Donald Trump’s tariff pause is set to end on July 9, with few deals locked in and scant progress in negotiations. Yet the stock market that once swung wildly on trade headlines appears to see little risk https://t.co/AHe7PVlZNE ...

Welcome back. The Senate in the middle of a marathon session to pass President Trump's tax and spending mega bill, engaging in a lengthy voter, as it's known, where lawmakers can pitch amendments. If passed, then it heads back to the House before reaching the president's desk.Joining us now is National Economic Council Director Kevin Hasset. It's great to have you, Director Hasset. You think it it can really pass before this July 4th deadline.Yeah, I think we're I think we're still on track uh to meet the p ...

Inflation & Economic Policy - The administration believes its policies are driving down inflation by boosting the economy's supply side, enabling firms to produce more efficiently [1][2] - Concerns exist that companies may hesitate to pass on tariff-related costs due to fears of reduced consumer demand, potentially impacting economic growth and bottom lines [3] - The theory of tax incentives suggests the more inflexible party bears the tariff burden, with American consumers potentially changing consumption patterns [4][5] Trade & Tariffs - Firms can adjust supply chains, sourcing from countries with favorable trade deals, to avoid tariffs [6][7] - Tariffs aim to encourage countries to lower barriers to US products, creating more balanced trade and offering alternative markets [21] - Reciprocal tariffs remain a negotiating tool, potentially implemented if trade negotiations don't progress [19][22] - The president intends to use tariffs to incentivize countries to advance negotiations and make concessions, fostering a fair trade environment [24] Fiscal Policy & Deficit - The administration asserts it takes the deficit seriously and has a plan to reduce it through tax relief, deregulation, energy abundance, and trade renegotiation, aiming for 3% GDP growth [12][13] - Increased GDP growth, tariff revenues, and supply-side expansion are expected to contribute to deficit reduction [13] - Incentives like full expensing of equipment, R&D, and new factories are designed to stimulate investment in America, expanding productive capacity and keeping inflation low [8][9][10] - The administration anticipates deficit reduction through better economic growth, tariff revenue, reduced interest expenses, and cuts to waste, fraud, and abuse [16] - The administration projects 3 to 4 percentage points of GDP worth of deficit reduction, not fully reflected in the CBO score [15]

Group 1: Meeting Overview - The CEOs of Walmart and Target met with President Trump to discuss trade negotiations and the impact of tariffs on imported products [1][2] - Walmart CEO Doug McMillon described the meeting as "productive" and highlighted discussions on tariffs and their effects on the retail industry [2][3] - Target CEO Brian Cornell also found the meeting productive, focusing on a "path forward on trade" [5] Group 2: Trade Negotiations and Tariffs - Trump is negotiating with 75 countries for bilateral trade deals during a 90-day pause on his tariff plan, with 15 countries currently in active negotiations [8] - All nations that have not retaliated against the U.S. will face a 10% tariff, while tariffs on Chinese imports have been increased to 145%, leading to a 125% duty on American goods from China [9] Group 3: Industry Impact - The National Retail Federation warns that Trump's tariffs would drive up consumer prices, indicating potential challenges for the retail sector [8] - Home Depot CEO Ted Decker attended the meeting, while Lowe's CEO Marvin Ellison was absent, suggesting varying levels of engagement among major retailers [7]