

joining us as we said, Charles Schwab, chief investment strategist, Lisanne Saunders. Lisanne, good to see you. Important week.Good to good to see you. Thank you. Yeah, a very important week.Your thoughts about going into tomorrow and what the market's done say over the last 10 sessions. Yeah. So, I I think the Fed does cut by 25, but perhaps in in light of stronger consumption numbers, it wouldn't be surprising to see what is often deemed a uh you know, a hawkish cut uh given the commentary we could hear f ...

European Central Bank interest rates don’t need to be reduced right now, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks https://t.co/9KoobsCVIB ...