Core Viewpoint - The US dollar continues to strengthen, reaching a two-month high, with significant movements in various currency pairs, indicating a robust dollar performance in the forex market [1][2]. Group 1: Currency Movements - The US dollar index has risen above the 99 mark, marking a two-month high [1]. - The euro is trading around 1.1600 against the dollar, maintaining its lowest level since August 25 [1]. - The USD/JPY pair has reached the 153 mark, showing continued upward momentum [1]. - The AUD/USD has declined, falling below the 0.6600 level [1]. Group 2: Central Bank Insights - The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes reveal internal divisions among officials, suggesting a cautious approach to further rate cuts this year [2]. - The Bank of England's financial policy committee warns that a sudden shift in market perception of the Fed's independence could lead to a sharp revaluation of dollar asset prices [2]. - The European Central Bank officials express confidence in current interest rates, indicating no immediate need for further guidance, while acknowledging the potential for one more rate hike [2]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - A Reuters survey indicates that 17 out of 20 economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to lower the cash rate to 2.25% in November [2]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects a mid-term global economic growth rate of approximately 3%, lower than the pre-pandemic rate of 3.7% [4].

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，10月7日，欧元兑美元跌0.4%，现报1.1658。 ...

（责任编辑：刘畅 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 每经AI快讯，9月24日，欧元兑美元日内涨0.52%，现报1.1752。 每日经济新闻 ...

周三（9月24日）亚盘早盘，欧元兑美元下跌，目前交投于1.18附近，截止北京时间10:35分，欧元兑美 元报价1.1797，跌幅0.12%，上一交易日欧元兑美元收盘为1.1811。昨日，欧元兑美元交投略低于1.18， 市场在消化参差不齐的PMI数据同时，关注欧洲央行未来政策路径。 9月HCOB欧元区综合PMI小幅升至51.2，符合预期的51.1，显示该地区私营部门录得16个月来最快扩 张。服务业增速好于预期，而制造业则重回收缩，表现不及预期。分国家来看，法国数据逊色，而德国 表现强于市场预期。欧洲央行近期表示降息周期或已结束，强调关税、服务、食品价格及财政政策相关 的通胀风险依然存在。 市场目光转向欧洲央行及美联储官员即将发表的一系列讲话，以寻求更多指 引。 日线图显示，欧元兑美元布林带中轨1.1685，上轨1.1780，下轨1.1591。当前1.1792的价位已压在并略上 穿上轨，若进一步突破，则将指向上方波段高点1.1829与1.1900的整数心理关口。蜡烛图近阶段呈上升 通道内的推升结构，回撤多沿中轨附近获得动能修复。MACD显示DIFF 0.0030，DEA 0.0021，柱体 0.0018，均站于零 ...

若欧元兑美元汇率持续跌破1.1800关口并站稳其下方，可能引发技术性抛售，进而推动现货价格下探 1.1730-1.1725区间的中期支撑位，后续或进一步测试1.1700整数关口。另一方面，1.1870-1.1880区间目 前已成为1.1900关口之前的即时阻力位。若该区间出现持续性买盘突破，将进一步确认欧元兑美元的短 期看涨前景，并为汇率迈向1.2000心理关口（2021年6月以来首次）铺平道路，期间需留意1.1950附近区 域的中期阻力。 欧元/美元今年已从1.0125攀升至1.1918，反映出市场对贸易局势的担忧情绪。黄金价格的上涨表明投资 者正寻求对冲今年面临的多种风险，而欧元作为第二大储备货币，可能被市场认为比黄金更安全，且能 提供利息回报，因此一旦突破关键水平，其受欢迎程度可能会激增，推动欧元/美元升破1.2000，进而 引发大规模的对冲和投资调整，使其涨势远超投机驱动。 周三（9月24日）亚盘早盘，欧元兑美元下跌，目前交投于1.18附近，截止北京时间10:31分，欧元兑美 元报价1.1798，跌幅0.11%，上一交易日欧元兑美元收盘为1.1811。欧元作为避险资产的吸引力正在增 强，今年其价值已大 ...

本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【9月19日丹斯克银行称美元短期或反弹，长期将疲软】9月19日，丹斯克银行分析师称，因美联储不太 可能如市场预期激进降息，美元短期有反弹空间。虽市场预期10月和12月联储会连续降息，但分析师认 为数据支持"渐进式降息"，预计12月再次降息。不过，该分析师补充，长期来看美元仍将疲软。丹斯克 银行预计，未来12个月欧元对美元汇率将升至1.23，支撑因素包括欧美利差优势、欧洲市场复苏等。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts from UniCredit Bank's investment research institute indicate that the euro to dollar exchange rate is unlikely to rise significantly further as the market has already priced in the interest rate expectations of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Interest Rate Expectations** - The forward rates for the year 2026 have incorporated expectations that the European Central Bank will maintain interest rates unchanged and that the Federal Reserve will implement a reduction of approximately 150 basis points [1] - **Target Exchange Rates** - The analysts have set the target exchange rate for the euro to dollar at 1.20 for Q4 2025 and 1.23 for Q4 2026 based on their latest baseline scenario forecast for the Federal Reserve [1]

智通财经APP获悉，欧元兑美元汇率小幅攀升，迈向四年高位。周二，欧元汇率升至自 7 月 3 日以来的 最高水平，涨幅高达 0.3%，达到 1.1791 美元。自 2025 年以来，该货币汇率已上涨近 14%，创下有记 录以来最佳的九个月表现。若能突破 7 月份创下的 1.1829 美元的高位，这将创下自 2021 年 9 月以来的 最高水平。期权交易显示，这可能为冲击备受关注的 1.20 美元关口奠定基础。 交易员们正密切关注美联储本周可能采取的降息举措，此举将推动欧元与欧洲央行利率的走势出现明显 分化。需求得到了预期的支撑，即欧洲央行在当前美联储即将开启宽松政策之际不会进一步降低利率。 而美联储年底可能连续三次降息 25 个基点的预期，也增强了欧元的吸引力。 据摩根士丹利的策略师称，在美联储做出决策之前，美元的战术性仓位处于中性状态。这意味着，如果 政策制定者证实市场对于今年三次降息的预期是正确的，那么欧元仍有进一步上涨的空间。 一周风险逆转指标(用于衡量仓位和市场情绪)显示，自欧洲央行暗示已结束宽松政策以来，投资者对能 买入欧元的期权的需求持续上升。美国存托信托与清算公司提供的数据也证实了这一点：周一交易 ...

Group 1 - The European Central Bank (ECB) member Rehn refuted market speculation that there will be no further interest rate cuts in the coming months, indicating that current inflation risks are clearly "biased downwards" [1] - Rehn warned against complacency regarding price stability, despite the annual inflation rate meeting the ECB's 2% medium-term target for the past two months [1] - He highlighted several downward risks to be monitored, including falling energy prices, euro appreciation, and controlled service sector inflation [1] Group 2 - The euro to dollar exchange rate is currently experiencing a range-bound movement, with resistance at the August high of 1.1742 [2] - A breakthrough above this level could open up further upside potential, targeting 1.1788 and the high of 1.1830 from July 2025 [2] - The initial support level is at the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) of 1.1514, with further support at the August low of 1.1391 and the weekly bottom of 1.1210 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The euro against the US dollar has declined despite better-than-expected inflation data from the Eurozone, indicating that the market may be focusing on other factors rather than the inflation increase [1] Inflation Data - Eurozone's inflation rate accelerated to 2.1% in August, surpassing the market expectation of 2.0% [1] - Core inflation remained at 2.3%, slightly above the expected 2.2%, while service sector inflation showed signs of slowing down [1] Market Reaction - Following the inflation data release, the euro fell by 0.6% to 1.1636 USD, down from approximately 1.1644 USD before the announcement [1] - The market anticipates that the European Central Bank will maintain interest rates at its policy meeting on September 11 [1] Technical Analysis - The primary support level for the euro against the dollar is the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.1502 [1] - If this support is breached, subsequent support levels are the August low of 1.1391 (August 1) and the weekly bottom support of 1.1210 (May 29) [1] - Momentum signals are mixed, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slightly above 50 indicating a mild upward bias, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) below 11 suggests a weak trend strength without a clear direction [1]