The euro-area economy is weathering geopolitical challenges, ECB Governing Council member Christodoulos Patsalides says https://t.co/VARG3pTYmm ...

Buffalo has some of the country's snowiest winters, its beloved Bills have yet to win a Super Bowl and the economy has yet to fully rebound. Yet former residents keep returning, buying up high-end homes and giving the luxury market a jolt. https://t.co/BaUUXZHAzt ...

To encourage tourism and boost L’Aquila’s economy, the government has made the city Italy’s “capital of culture” for 2026. The title would be well deserved in any year, but the decision is nonetheless incongruous https://t.co/vNLZyUbE5k ...

Breaking news. Donald Trump's big mad about the Trump economy. And so this afternoon, as we just discussed, he ordered the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the part of the Department of Labor that collects and reports American employment data, to be fired. They didn't do anything else. They just report the data. Now, did Trump do that because the stock market tanked today after the jobs report showed an anemic 73,000 jobs created last month? Or did he do it because he needed yet another outrageous di ...

And Donald Trump didn't like these numbers because they cast a negative light on his supposedly big beautiful economic achievements. But you know, Ronald Reagan used to say facts are stubborn things. And the reason those numbers were revised downward was because of facts relating to the economy.How do we deal with it now. Donald Trump trying to cook the books and imperiling the credibility of some really important economic statistics that are the basis for business planning. You know, we tend to make a lot ...

Labor Market & Economy - The labor market shows signs of weakening, with the prime age employment rate (25-54 years old) down approximately 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous year, which is atypical for a strong economy [2] - College unemployment rates are increasing, suggesting that rationalizations of the jobs data, such as attributing it to immigration, may be flawed [3] - Real personal consumption has decreased in the first six months of the year, a fact that is not widely recognized [6] Consumer Spending & Housing - The housing sector is experiencing a recession, indicated by a sharp decline in single-family permits [6] - Consumers are financially vulnerable, with real spending declining, including a notable weakening in services [6][7] - Consumers may lack the capacity to absorb higher prices, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts [5] Monetary Policy & Inflation - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging situation as inflation numbers might worsen during the summer [4] - Nominal incomes are slowing, providing a solid basis for policymakers like Governor Waller [4] - Broad capital expenditure (capex) outside of AI technology is expected to be sluggish due to companies' less optimistic outlook [7]

Peter Maluca of Creative Planning is still with us. Peter, I'm not you don't need to wait into politics. Don't worry, but it's it's probably we're now politicizing the Fed. We're politicizing jobs number.>> That's not a market confidence building headline. I don't think >> I felt like I was watching like I'm being punked or or in the onion uh you know the par parody satire uh video. I can't believe what I just saw.I mean, look, I'm not a fan of some government statistics. You just have to look historically ...

Labor Market & Economic Outlook - US labor market shows warning signs with payrolls tumbling and unemployment rate rising, indicating a deceleration in job gains [1][2] - Concerns mount over a complicated mix for the Federal Reserve to deal with, leading to expectations of potential rate cuts in September and December [2][3] - Slowing services wages suggest a potential slowdown in consumption and the overall economy, justifying lower interest rates even without a formal recession [19] - The economy is structurally sound, but current policy may be suboptimal, with rates disproportionately hurting lower-income households as housing and labor markets slow [9][10] Interest Rate & Monetary Policy - Fed rate cut bets for September have reached nearly 90%, a significant increase from 45% prior to jobs data, with two rate cuts priced in for the year [6] - The Cleveland Fed President acknowledges a tricky time for monetary policy makers due to conflicting mandates, requiring careful data analysis and business conversations [7][8] - The market anticipates bull steepening as the economy slows and the Fed cuts rates, potentially spurring inflation or growth, leading to a V-shaped recovery [12] - Neutral rate is difficult to determine, potentially higher than expected due to shifts in household and business debt structures, allowing for higher interest rates with a robust economy [17][18] Bond Market & Credit Issuance - US high-grade weekly volume reached $12 million, driven by foreign bank sales, while July volume was $81 billion, the lightest month for supply this year [29] - US high-yield July volumes exceeded $35 billion, marking the second busiest month since September 2021 and the busiest since at least 2006 [30] - Leveraged loan launches in July set a record, reaching over $222 billion, the fourth time in 14 months an all-time record has been broken [30] - Private sector holds $225 trillion in cash, exceeding marketable Treasury debt, with only $29 trillion in high-quality bonds, creating a transcendent influence on the market [26][27]

Here are key takeaways from the US jobs report for July https://t.co/jxoTqlioo1 ...

Trade Policy & Tariffs - President Trump signed an executive order announcing new tariffs ranging from 10% to 41%, scheduled to take effect on August 7th [1] - Canada was hit with a 35% tariff on imports [2] - Talks with China continue with an August 12th deadline approaching, and a 90-day extension was announced for Mexico [1] - The market is experiencing uncertainty around tariff rates, impacting business investment and hiring decisions [17][20][21] Economic Impact - GDP growth was trending north of 2% before Trump took office and the trade war, but is now around 1% for the first half of the year [9] - The economy is showing signs of slower growth and higher prices, potentially leading to stagflation [10] - Tariffs are being passed through to consumer prices, affecting furniture, toys, apparel, and electronics [14] - Businesses are sitting on their hands in terms of investment and hiring due to uncertainty [20][21] Political Considerations - There is a perception that the economy is doing well, partly because earlier predictions of economic collapse due to tariffs did not materialize [5] - Democrats should focus on how tariffs contradict Trump's promise to lower costs [6] - The chaotic trade war is not resolved and further negotiations are expected [22]