Investment Strategy - The focus is on constructing investment portfolios that generate additional income through dividends by identifying companies with significant competitive advantages and strong financials [1] - The strategy combines high Dividend Yield and Dividend Growth companies to reduce dependence on broader stock market fluctuations [1] - A well-diversified portfolio across various sectors and industries is emphasized to minimize volatility and mitigate risk [1] Risk Management - Incorporating companies with a low Beta Factor is suggested to further reduce the overall risk level of the investment portfolio [1] - The selection process for high dividend yield and dividend growth companies is meticulously curated, prioritizing total return, which includes both capital gains and dividends [1] Portfolio Composition - Suggested investment portfolios typically consist of a blend of ETFs and individual companies, emphasizing broad diversification and risk reduction [1] - The approach aims to maximize returns while considering the full spectrum of potential income sources [1]

Investment Rating - The report provides a forecast for various asset classes, indicating a bearish outlook for equities and a mixed outlook for fixed income and commodities [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant expected returns and volatility across different asset classes for Q2 2026, with equities showing a range of potential returns from -20.7% to 24.4% depending on market conditions [2]. - The report notes that the S&P 500 is forecasted to have a base case return of 4.7% with a volatility of 19% [2]. - Commodities, particularly Brent and Copper, are expected to have substantial volatility, with Brent showing a potential return range from -23.6% to 83.4% [2]. Summary by Sections Equities - S&P 500: Bear case -20.7%, Base case 4.7%, Bull case 15.9% [2] - MSCI Europe: Bear case -22.3%, Base case 7.3%, Bull case 24.4% [2] - Topix: Bear case -23.3%, Base case 5.0%, Bull case 17.3% [2] - MSCI EM: Bear case -26.7%, Base case 0.1%, Bull case 13.1% [2] Fixed Income - UST 10yr: Bear case 7.6%, Base case 12.1%, Bull case 17.2% [2] - US IG: Bear case -2.9%, Base case -0.1%, Bull case 1.2% [2] - US HY: Bear case -4.3%, Base case 0.1%, Bull case 2.1% [2] Commodities - Brent: Bear case -23.6%, Base case -8.3%, Bull case 83.4% [2] - Copper: Bear case -21.6%, Base case -4.3%, Bull case 14.8% [2] - Gold: Bear case -20.6%, Base case -6.5%, Bull case 12.3% [2] Currency - JPY/USD: Bear case 14.9%, Base case 7.6%, Bull case -2.5% [2] - EUR/USD: Bear case -5.4%, Base case 3.9%, Bull case 8.2% [2] - GBP/USD: Bear case -1.3%, Base case 6.0%, Bull case 10.4% [2]

Core Insights - Runway Growth Finance Corp. completed three investments totaling $37.8 million in funded loans during the second quarter of 2025, focusing on portfolio optimization and diversification [1][2][3] Investment Activities - The company funded two new portfolio companies and one existing portfolio company, including a $10 million investment in Federal Hearings and Appeals Services (FHAS) [3][7] - Additional investments included $40 million in Autobooks, $20 million in Swing Education, and $2.8 million in Marley Spoon SE [7] Liquidity Events - Runway Growth received a full principal repayment of $21.1 million from Nalu Medical Inc. and a repayment of $25 million from SetPoint Medical Corporation during the second quarter [4][8] Portfolio Management - As of June 30, 2025, the portfolio consisted of 48 debt investments across 31 companies and 89 equity investments in 49 companies, with a focus on technology, healthcare, and select consumer sectors [6][5] - The company emphasizes a credit-first approach, maintaining rigorous underwriting standards and frequent communication with portfolio companies [5][6] Company Overview - Runway Growth is a specialty finance company providing flexible capital solutions to late- and growth-stage companies, regulated as a business development company under the Investment Company Act of 1940 [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has slightly underperformed compared to the S&P 500 in 2025 but remains a strong investment option due to its attractive dividend yield and potential for dividend growth [1] Investment Strategy - The focus is on constructing investment portfolios that generate additional income through dividends by identifying companies with competitive advantages and strong financials [1] - A combination of high Dividend Yield and Dividend Growth companies is emphasized to reduce dependence on broader stock market fluctuations [1] - The strategy includes diversification across various sectors and industries to minimize portfolio volatility and mitigate risk [1] - Incorporating companies with a low Beta Factor is suggested to further reduce overall investment risk [1] Portfolio Composition - Suggested investment portfolios typically consist of a blend of ETFs and individual companies, emphasizing broad diversification and risk reduction [1] - The selection process for high dividend yield and dividend growth companies is meticulously curated, focusing on total return, which includes both capital gains and dividends [1] - This approach aims to maximize returns while considering a full spectrum of potential income sources [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of strategizing to counter external risks and price volatility in the oil and gas market when considering potential portfolio additions [1] - The author has nearly two decades of experience in the logistics sector and focuses on stock investing and macroeconomic analysis, particularly in ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ stocks [1] - The author emphasizes the diversification of investments across various industries and market cap sizes, including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] Group 2 - The author began trading in the Philippine stock market in 2014, initially investing in blue-chip companies and later expanding to different sectors [1] - The entry into the US market occurred in 2020, with the author gaining insights through a relative's trading account before opening their own [1] - The author has been utilizing analyses from Seeking Alpha to compare with their own research in the Philippine market since discovering the platform in 2018 [1]

Group 1 - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential [1] - Investment diversification strategies have shifted towards stock markets, with a notable increase in interest in insurance companies in the Philippines since 2014 [1] - The trend of investing in blue-chip companies has evolved, leading to a broader portfolio across various industries and market capitalizations [1] Group 2 - The US market has become a focus for investors, with a notable entry in 2020, indicating a growing interest in international investment opportunities [1] - The use of analytical platforms like Seeking Alpha has facilitated knowledge sharing and comparative analysis between different markets, enhancing investment strategies [1] - Holdings in sectors such as banking, hotels, shipping, and logistics are prevalent, reflecting a diversified investment approach [1]

Group 1 - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, with a focus on banks, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines has influenced investment strategies, leading to diversification beyond traditional savings in banks and properties [1] - The trend of investing in blue-chip companies has evolved, with a broader portfolio now including various industries and market capitalizations [1] Group 2 - The entry into the US market has been a strategic move, with insights gained from using a relative's trading account before establishing an independent account [1] - The analysis of US market stocks, particularly in banking, hotels, shipping, and logistics, has been compared to the Philippine market, indicating a cross-market investment strategy [1] - The engagement with platforms like Seeking Alpha has facilitated knowledge sharing and enhanced market analysis capabilities for investors [1]

Core Insights - The iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV) and Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) have slightly underperformed compared to the S&P 500 over the past five years [1] - The focus is on constructing investment portfolios that generate additional income through dividends by identifying companies with competitive advantages and strong financials [1] - A well-diversified portfolio across various sectors and industries is emphasized to minimize volatility and mitigate risk [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy combines high Dividend Yield and Dividend Growth companies to reduce dependence on broader stock market fluctuations [1] - Companies with a low Beta Factor are suggested to further reduce overall investment risk [1] - The selection process for high dividend yield and growth companies is meticulously curated, prioritizing total return, which includes both capital gains and dividends [1] Portfolio Composition - Suggested investment portfolios consist of a blend of ETFs and individual companies, emphasizing broad diversification and risk reduction [1] - The approach aims to maximize returns while considering the full spectrum of potential income sources [1] - The goal is to generate extra income through dividends while reducing risk through diversification [1]

Core Insights - AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) and Annaly Capital Management (NLY) are leading players in the mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) sector, both providing attractive long-term returns and substantial dividend yields, but differing in portfolio strategies and risk profiles [1] Capital Distribution & Dividend Yield - AGNC has a dividend yield of 15.34% with a payout ratio of 81%, but has not increased its dividend in the last five years [2] - NLY announced a cash dividend of 70 cents per share for Q1 2025, a 7.7% increase from the previous payout, with a current dividend yield of 14.37% and a payout ratio of 101% [3] - AGNC has a share repurchase plan authorizing up to $1 billion of common stock until December 31, 2026 [6] - NLY has a share repurchase program allowing for the repurchase of up to $1.5 billion of common stock until December 31, 2029, but has not executed any repurchases since its announcement [7] Business Model & Portfolio Diversification - AGNC focuses exclusively on agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which exposes it to volatility, while NLY employs a diversified capital allocation strategy that includes residential credit and mortgage servicing rights, reducing rate sensitivity [8][11] - NLY's diversified strategy is expected to contribute to long-term growth and stability, allowing it to capitalize on various market cycles [12] Interest Rate Sensitivity - AGNC is significantly affected by interest rate changes due to its concentrated agency MBS exposure, leading to increased borrowing costs and profit margin pressures [13][14] - AGNC's interest expenses surged from $75 million in 2021 to $2.9 billion in 2024, reflecting its vulnerability to rate hikes [15] - NLY's diversified portfolio allows it to better withstand interest rate volatility, resulting in lower increases in borrowing costs compared to AGNC [16] Benefits From Mortgage Rates - Both AGNC and NLY are expected to benefit from declining mortgage rates, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropping from 6.95% to 5.80% year-over-year [19] - NLY is likely to see stronger book value appreciation due to tightening spreads in the Agency MBS market, while AGNC may benefit from increased refinancing activity [20][21] Earnings Estimates - AGNC's earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 indicate year-over-year declines of 11.2% and 3.9%, respectively [22] - NLY's earnings estimates for the same period suggest year-over-year growth of 6.3% and 1.4% [25] Price Performance & Valuations - Over the past year, AGNC gained 12.6% and NLY rose 17.7%, outperforming the industry average of 8.6% [29] - AGNC trades at a forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) multiple of 1.10X, while NLY trades at 0.99X, both above the industry average of 0.98X [31][34] Conclusion - NLY's recent dividend hike and diversified strategy position it as a more attractive option for long-term stability and growth compared to AGNC, which has faced challenges due to its concentrated agency MBS exposure [36][38]

Group 1 - iREIT+HOYA Capital focuses on income-producing asset classes that provide sustainable portfolio income, diversification, and inflation hedging [1] - Asset-light companies serve as effective portfolio diversifiers, particularly in the context of ongoing tariff threats affecting international manufacturers [2] Group 2 - The SPDR Financial Sector ETF has shown outperformance, indicating potential investment opportunities in the financial sector [2]