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Economic Activity - Overall economic activity remained largely stable, with some districts reporting slight softening [1] - Consumer spending continued to decline despite resilient high-end retail [1] Employment & Wages - Employment edged down [1] - Some contacts noted reduced hiring needs in certain roles due to AI [1] - Wages rose modestly [1] Prices & Costs - Prices increased slightly [1] - Manufacturers and retailers broadly faced tariff-related cost pressures [1]

Joining me now to discuss all of this is Dana Peterson, the chief economist over at the conference board alongside our own CNBC senior economics reporter, Steve Leeman. Steve, let's start with you first. We had a lot of data today and it does paint that very mixed picture.So, what exactly was the takeaway and what does this mean for rates next week or two weeks. >> Well, a bit of older data, but as I've said, old data is better than no data. Um I I think what it does is it it it sets or reduces the uh expec ...

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging decision at its upcoming policy meeting regarding whether to cut borrowing costs to support the job market or maintain rates to combat inflation, with the possibility of delaying the meeting altogether due to delayed economic data [1][3][6] Economic Implications - A delay in the December policy meeting could allow the Fed to make a more informed decision based on crucial employment data scheduled for release after the current meeting date [2][6] - The Fed's policy committee is reportedly divided on whether to prioritize inflation control or support the job market, with financial markets indicating an 83% probability of a rate cut in December [8] Data Availability and Decision-Making - The government shutdown has created a data blackout, complicating the Fed's ability to calibrate monetary policy effectively, leading to speculation about postponing the meeting to gather more information [3][4][8] - Without key economic data for October and November, the upcoming meeting may rely more on sentiment rather than concrete evidence, raising concerns about the decision-making process [9]

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My next guest says markets shouldn't overreact to those doubbish comments though. Joining me now is Alon's chief economic adviser, Muhammad Elaran. And Muhammad, it's great to have you on here.I mean, I guess he tried to tilt the consensus of a conflicted committee in a uh dovish direction. We have incomplete economic data and clearly different ways of looking at things. So, uh how does it net out to you.>> It nets out as uncertain. it nets out as whatever the outcome is, it's going to be controversial. It' ...

Monetary policy is very focused on balancing the downside risks to our maximum employment goal and the upside risk to price stability. My assessment is that downside risks to employment have increased as the labour market has cooled, while the upside risks to inflation are less than somewhat. Underlying inflation continues to trend downward.Absent any evidence of second round effects emanating from tariffs. But for these reasons, I fully supported the FOMC decisions to reduce the target range for the federa ...

Group 1 - The articles do not provide any relevant information regarding companies or industries [1][2][3][4]

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