Dividend Yield
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High Yields, Bad Choices
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-10 23:12
Core Viewpoint - Investors often focus on high dividend yields without considering the long-term sustainability of those yields, leading to potential misvaluations in stocks like AGNC Investment Corp, ARMOUR Residential, and Orchid Island Capital [1][2] Company Analysis - AGNC Investment Corp trades at a significant premium to its tangible book value, attracting investors primarily due to its high yield, which is not a thorough research approach [2][18] - The earnings of AGNC appear strong due to existing hedges from low interest rates, but these hedges are expiring, leading to an increase in the cost of funds [3][8] - Even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, AGNC's cost of funds is expected to rise because most of its funding costs are locked in through swaps [4][5] - AGNC's hedge portfolio includes a substantial amount of interest rate swaps, with $47.8 billion in long positions, which are crucial for managing interest expenses [7][8] - The yield on AGNC's assets is increasing, but the cost of funds is rising faster, resulting in a declining net interest spread and lower coverage ratio for dividends compared to two years ago [11][14] Comparative Analysis - ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Capital are seen as less favorable compared to AGNC, with similar risks but poorer decision-making and performance [14][19] - Preferred shares and baby bonds in the sector are viewed as more stable investment options, offering yields of 9% to 10% without the volatility associated with common shares [16][17] Market Sentiment - AGNC's current price reflects a large premium over its tangible book value, which is unusual and may indicate potential future declines in share price and dividends [18] - ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Capital are trading close to their book values, which is considered expensive given their historical performance and frequent losses [19]
ZIM Stock Slips 13.3% in 6 Months: Should You Buy the Dip or Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 15:51
Core Insights - ZIM Integrated Shipping's shares have decreased by 13.3% over the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Transportation-Shipping industry's decline of 8.5% and the broader transportation sector's 4.2% drop [1][6] - The stock has lagged behind peers such as Star Bulk Carriers, which gained 14.6%, and Frontline, which saw a decline of 2.1% during the same period [1][2] Supply Chain and Trade Challenges - Ongoing supply chain issues, rising tariff-related costs, and geopolitical tensions have pressured ZIM's stock performance [2][6] - Trade tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, have negatively impacted ZIM, with management expressing caution regarding transpacific trade in the absence of a long-term trade agreement [3][4] Financial Outlook - Earnings estimates for ZIM for 2025 and 2026 have declined year-over-year due to trade tensions [5][6] - ZIM's long-term debt has more than doubled to $4.6 billion since 2019, raising concerns about its financial stability [7] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a bearish outlook on ZIM, with an average price target of $16.07, indicating a potential downside of 2.7% from its last closing price [9] - The average brokerage recommendation for ZIM is 4.13 on a scale of 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), reflecting negative sentiment [9] Dividend and Valuation - Despite challenges, ZIM offers a high dividend yield, with a regular cash dividend of approximately $89 million or 74 cents per share declared for the first quarter of 2025 [14][13] - ZIM trades at a low forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.3X, making it attractive compared to industry peers [16][6]
Should You Invest in Barrick Mining After a 35% Rally in 6 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 13:06
Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining Corporation's shares have increased by 35% over the past six months, primarily driven by rising gold prices amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties [1][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Barrick's stock has rebounded significantly this year after a lackluster 2024, benefiting from the rally in gold prices [1]. - Despite underperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 41.5% increase, Barrick has outperformed the S&P 500's rise of 5.9% in the same period [2]. - Compared to peers, Newmont Corporation, Kinross Gold Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited have seen gains of 50%, 52.3%, and 42.9%, respectively [2]. Group 2: Production and Projects - Barrick is advancing major gold and copper projects, including Goldrush, Lumwana, and Reko Diq, on time and within budget [6][10]. - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of production annually by 2028, while the Reko Diq project is expected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually in its second phase [11][12]. - The Lumwana Super Pit expansion is projected to double throughput and significantly increase mining volumes, potentially making it a top-25 copper producer [12]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Gold prices have increased by approximately 26% this year, contributing to Barrick's profit margins and cash flow generation [13][15]. - Barrick's cash and cash equivalents were around $4.1 billion at the end of Q1 2025, with operating cash flows of roughly $1.2 billion, up 59% year over year [16]. - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends and repurchases, with a new share repurchase program authorized for up to $1 billion [16][17]. Group 4: Cost Challenges and Production Outlook - Barrick faces challenges from higher production costs, with cash costs per ounce of gold and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increasing by around 16% and 20% year over year, respectively [18]. - For 2025, Barrick projects attributable gold production in the range of 3.15-3.5 million ounces, indicating a decline from 3.91 million ounces in 2024 [19]. - The production outlook is tempered by reduced output from certain mines, which may negatively impact overall performance [19]. Group 5: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - Earnings estimates for Barrick have been revised upward over the past 60 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 increasing [20]. - Barrick's stock is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10X, which is an 18.2% discount to the industry's average of 12.22X [24].
DTE Energy (DTE) Could Be a Great Choice
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 16:45
Company Overview - DTE Energy is based in Detroit and operates in the Utilities sector, with a year-to-date share price change of 7.88% [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $1.09 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.35%, which is higher than the Utility - Electric Power industry's yield of 3.3% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.53% [3] Dividend Performance - DTE Energy's annualized dividend of $4.36 has increased by 5.1% from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, the company has raised its dividend four times, achieving an average annual increase of 1.80% [4] - The current payout ratio is 60%, indicating that the company distributes 60% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DTE Energy's earnings in 2025 is $7.21 per share, reflecting an expected increase of 5.56% from the previous year [5] - The company is viewed as a strong dividend investment opportunity, particularly due to its solid earnings growth prospects [6] Investment Considerations - DTE Energy is considered a compelling investment option for income investors, especially given its strong dividend profile and current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6]
Sun Life (SLF) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 16:45
Company Overview - Sun Life (SLF) is headquartered in Toronto and operates in the Finance sector, with a stock price change of 4.77% since the beginning of the year [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.64 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.1%, which is significantly higher than the Insurance - Life Insurance industry's yield of 1.76% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.53% [3] Dividend Performance - The current annualized dividend of $2.55 represents a 6.3% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the past 5 years, Sun Life has increased its dividend 5 times, achieving an average annual increase of 8.94% [4] - The company's current payout ratio is 46%, indicating that it pays out 46% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Expectations - Sun Life is expected to see earnings growth this fiscal year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 at $5.27 per share, reflecting an 8.44% increase from the previous year [5] Investment Appeal - Sun Life is considered a compelling investment opportunity due to its attractive dividend and strong Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [6] - The company is viewed as a solid dividend option, particularly in contrast to high-growth businesses or tech start-ups that typically do not offer dividends [6]
Dividend Yields Are Near Record Lows. Here's Where You Can Lock in a Bigger Payday.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-09 08:41
Core Insights - The S&P 500's dividend yield is declining, nearing 1.2%, which is close to its record low last seen in 2000, resulting in lower dividend income for new investments [1] - Real estate and energy sectors currently offer higher average dividend yields of 3.4%, making them attractive for investors seeking better payouts [2] Energy Sector - Many energy stocks provide higher dividend yields, with Kinder Morgan (KMI) offering above 4% backed by a strong financial profile, including take-or-pay contracts securing 69% of cash flows [6] - Kinder Morgan maintains a conservative payout ratio of 44% of its cash flow from operations in 2025, allowing for substantial excess free cash flow for expansion and consistent dividend increases [6] - Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) yields around 4.5%, supported by stable cash flow from long-term fixed-rate power purchase agreements, with 70% of revenue linked to inflation [7][8] - Brookfield aims to increase its dividend by 5% to 9% annually, having grown its payout at a 6% compound annual rate since 2001 [8] Real Estate Sector - The REIT sector is a strong source of dividend income, with NNN REIT yielding over 5%, focusing on freestanding retail properties secured by triple net leases [10] - NNN REIT has a history of increasing its dividend for 35 consecutive years, supported by a conservative payout strategy [11] - Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) has a dividend yield of around 4%, driven by strong rental demand in the Sun Belt region, and has increased its dividend for 15 straight years [12] Investment Opportunities - Despite the overall decline in average dividend yields, energy stocks and REITs present lucrative opportunities for investors seeking higher income streams without incurring additional risk [13]
DOW: Wait Until The Volatility Reversion Happens
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-08 12:07
Group 1 - Some large dividend stocks are currently near their year's low, resulting in an "astronomical" dividend yield that may deter value investors from entering the market due to concerns about sustainability [1] - The article highlights a trend where investors are increasingly interested in income-focused portfolios, particularly in the context of high dividend yields [1] Group 2 - The discussion emphasizes the importance of understanding the underlying risks associated with high dividend yields, which may not always indicate a strong investment opportunity [1] - There is a mention of the potential impact of economic conditions on dividend-paying stocks, suggesting that macroeconomic factors could influence investor sentiment and stock performance [1]
How To Earn $500 A Month From Conagra Brands Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-07-07 12:19
Core Viewpoint - Conagra Brands, Inc. is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on July 10, with a focus on maintaining profitability amid declining revenue forecasts and market dynamics, while offering an attractive dividend yield for investors [1] Financial Performance - Analysts predict Conagra Brands will report quarterly earnings of 61 cents per share, consistent with the previous year, and quarterly revenue of $2.88 billion, down from $2.91 billion a year earlier [2] - Morgan Stanley analyst Megan Alexander has maintained an Equal Weight rating on Conagra Brands and reduced the price target from $27 to $22 [2] Dividend Insights - Conagra Brands currently offers an annual dividend yield of 6.67%, translating to a quarterly dividend of 35 cents per share, or $1.40 annually [3] - To achieve a monthly income of $500 from dividends, an investment of approximately $89,963 or around 4,286 shares is required, while a more modest goal of $100 per month would need about $17,988 or 857 shares [3][4] Stock Price and Yield Dynamics - The dividend yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividend payment by the stock's current price, which can fluctuate based on changes in stock price and dividend payments [4][5] - Conagra Brands' shares fell 0.7% to close at $20.99 recently, indicating potential impacts on the dividend yield [6]
COPT Defense (CDP) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 16:46
Company Overview - COPT Defense (CDP) is headquartered in Columbia and has experienced a price change of -8.27% this year [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.31 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.3%, which is lower than the REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry's yield of 4.96% and significantly higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.52% [3] Dividend Performance - The current annualized dividend of COPT Defense is $1.22, reflecting a 3.4% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the past 5 years, the company has increased its dividend 3 times, with an average annual increase of 2.05% [4] - The current payout ratio is 47%, indicating that the company paid out 47% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth Expectations - For the fiscal year 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $2.67 per share, which represents a year-over-year earnings growth rate of 3.89% [5] - The company is viewed as an attractive dividend play and a compelling investment opportunity, currently holding a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [6]
BP's Market Gains Outpace Its Industry: What it Means for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 16:01
Core Insights - BP plc has outperformed the oil-energy sector with a 13.8% share price increase over the past six months, compared to the sector's 9.8% gain [1][5] - The company has a market capitalization of $9.3 billion [1] - BP's projected 2025 revenues are estimated at $235 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 20.6% [3] - BP's current dividend yield stands at 6.14%, significantly higher than ExxonMobil's 3.53% and Chevron's 4.61% [4][5] Financial Performance - BP's free cash flow growth outlook is strong, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% from 2024 to 2027 [10] - The company benefits from a high sensitivity to oil prices, with an estimated $340 million in pre-tax earnings for every $1 per barrel increase in Brent [11] - BP has reduced its 2025 capital expenditure guidance by $500 million to $14.5 billion, reflecting proactive cost management [12] - A structural cost reduction target of $4-$5 billion by the end of 2027 is in place, equating to about 20% of its 2023 baseline operating costs [13] Upstream Projects and Exploration - BP is effectively executing upstream growth projects, with three major projects already online, expected to contribute over 50,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) in 2025 [14][15] - The company has made six discoveries in the first quarter of 2025, including significant finds in the U.S. Gulf of America, Trinidad, and Egypt [16] - New access in Iraq and India has been secured, with the Ginger project in Trinidad expected to add 50,000 boe/d by 2027 [17] Portfolio and Divestment Strategy - Approximately 25% of BP's upstream production is based on production sharing agreements (PSAs), which provide insulation from short-term price fluctuations [18] - The company has secured over $1.5 billion in divestment proceeds year to date, with a revised 2025 divestment proceeds guidance of $3-4 billion [19] - This divestment strategy aims to streamline operations and unlock capital for further investments [19] Analyst Outlook - The Zacks average price target for BP is $36.01 per share, suggesting a 15.1% upside from the last closing price [6]