澳元兑美元AUD/USD日内跌幅达1.00%，现报0.6387。 澳元/美元 ...

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) has surpassed 0.65, indicating a positive movement in the currency market [1] - The AUD/USD pair experienced an intraday increase of 0.38%, reflecting a strengthening of the Australian dollar [1]

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has increased by over 0.50% against the US dollar (USD), currently trading at 0.6520 [1]

澳元兑美元AUD/USD扩大跌幅并触及逾一周低点，最新下跌0.8%报0.648；纽元兑美元NZD/USD扩大 跌幅并触及逾一周低点，最新下跌0.7%报0.602。 ...

澳元兑美元AUD/USD日内跌幅达0.50%，现报0.6499。 ...

Group 1 - The Australian dollar has recently reached the 0.65 mark against the US dollar, currently reported at 0.65, with an intraday increase of 0.12% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing a narrow trading range against the US dollar (USD), reflecting underlying economic weakness, monetary policy expectations, and external risk factors [1][3]. Economic Fundamentals - Australia's Q1 GDP growth was only 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, a significant slowdown from 0.6% in Q4 of the previous year, with year-on-year growth dropping to 1.3% [3]. - Per capita GDP has declined for five consecutive quarters, indicating a lack of internal growth momentum [3]. - Household consumption has seen slight growth due to essential spending, but public sector spending has reached a new high since 2017, highlighting the narrowing fiscal policy space [3]. - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has signaled strong easing measures, discussing a potential 50 basis point rate cut and indicating a quick response to the impacts of US tariff policies [3]. External Risks - Uncertainty surrounding US trade policies poses a significant risk, as Australia relies heavily on exports, which account for 25% of its GDP [3]. - The volatility of commodity export prices to the US has increased by 40% since the beginning of the year due to tariff disputes [3]. - Hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve regarding tariff policies could lead to delayed rate cuts or even a resumption of rate hikes, indirectly pressuring the AUD [3]. Technical Analysis - The AUD/USD pair is in a critical consolidation phase, forming a converging triangle pattern between 0.6450 and 0.6500 [4]. - The RSI indicator shows a bullish divergence in the oversold region, while the MACD momentum remains below the zero line, indicating a delicate balance between bulls and bears [4]. - The psychological level of 0.6500 is a battleground, with three recent tests resulting in pullbacks, while strong buying interest at 0.6400 provides short-term support [4]. Trading Strategy - The market is at a critical point for directional choice, with short-term traders advised to watch for breakout signals [4]. - A drop below 0.6400 could open up further downside towards 0.6300, while a sustained move above 0.6500 could target the yearly high of 0.6540 [4]. - Mid-term investors should be cautious of policy expectation adjustments, considering short positions above 0.6500 with a stop loss at 0.6600 and a target at 0.6350 [4]. Future Outlook - The RBA's meeting minutes on June 18 and the US non-farm payroll data on June 21 will be critical catalysts for the AUD [5]. - A clearer indication of rate cuts from the RBA or stronger-than-expected US employment data could significantly increase downward pressure on the AUD [5]. - Conversely, if iron ore prices exceed $120 per ton, it may provide temporary support for the AUD [5]. - The current predicament of the AUD is a result of weak economic fundamentals, expectations of policy easing, and external uncertainties, with a true breakout requiring a convergence of internal and external momentum [5].

智通财经6月4日电，澳元兑美元日内涨幅达0.50%，现报0.6494。 ...

澳元兑美元AUD/USD日内涨超1.00%，现报0.6473。 ...

澳元兑美元AUD/USD日内涨幅达0.50%，现报0.6454。 ...