And Bryant, that brings us right to you and your valueoriented fund. Um, of course, tech a clear beneficiary from AI and we've heard a lot of talk coming from productivity gains and other sectors from the AI buildout. Where are you seeing value and AI intersect.Is there anywhere where that ven diagram crosses. >> Yeah, sure. We we certainly saw the same thing Todd saw which was financials especially banks were highly attractive coming into the early part of the year and through today within financials we're ...

ETF Market Trends & Flows - Gold ETFs are experiencing significant inflows, hitting record highs and surpassing S&P 500 ETFs in popularity, indicating a potentially bearish market sentiment [1][2] - Equity buying is prevalent, with interest in S&P 500, bonds, and internet ETFs, suggesting a mixed approach of seeking both growth and hedging [3] - Small-cap ETFs are seeing mixed interest, with initial buying followed by quick exits, while fundamentally or factor-weighted approaches are gaining traction [3][11] - Bitcoin ETFs are competing with gold as a store of value, with cumulative flows showing a dynamic race between the two asset classes [4] - Zero-fee funds are attracting the bulk of ETF inflows, with over $300 billion flowing into products costing 10 basis points or less [22] Active vs Passive ETF - Active ETFs are gaining traction, representing close to one-third of overall flows, with firms like Baron entering the space [2][15] - Fees may be less important for active ETFs, as investors prioritize performance and are willing to pay for active management and security selection [16][18] - Vanguard's active mutual funds have outperformed the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) at a higher rate than some peers, attributed to lower fees and less turnover [24][25] - The approval of semi-transparent or non-transparent ETFs was symbolically important but did not necessarily translate into assets [42] Vanguard's Strategy & Position - Vanguard is a leader in low-cost products and is expected to push active ETFs significantly, leveraging its substantial assets under management (approximately $14 trillion to $15 trillion) [20][29] - Vanguard may eventually allow a Bitcoin ETF to capture trends among younger investors [30] - Vanguard's outperformance in active management is linked to lower fees, which allows managers to take less risk and still deliver competitive returns [26][27] Megatrend ETF & Thematic Investing - Lazard Asset Management launched a Megatrends ETF (TMHZ) to capitalize on long-term trends like AI, health, consumer behavior, and data, with a 50 basis points fee [32][35] - Thematic ETFs can fit into model portfolios as tactical themes, and active management may improve client performance in this space compared to passive approaches [38][39] - The goal of megatrend investing is to access long-term themes that will play out over decades, differentiating it from individual themes with shorter lifecycles [40]

Small caps, big dreams. What’s your top low-cap #altcoin pick? 👇 ...

Market Trends & Analysis - Yields are rangebound, indicating a neutral stance from an intermediate and long-term perspective [2] - The 10-year Treasury yield has support around 42% and resistance around 44% [3] - A breakout from the yield range would suggest higher yields, while a breakdown could lead to secondary support around 40% [4] - Small caps, represented by the Russell 2000, show strong upside momentum in both the intermediate and short term [6] - The Russell 2000 exhibits a cup and handle formation, suggesting a potential lift to new highs [6] - Consolidation is expected for small caps, aligning with seasonal influences and overbought conditions [7] - Large cap indices are losing upside momentum, potentially impacting the Russell 2000 [8] - The VIX is above its 50-day moving average, indicating expanding volatility inversely correlated to the S&P 500 [9] Crude Oil Analysis - Crude oil prices are still in a secular downtrend, requiring a substantial upside move to reverse [9] - There are indications on the monthly chart of WTI suggesting a major low in March/April, based on long-term oversold readings [10] Energy Sector - The energy sector shows signs of life, with some MLPs lifting out of prolonged consolidation phases [11] - Phillips 66 (PSX) shows a potential inverse head and shoulders formation, indicating constructive technical action despite long-term downside momentum [11]

Friday. Joining us this morning is bespoke co co-founder Paul Hickeyi to discuss. Paul, let's get the fall started.Good to have you. Um, talk about September season seasonality and whether or not there are elements that might make this particular round of September maybe a little less than feared. Yes.I mean, September, we all know it's historically a weak time of year uh for the markets overall. Uh, especially look at I mean what we've done the last four months. We're up 1% four months in a row.Um, you kno ...

Small Cap Characteristics & Performance - Small caps constitute approximately 10% of the United States market capitalization [1] - Historically, small caps have outperformed large caps by about 1.5% to 2% per year globally [3] - Small caps are currently trading at about 18 times forward earnings [6] Valuation & Investment Considerations - Small cap valuations are generally in line with their historical averages, offering a potential diversification benefit against high valuations in large cap growth companies [2][5] - Investors often express concerns about increasing valuations, particularly in US large cap companies [5] - A significant portion of small cap returns is driven by a small subset of stocks, making broad diversification crucial [8][9] ETF Strategies & Active Management - Flexibility is key in small cap investing, aiming to hold companies poised for higher expected returns [10] - Companies with high valuations, low profitability, and high balance sheet asset growth tend to underperform by 8% to 10% per year [11] - Some ETFs employ a rules-based approach with exclusions to avoid companies with lower expected returns, differentiating them from traditional index solutions [11][12]

All right, turning now to the ETF market. We are tracking ETF net flows that are now over $789 billion year to date. We're also tracking the moves above and below the 30-day moving averages for the popular index funds, the spy and the triple Q's.Investors, you can see here buying the dip slightly on the triple Q's following Nvidia earnings yesterday. So this week, the VGIT, the Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund, that saw the top inflows, followed by the IWM, the Eyesshar's Russell 2000 ETF, again, ...

Joining me now is Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler. Craig, this is different from an earlier guest who was sticking with the bigger name. So, what convinces you exactly about the small caps.>> John, thanks for having me on this afternoon. What convinces me about these small and midcap names is when we go back and just sort of look at the advance we've seen off the lows and we start looking at these mag seven stocks that have just been kind of treading water in here. John, we've been c ...

Your next guest says a new record could be coming. Tim Orbanowitz is chief investment strategist at Innovator Capital Management. Tim, good to have you on set. >> Great to be with you, Brian. >> Man, we've been waiting for the small cap breakout for a long time. Hasn't It's happened a little bit, but we're still not at a record high. Should we be bullish? >> I think there are catalysts, Brian. And and if you look at this and take a step back, we we've had this valuation gap, small caps to large caps, for a ...

Nvidia's Market Impact - Nvidia accounts for approximately 8% of the SPY (S&P 500), around 10% of the NASDAQ 100, and over 22% of the SMH [1] - The market anticipates Nvidia to surpass both top and bottom-line expectations, with focus on their future guidance, particularly regarding China and data center growth [2] Market Broadening and Sector Rotation - The market has shown broadening, with previously underperforming sectors experiencing gains, such as healthcare [3] - Lower interest rates are expected to benefit sectors that have been under pressure, including small-cap companies [3] Liquidity and Investor Sentiment - Approximately $7 trillion is held in US money market funds, a rise from $4 trillion in recent years, suggesting potential capital inflow into big cap tech if Nvidia performs well [4] - BFA's flow show indicated that clients sold stocks in nine out of eleven sectors, led by tech, staples, and financials, with hedge funds being the largest equity sellers [5] Small Caps and Rate Cuts - Small caps are more highly leveraged than larger cap companies, making them particularly sensitive to interest rate changes [9] - Small caps could benefit significantly if a recession is avoided and a couple of rate cuts occur, as they are currently considered cheap [9] Investment Strategy - The company favors big cap tech overall, citing strong earnings power, and advises against reducing tech exposure before Nvidia's earnings [11]