本次休市期间全球市场涨势喜人，众多利好因素浮现。关于 A 股复市后的走势，接下来将为大家深入 解读。文末总结了核心观点，对把握市场动态至关重要，建议重点研读。 一，利好来了！ 假期期间多重利好接踵而至： 其一，海外市场平稳运行，中美重启对话的积极信号显现； 其二，美联储降息预期持续走高，市场普遍预计年内将有 3-4 次降息； 其三，五一假期消费数据亮眼，交通出行、住宿餐饮等领域均创下近年同期新高； 其四，离岸RMB汇率强势反弹，一举突破 7.2 元重要关口。 | 股市指数&股指期货 | | 大美资产 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 全球重要指数 | 灌跌幅,% | 债券市场 | 变动幅度,bt | | 恒生科技 | 41 | 美国国债收益率-2年期 | 18.0 | | 纳斯达克指数 | 5.0 | 美国国倩收益率-10年期 | 14.0 | | 德国DAY | 249 | 外汇 | 漆跌幅, | | 法国CAC40 | 28 | 离岸人民币兑美元 | 1.0 | | 中国全龙指数 | 2.7 | 美元指数 | 0.8 | | MSCI新兴市场 | 245 | 港币兑美元 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The market has experienced significant volatility since the sharp decline on April 7, leading to concerns among investors about the potential for recovery and strategies to navigate the turbulent environment [1] Group 1: Market Volatility - A-shares exhibit higher volatility compared to U.S. stocks, with A-shares experiencing a 16% fluctuation in individual stocks since April 7, while U.S. stocks have only seen a decline of over 30% eight times in the past 120 years [2][4] - Investors should embrace the high volatility of A-shares as it presents opportunities for excess returns, as stable markets do not typically reveal undervalued or panic-driven opportunities [4] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Ordinary investors are advised to adopt a trend-following approach rather than attempting to predict market movements, as retail investors are more susceptible to emotional influences compared to institutional investors [5] - The reliance on K-line patterns and financial news may obscure the true market dynamics, and utilizing big data technology can help uncover genuine trading intentions and market essence [5][12] Group 3: Institutional Behavior - The behavior of institutional funds is crucial in determining stock price movements, as seen in the example where a stock experiences a pullback followed by a rise, indicating potential new investment opportunities driven by institutional support [7] - Signals of "strong profit-taking" indicate that institutional investors are realizing profits, which may suggest a high risk for chasing prices upward despite subsequent minor increases [9][11] Group 4: Data Utilization - Professional big data tools are available to capture and analyze original trading data, allowing for the identification of abnormal trading signals that may not be visible to ordinary investors [12][14] - Active institutional inventory data often correlates with upward price momentum, while its absence can lead to downward trends, highlighting the limitations of solely relying on K-line analysis [14]

最近，不少投资者都在琢磨一个问题：A股到底还会不会二次探底？ 今天就给大家仔细分析分析，文末还有实用数据，千万别错过！ 一，二次探底 二次探底这个担忧并非空穴来风。 从基本面看，关税问题仍存在变数，后续局势反复在所难免；从历史上看，当前K线形态与2020年2月的走势有着惊人的相似。 还记得那年春节，疫情突袭，节后首个交易日上证指数狂泻7.72%，比今年4月7日的7.34%跌幅更甚。 随后市场开启连续反弹，走出7连阳、8连阳的亮眼行情，但当20日均线刚拐头向上，市场却突然二次探底，甚至创下阶段性新低。 所以很多投资者担心A股会再次探底。 二，散户真正要关心的 其实纠结二次探底是否会发生，其实意义不大。 很多散户其实就是没有看到市场的真相，现实行情比较震荡，看到和2020年的那段行情差不多，就会陷入惯性思维，觉得二次探底会重现。 但我们要知道历史不会简单重复，现在的A股，5000多只股票早已告别同涨同跌的时代。 关键不是自己在那猜测会不会二次探底，很多人有这个担忧，但又怕后面还会涨，就完全不知道该怎么办了，其实只要我们能够看到市场的真相 就行了！ 怎么看到真相呢？就要借助真实客观的数据还原真相，只有数据是不受情绪 ...