Market Trend - Franklin Templeton launches Solana ETF, expanding Wall Street's crypto offerings [1]

Bitcoin Cycle Analysis - The Bitcoin cycle, often based on the 4-year halving cycle, is a core investment dynamic in Web3, but its relationship with price appreciation is diminishing due to other factors [1][3] - The market experienced a 35% correction, highlighting the ongoing debate between bulls and bears regarding the 4-year cycle's validity [2] - The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs has significantly altered the price dynamics, injecting nearly 60,000 BTC in liquidity and establishing a new price floor more than 100% higher than the previous one [4][5] Macroeconomic Factors - Macroeconomic headwinds, including quantitative tightening (QT) and high interest rates, continue to influence the Bitcoin cycle [6] - Bitcoin's performance is inversely correlated with the strength of Gold, as it thrives during economic growth but struggles during social and economic unrest [7] - Liquidity cycles were significantly longer before 2008, averaging between 8-10 years, suggesting the current cycle might be in the middle of a larger bull cycle [9] Correlation and Future Outlook - The correlation between the strength of the Chinese Yuan (CNY/USD) and Ethereum against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) may indicate an extended Bitcoin cycle, potentially mirroring the mid-stages of 2016 or 2019 [12][13][14][15] - Combining the business cycle with Bitcoin cycles suggests the market might be in the middle of a peak bear phase, comparable to Q1/Q2 2016 or Q4 2019 [17][18] - Looking forward to 2026-2027, factors like Bank of America's allowance for Bitcoin ETF allocation, the Clarity Act, and potential quantitative easing (QE) suggest a less bearish outlook than the traditional 4-year cycle would indicate [19][20]

JUST IN: BlackRock Bitcoin ETF options are now the 5th most actively traded on the market, surpassing Amazon 👀 https://t.co/Ngc2zEu1P9 ...

RT BSCN (@BSCNews)IS $MOG REALLY GETTING AN ETF?! - A recent filing for a @mogcoin ETF has shocked the industry. Does it stand any chance of approval? https://t.co/hYgcBRTZD7 ...

RT BSCN (@BSCNews)🚨 REPORT: CHAINLINK ETF EXPECTED THIS WEEK - Analysts are optimistic about the prospects of an imminent @chainlink ETF launch... But what will it mean for the $LINK token? https://t.co/4rNeT1kvaw ...

🔎 CMC Feature Highlight | ETF pageTrack all crypto ETFs in one place 📊🔹 Spot and futures Bitcoin ETFs🔹 Ethereum ETF performance🔹 AUM comparisons 💰🔹 Historical inflows/outflows🔹 Regulatory updatesYour institutional gateway: https://t.co/w4GLNYDkKT https://t.co/YemZt0ved1 ...

Harvard, the country’s oldest and richest university, supersized its wager on the cryptocurrency last quarter, ramping up its holdings in iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF to nearly half a billion dollars https://t.co/um7lyyWxHe ...

LATEST: 📈 BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF saw $1 billion in volume within the first 30 minutes of trading on Tuesday as Bitcoin regained $91,000 amid a bullish uptick in the crypto market. https://t.co/uLhollJ0SB ...

RT BSCN (@BSCNews)IS $MOG REALLY GETTING AN ETF?! - A recent filing for a @mogcoin ETF has shocked the industry. Does it stand any chance of approval? https://t.co/hYgcBRTZD7 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - On December 3, 2025, the A-share market declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.51% to 3878.00 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.78% to 12955.25 points, and the ChiNext Index down 1.12% to 3036.79 points. The total trading volume of A-shares in the two markets was 1683.7 billion yuan. Industries with the highest gains were transportation (0.69%), non-ferrous metals (0.63%), and coal (0.57%), while those with the largest losses were media (-2.86%), computer (-2.26%), and real estate (-1.53%) [2][6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index all decreased, with trading volume reaching 1683.7 billion yuan. Transportation, non-ferrous metals, and coal led the gains, while media, computer, and real estate led the losses [2][6] Stock ETF - The top trading volume stock ETFs were mainly those tracking the CSI A500 Index, such as Huaxia CSI A500ETF (down 0.35%, premium rate -0.42%), Huatai-PineBridge CSI A500ETF (down 0.33%, premium rate -0.39%), and Guotai CSI A500ETF (down 0.52%, premium rate -0.53%) [3][7] Bond ETF - The top trading volume bond ETFs included Haifutong CSI Short-term Financing ETF (up 0.01%, premium rate 0.00%), Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market-making Treasury Bond ETF (down 0.05%, premium rate 0.03%), and China Merchants CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF (down 0.04%, premium rate -0.29%) [4][9] Gold ETF - Gold AU9999 fell 0.51% and Shanghai Gold fell 0.23%. The top trading volume gold ETFs were Huaan Gold ETF (down 0.18%, premium rate -0.36%), Boshi Gold ETF (down 0.24%, premium rate -0.36%), and E Fund Gold ETF (down 0.20%, premium rate -0.34%) [12] Commodity Futures ETF - Dacheng Non-ferrous Metals Futures ETF rose 0.38% (premium rate 0.51%), Huaxia Feed Soybean Meal Futures ETF had a 0.00% change (premium rate 0.65%), and China Construction Bank Yisheng Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange Energy and Chemical Futures ETF fell 0.73% (premium rate -1.09%) [15] Cross-border ETF - The previous trading day saw increases in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (0.39%), NASDAQ (0.59%), S&P 500 (0.25%), and Germany's DAX (0.51%). On December 3, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.28% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 1.68%. The top trading volume cross-border ETFs included E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF (down 1.23%, premium rate -1.44%), Huatai-PineBridge Hang Seng Technology ETF (down 1.49%, premium rate -1.85%), and GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (down 1.73%, premium rate -1.70%) [17] Money ETF - The top trading volume money ETFs were Yin Hua Rili ETF, Hua Bao Tian Yi ETF, and Money ETF [19]