June 16, 2025 02:38 PM GMT Cross-Asset Spotlight | Global M Update Signals, Flows & Key Data Erika.Singh-Cundy@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0960 A weekly summary of key cross-asset monitors, data, moves, and models tracking sentiment, fund flows, and positioning. Key highlights from last week: Exhibit 1: Morgan Stanley forecasts Bear Base Bull Bear Base Bull Equities S&P 500 5,977 4,900 6,500 7,200 -16.7% 10.0% 21.7% 19% 0.54 MSCI Europe 2,169 1,610 2,250 2,620 -22.6% 6.9% 24.0% 16% 0.44 Topix 2,756 2,100 ...

Geopolitical risk rattling investors and global financial markets this morning. So, how should investors on edge prepare for increasing geopolitical tensions. Joining us now, we've got Alex Morris, FM Investments CEO and CIO.Alex, good to have you here with us today. Just help us make sense of what we're seeing in the region as it is of of course being evaluated through the lens of investors here this morning. Yeah, certainly some some terrible things happening across the world and you know investors should ...

In the course of your investing journey, you may have heard of the term 60/40, a mainstream allocation strategy dictating 60% investment in stocks, 40% going to fixed income or bonds. But our next guest says that a 4060 strategy is paying off so far this year. Here with more, we've got Todd Schlanger, who is the senior investment strategist over at Vanguard.Todd, good to have you. So, explain why you're flipping the 6040 on its head and how you're implementing the 4060. Yeah, well, thanks for having us.The ...

Investment Strategy - Fidelity suggests that holding too much cash can be problematic, especially after establishing an emergency fund [1] - The video emphasizes the long-term benefits of a balanced asset mix [1] - Fidelity cautions against waiting for the "right" time to invest, as timing the market can be a mistake [1] - The video addresses how to effectively deploy cash into the market [1] Content Overview - The video "5 Questions with Fidelity" discusses cash management and investment strategies [1] - The video explores how much cash should be held [1] - The video addresses why some investors struggle to invest excess cash [1] Engagement - Fidelity encourages viewers to ask questions in the comments [1] - Fidelity provides links to its website for more insights and perspectives on the markets [1] - Fidelity promotes its various social media channels, including YouTube, Reddit, Instagram, TikTok, Facebook, LinkedIn, X (Twitter), and Discord [1]

Group 1 - Sensor Unlimited is part of the investing group Envision Early Retirement, which focuses on generating high income and growth with isolated risks through dynamic asset allocation [2] - The group offers two model portfolios: one for short-term survival/withdrawal and another for aggressive long-term growth, along with direct access for discussions, monthly updates, and tax discussions [2] - Sensor Unlimited has a PhD in financial economics and has spent the last decade covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry, with a focus on asset allocation and ETFs [3] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of proven solutions in investment strategies to mitigate risks while aiming for high returns [2] - It highlights the role of quantitative modeling in understanding market dynamics and making informed investment decisions [3]

Core Insights - Davis Commodities has successfully approved a $30 million fundraising plan aimed at establishing Bitcoin reserves to enhance asset allocation and operational flexibility [1][6] - Bitcoin is recognized as a significant asset with strong value as a store of wealth, often referred to as "digital gold against inflation," and has a capped supply of 21 million coins, contributing to its desirability [2][3] - The company plans to adopt a phased accumulation strategy, allocating 15% of the fundraising amount, or $4.5 million, to acquire Bitcoin, while implementing risk management and price volatility hedging mechanisms [4][5] Company Strategy - The reserve strategy will leverage Bitcoin's non-sovereign nature and its ability to hedge against inflation, creating an asset buffer independent of traditional fiat currency systems [3][5] - By integrating Bitcoin into its asset management framework, the company aims to build a more resilient and diversified portfolio [3][6] - The management anticipates that Bitcoin's role in international trade transactions will expand as more countries integrate cryptocurrencies into their legal frameworks [5][6] Market Position - Bitcoin is currently recognized as the world's fifth-largest asset, with increasing liquidity and market maturity [2] - The successful implementation of the fundraising plan marks a significant step for Davis Commodities in diversifying its asset allocation and advancing digital transformation [6] - The company specializes in trading agricultural commodities such as sugar, rice, and oil and fat products across various markets, utilizing a global network of suppliers and logistics providers [7]

The new year is a great time to revisit your financial plan and make sure all aspects of your financial house are in order. Join the Insights from Fidelity Wealth Management℠ team as we address this broad subject. Specific topics we'll cover include: - Choosing short, medium, and long-term goal and strategies for achieving them - Creating plans for unexpected events like market volatility, job loss, and inheritance - Ensuring your investment strategy and asset allocation are aligned with your goals - Tax ti ...

Group 1 - Sensor Unlimited is part of the investing group Envision Early Retirement, which focuses on generating high income and growth with isolated risks through dynamic asset allocation [2] - The group offers two model portfolios: one for short-term survival/withdrawal and another for aggressive long-term growth, along with direct access for discussions, monthly updates, and tax discussions [2] - Sensor Unlimited has a PhD in financial economics and has spent the last decade covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry, with a focus on asset allocation and ETFs [3] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that past performance is not indicative of future results and does not provide specific investment recommendations [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-GAAP net income for Q1 was RMB169 million, representing a 4.7% increase year-over-year and a 27.4% increase sequentially, attributed to an 18.8% drop in operating costs and expenses [8][29] - Total net revenue in Q1 fell by 5.4% year-over-year, driven by a decline in overseas insurance product revenue [10][30] - Operating profit surged by 53.1% year-over-year to RMB186 million, with an operating profit margin increasing to 30.3% from 21% in the previous quarter [29][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from overseas investment products grew by 20.3% year-over-year, while revenue from overseas insurance products fell by 22.8% [11][16] - Domestic net revenues decreased by 9.4% year-over-year to RMB310 million, primarily due to lower recurring service fees from private equity products [17][31] - Transaction value for renminbi-denominated private secondary products increased significantly to RMB2.3 billion, up 2.6 times year-over-year [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overseas AUA reached USD9.05 billion, up 8.7% year-over-year, making up 28% of total AUA [13] - The total number of overseas registered clients increased by 15.8% year-over-year to over 18,200 [35] - Domestic transaction values in Q1 were RMB16.1 billion, down 14.7% year-over-year, with a notable decline in mutual fund transaction values [31][32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to expand its overseas relationship manager team and enhance its product offerings, including trust and cross-border solutions [22] - Focus on building a commission-only agent team to improve insurance sales and adapt to market conditions [22] - Emphasis on technology investments, particularly in AI, to enhance online services and operational efficiency [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties but expressed confidence in the company's positioning for future growth [28][35] - The company is committed to maintaining a high dividend payout, with plans to distribute RMB550 million in dividends, representing 100% of its non-GAAP net income for 2024 [26][27] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to changing client needs and market conditions, particularly regarding liquidity and investment products [51] Other Important Information - The company has initiated a share buyback program, repurchasing over 1.3 million ADSs, which is over 2% of total issued shares [25][26] - Cash reserves increased to RMB4.1 billion, with a current ratio of 4.8 times and no interest-bearing debt [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of recent tax bureau notices on high net worth clients - Management noted that while clients are receiving notices, it may not significantly affect their investment sentiment, but it raises awareness about tax planning [38][39] Question: Efficiency improvements in G&A and selling expenses - Management clarified that expense reductions stem from improved efficiency and fewer marketing activities, with plans for more marketing events in the future [42][43] Question: Client behavior amid market volatility and overseas business drivers - Management indicated that clients are becoming more mature in their investment strategies, focusing on liquidity and AI-related products, while the overseas insurance market remains competitive [48][52]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-GAAP net income for Q1 2025 was RMB169 million, representing a 4.7% increase year-over-year and a 27.4% increase sequentially, attributed to an 18.8% drop in operating costs and expenses from the previous year [9][31] - Total net revenue in Q1 fell by 5.4% year-over-year, primarily due to a 22.8% decline in revenue from overseas insurance products [10][32] - Operating profit surged by 53.1% year-over-year to RMB186 million, with an operating profit margin increasing to 30.3% from 21% in the previous quarter [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from overseas investment products grew by 20.3% year-over-year, while revenue from overseas insurance products fell by 22.8% [11][17] - Domestic net revenues decreased by 9.4% year-over-year to RMB310 million, largely due to lower recurring service fees from private equity products [18][33] - Transaction value for renminbi-denominated private secondary products increased significantly to RMB2.3 billion, up 2.6 times from the previous year [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overseas net revenues accounted for 49.5% of total revenue, with RMB304 million in Q1, up 5% sequentially [10][32] - Overseas AUA reached USD9.05 billion, up 8.7% year-over-year, reflecting growth in private equity products [14] - The total number of overseas registered clients increased by 15.8% year-over-year to over 18,200 [37] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to expand its overseas relationship manager team and enhance market presence in Singapore and Southeast Asia [12][23] - Focus on building robust portfolios and adjusting asset allocation in response to market volatility [7][25] - Aiming to grow insurance sales by establishing a new team of commission-only agents and diversifying product offerings [23][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the challenges posed by global market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties, advising clients to maintain disciplined asset allocation [7][25] - Despite a tough global economy, the company reported solid quarterly performance and is optimistic about future growth opportunities [8][30] - The management emphasized the importance of adapting to changing client needs and market conditions, particularly in wealth management [25][56] Other Important Information - The company announced a share buyback program of USD50 million and plans to distribute annual and special dividends totaling RMB550 million, representing 100% of its non-GAAP net income for 2024 [27][28] - Cash reserves increased to RMB4.1 billion, with a current ratio of 4.8 times and no interest-bearing debt [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of tax bureau notices on high net worth clients - Management acknowledged that clients are receiving notices but believes it will not significantly affect their investment sentiment, as it may lead to increased demand for tax planning services [40][43] Question: Efficiency improvements and expense reductions - Management clarified that expense reductions were due to improved efficiency and fewer marketing activities, with plans to increase marketing efforts in the upcoming quarters [44][45] Question: Client behavior amid market volatility and overseas business drivers - Management noted that while some clients are concerned about tariffs, overall sentiment remains stable, with a focus on liquidity and AI-related investment products [49][54] - For overseas business, management expects continued interest in investment products and improvements in insurance sales [51][56]