每经AI快讯，2月3日，澳元兑美元涨幅扩大至1%，受此前澳大利亚央行鹰派加息提振。 ...

2026年2月3日亚洲交易时段早盘，澳元兑美元围绕加息预期震荡走高，截至发稿报0.6971，日内微涨 0.3455%，最高触及0.6973、最低下探0.6941，昨收与今开均为0.6950，商品货币属性叠加加息预期为汇 价提供短期支撑，交投情绪聚焦日内澳洲联储利率决议。上一交易日汇价受美元短线反弹压制小幅走 弱，尾盘依托加息预期企稳回升，未跌破0.6940关键支撑位，市场对澳联储加息的定价已基本消化，等 待政策声明的前瞻指引给出明确方向。 技术面来看，澳元兑美元短期呈现技术面偏空与基本面偏多的博弈特征。1小时级别形成头肩顶形态并 跌破颈线，释放明确短期看空信号，预示汇价存在回调需求；14日RSI指标报46.7，未进入超买或超卖 区间，多空动能暂时均衡。日线级别上，汇价此前受加息预期推动创近三年高位，短期均线呈多头排 列，但近期涨势放缓，技术面走势更多依赖日内澳联储决议的基本面催化，若决议释放鹰派信号，有望 扭转短期技术面偏空格局。 本次澳洲联储利率决议成为主导澳元兑美元走势的核心变量，市场普遍预期央行将加息25个基点，将基 准利率从3.60%上调至3.85%，这也是2026年澳洲联储首次货币政策调整，加息概率 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，2月2日，澳元兑美元下跌0.55%，报0.6925美元。 ...

每经AI快讯，1月29日，澳元兑美元日内跌幅达1.0%，报0.6967。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

每经AI快讯，1月29日，澳元兑美元上涨0.63%，至0.70855美元。 每经AI快讯，1月29日，澳元兑美元上涨0.63%，至0.70855美元。 ...

每经AI快讯，澳元兑美元升至0.7043美元的三年高位。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) has shown strong performance against the US dollar (USD) at the beginning of 2026, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 4%, supported by expectations of interest rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), widening interest rate differentials, and a weakening USD [1][2]. Group 1: Currency Performance - As of January 28, 2026, the AUD/USD exchange rate was reported at 0.6989, having reached a high of 0.7011 earlier, marking a new peak for 2023 [1]. - The AUD has been among the top three G10 currencies in terms of appreciation, driven by a significant drop in the USD index, which fell by 1% to below 96, the lowest level since February 2022 [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December showed a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, up from 3.4% previously, with core CPI at 3.4%, exceeding the RBA's target range of 2%-3% [1]. - Employment data for December indicated an increase of 65,200 jobs, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.1%, reinforcing the case for a potential interest rate hike [2]. Group 3: Market Expectations - Following the CPI release, the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate hike by the RBA on February 3 increased from 63% to 74% [2]. - The technical outlook for the AUD/USD shows a clear upward trend, with the price consistently above the 200-day moving average and a relative strength index (RSI) above 58, indicating further upward potential [2]. Group 4: Future Events - The short-term focus for the AUD will be on two key events: the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes on January 28 and the RBA's monetary policy meeting on February 3, which will influence the USD's trajectory and interest rate expectations [3].

Group 1 - The Australian dollar has depreciated by 0.3% against the US dollar, reaching a value of 0.6989 USD [1]

1月27日回溯1月26日(周一)行情，澳元兑美元强势站上0.6920，走势偏强格局明确。这波上涨核心由美 元整体走软推动，上周末纽约联储核查美日汇率的消息，被交易员解读为潜在干预信号，引发美元多头 平仓、日元回补操作，进而拖累美元全品种走弱，间接助推澳元上行。 需注意的是，此类波动由仓位调整与流动性变化主导，缺乏基本面根本性支撑，行情来得快去得也快， 情绪降温后大概率出现修正，最终能否完全回吐，取决于后续美元能否获得数据或政策信号支撑。当前 市场焦点已转向本周三美联储议息会议，普遍预期维持利率不变，若会议措辞中性无极端导向，美元将 回归数据主导定价，2月非农报告等密集数据才是利率路径判断的关键节点。 澳元自身上涨动力强劲，上周亮眼的澳大利亚就业数据，点燃市场对澳洲联储加息的预期，当前定价已 反映63%的下次会议加息概率。这一预期转变，叠加澳洲联储近期表态趋紧、提及通胀黏性下不排除 2026年加息，进一步强化了澳元强势基础。 本周澳大利亚季度通胀报告将成为关键试金石：若通胀回落，加息预期大概率降温，澳元面临获利盘抛 售压力；若通胀高企，则印证鹰派定价合理性，澳元利差优势凸显，强势有望延续。 技术面来看，澳元兑美 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing cautious fluctuations against the US dollar (USD) ahead of key inflation data, with the exchange rate hovering around 0.6709 and showing a slight increase of 0.04% to 0.6710 [1] Group 1: Central Bank Policies - The divergence in central bank policies is a key driver of exchange rate movements, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintaining a benchmark interest rate of 3.6% until December 2025 after consecutive rate cuts in August and November [3] - The RBA's statement predicts inflation will return to the target range of 2%-3% by 2026, supporting the stability of interest rates, which is expected to provide a foundational support for the AUD [3] - In contrast, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is facing increasing policy divergence, with a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points expected by the end of 2025, and a significant dissent in the December meeting, indicating uncertainty in future policy direction [3] Group 2: Economic Conditions - Australia's economy is showing signs of weak recovery, with a GDP growth of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and 1.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, breaking the trend of declining per capita GDP [4] - As a commodity currency, the AUD is supported by stable prices of iron ore and coal due to recovering global infrastructure demand, but weak household consumption and labor market slack limit its upward potential [4] - The AUD has appreciated over 5% against the USD in 2025, primarily driven by Fed rate cuts and commodity price rebounds rather than significant breakthroughs in the Australian economy [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for the AUD/USD exchange rate shows a balanced market, with resistance around 0.6730 and support levels at 0.6680 and 0.6650, indicating a lack of clear directional trends [4] - The 14-day RSI is at 52, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD is showing limited movement near the zero line, suggesting short-term indecision in the market [4]