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Alphabet: Valuation Lags Behind Fundamentals
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-16 04:33
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) stock is considered a strong buy due to its fundamental strength and market dominance [1]. Group 1: Company Strengths - Alphabet exhibits undisputed dominance in its sector, which contributes to its strong investment appeal [1]. - The company has a solid foundation in finance and strategy, bolstered by extensive experience in auditing and financial operations [1]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The investment approach emphasizes thorough research and a long-term perspective, which is essential for navigating market cycles [1]. - There is a growing focus on value stocks while maintaining exposure to growth opportunities within the investment portfolio [1].
Is Most-Watched Stock Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 14:00
Core Viewpoint - Deckers (DECK) has experienced a stock return of -8.8% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -3.9% change and the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry's -8.9% loss, raising questions about its near-term performance [1] Earnings Estimates Revisions - For the current quarter, Deckers is expected to post earnings of $0.55 per share, reflecting a decrease of -33.7% from the same quarter last year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate changing by -2.4% over the last 30 days [4] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $5.88, indicating a year-over-year increase of +21%, with a recent change of -1.2% [4] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is $6.52, suggesting an increase of +11% from the previous year, with a change of -1.2% over the past month [5] Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $983.39 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of +2.5% [9] - For the current fiscal year, the revenue estimate is $4.95 billion, reflecting a growth of +15.4%, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $5.42 billion indicates a change of +9.6% [9] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - Deckers reported revenues of $1.83 billion in the last quarter, representing a year-over-year increase of +17.1%, with an EPS of $3 compared to $2.52 a year ago [10] - The reported revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.71 billion by +6.7%, and the EPS surprise was +15.38% [10] - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS and revenue estimates in the trailing four quarters [11] Valuation - Deckers is graded C in the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at par with its peers [15] - Valuation multiples such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) are essential for determining whether the stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued [13][14] Bottom Line - The Zacks Rank 3 suggests that Deckers may perform in line with the broader market in the near term, despite the market buzz surrounding the company [16]
Is Trending Stock Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) a Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-14 14:05
Microsoft (MSFT) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.Shares of this software maker have returned 0% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -3.6% change. The Zacks Computer - Software industry, to which Microsoft belongs, has lost 0.5% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?Although m ...
Is Most-Watched Stock Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-11 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper (SCCO) has been experiencing significant stock performance fluctuations, with recent returns of -11.4% over the past month, underperforming both the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry [2] Earnings Estimate Revisions - Southern Copper is expected to report earnings of $1.13 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +20.2%. The consensus estimate for the current fiscal year is $4.60, indicating a +6.2% change year-over-year, with a slight adjustment of -2.9% over the last 30 days [5] - For the next fiscal year, the earnings estimate is $4.70, which represents a +2.2% change from the previous year, with a recent increase of +3% [6] - The Zacks Rank for Southern Copper is 3 (Hold), indicating a neutral outlook based on recent earnings estimate changes and other related factors [7] Projected Revenue Growth - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $2.79 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of +7.5%. For the current fiscal year, the revenue estimate is $11.85 billion (+3.6%), while the next fiscal year's estimate is $11.48 billion (-3.1%) [10] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Southern Copper achieved revenues of $2.78 billion, a +21.3% increase year-over-year, with an EPS of $1.01 compared to $0.57 a year ago. The revenue surprise was +0.16%, while the EPS surprise was -0.98% [11] - Over the last four quarters, Southern Copper has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and has also exceeded consensus revenue estimates three times [12] Valuation - Southern Copper's valuation metrics, including price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), are essential for assessing whether the stock is fairly valued. The Zacks Value Style Score for Southern Copper is graded C, indicating it is trading at par with its peers [13][14][16] Conclusion - The analysis suggests that Southern Copper may perform in line with the broader market in the near term, as indicated by its Zacks Rank 3 [17]
Is Most-Watched Stock The Boeing Company (BA) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-10 14:06
Boeing (BA) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Over the past month, shares of this airplane builder have returned +1.3%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -5.3% change. During this period, the Zacks Aerospace - Defense industry, which Boeing falls in, has lost 1.1%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?Although media reports or rumors ...
Nike Stock Trades at a Once-in-a-Decade Valuation. Is It a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 08:15
Core Viewpoint - Nike is experiencing a decline in revenue and profits, leading to a significant drop in stock valuation, which is now at a historically low level, but the brand's strength and new leadership may provide a path for recovery [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Nike is down 9% year-over-year through the fiscal third quarter of 2025, while demand creation expenses have increased by 8% [1] - Net income has fallen by 28% to $3 billion in fiscal 2025 compared to the same period in fiscal 2024 [2] - Nike's stock is currently valued at just below 2 times sales, the lowest since 2013 [2] Brand Strength - Nike boasts nearly $50 billion in annual revenue and operates in almost 200 countries with over 40,000 distribution points, indicating strong brand recognition [5] - The brand's competitive advantage is significant, suggesting that if Nike can leverage this, it may rebound from its current challenges [6] Leadership Changes - New CEO Elliott Hill, who has extensive experience with Nike, is expected to bring renewed energy and focus to the company [7] - Hill's previous work on marketing the Jordan brand may enhance Nike's product pipeline and partnerships [8] Profit Margin and Growth Potential - Current operating margin is around 10%, below the historical average of 12%, indicating potential for improvement [10] - A recovery in profit margins could lead to favorable stock performance, but sustainable top-line growth is necessary for long-term success [11][12] Market Position and Challenges - Nike remains the market-share leader in athletic apparel, but the market is mature with limited growth potential [13] - Less than half of Nike's revenue comes from North America, complicating projections for international growth amid rising global trade complexities [14]
Walmart Stock Has Pulled Back. Is It Time to Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-28 07:51
Core Viewpoint - Walmart's stock has experienced a significant decline from its all-time high, raising questions about its valuation and future growth potential [1][2][9]. Financial Performance - Walmart reported total revenue of $648.1 billion for fiscal 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.6% [3]. - In Q4, U.S. comparable sales rose by 4.6%, with e-commerce sales growing by 20% [4]. - Global advertising sales increased by 29% year over year in Q4, surpassing the full-year growth rate [4]. - Adjusted earnings per share for the most recent quarter were $0.66, up from $0.60 in the previous year [5]. Profitability and Growth Outlook - Operating income increased by 8.3%, or 9.4% when adjusted for currency fluctuations [5]. - For fiscal 2026, management anticipates net sales growth of 3% to 4% and adjusted operating income growth of 3.5% to 5.5%, indicating a slowdown from previous growth rates [6]. Market and Economic Conditions - Broader macroeconomic factors such as higher interest rates, inflation, and consumer spending concerns may impact Walmart's growth [7]. - The company is positioned to benefit from its value-based retail model during economic downturns, but potential new tariffs could affect costs and margins [7][8]. Valuation Concerns - Despite a recent stock price decline, Walmart's shares still trade at a price-to-earnings multiple of 35, which is significantly higher than the S&P 500's multiple of about 22 [9]. - Current valuation, combined with cautious financial guidance and macroeconomic challenges, suggests that this may not be an optimal entry point for investors [10].
Does the S&P 500 Rally Make MDT Stock a Buy Amid Easing Trade Tension?
ZACKS· 2025-03-25 17:35
Core Viewpoint - The broader market rally, driven by tech giants like NVIDIA and Tesla, has created a favorable environment for stocks like Medtronic (MDT) to potentially gain momentum [1] Company Performance - Medtronic's stock has been sluggish, declining by 0.8% over the past couple of months, reflecting broader industry challenges such as aggressive tariff policies, trade tensions, and inflationary pressures [2] - Other major MedTech players, including Boston Scientific (BSX) and Abbott (ABT), also showed muted performance, with Boston Scientific increasing by 0.3% and Abbott decreasing by 0.6% during the same period [2] - The broader industry and the S&P 500 index experienced declines of 2.6% and 5%, respectively, during this timeframe [2] Technical Analysis - MDT stock is currently trading below its 14-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend that may deter momentum-driven investors and lead to short-term volatility [5] Market Conditions - The trade war and inflationary concerns have negatively impacted the MedTech sector, particularly for companies with significant global operations like Medtronic [9] - However, recent gains in NVIDIA (over 3%) and Tesla (nearly 12%) have shifted investor sentiment, easing worries about economic disruptions and inflationary pressures affecting Medtronic [9] Long-Term Prospects - Medtronic is strategically expanding its global presence to meet the demand for advanced medical devices, particularly gaining market share in the Cardiovascular segment through product launches [10] - The Hypertension business is poised for major expansion, with Medicare coverage expected for the Symplicity blood pressure procedure within the next eight months [11] - Despite distributor disruptions, Medtronic is scaling production of Hugo RAS, and its Neuroscience portfolios continue to contribute positively [12] - The company anticipates revenue and EPS growth to accelerate in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by a diversified innovation pipeline and operational leverage [13] Valuation - MDT stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 15.56X, which is lower than the industry average of 21.78X, and is attractively valued compared to peers like BSX (34.97X) and ABT (24.09X) [14] Investment Outlook - Medtronic remains a promising player in the MedTech space, supported by an aggressive expansion strategy and strong fundamentals, offering an attractive entry point for investors [16] - However, macroeconomic issues such as trade tensions and inflation may limit near-term gains [17]
Citigroup Stock Has Lost 16% in the Market Sell-Off. Is It a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-23 09:30
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's stock has experienced a significant decline, falling approximately 20% from its highs, which is notably worse than the S&P 500 index's decline of over 10% [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - Citigroup's shares have rebounded somewhat but remain down about 16%, compared to the S&P 500's decline of roughly 7.5% [2] - Between mid-September 2024 and its recent sell-off, Citigroup's stock gained over 40%, and it is still up more than 20% since that time despite the recent downturn [3] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - Citigroup's current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is approximately 1.7, compared to a five-year average of just under 1.5 [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 12, against a longer-term average of about 8.2 [5] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 0.7, in contrast to a five-year average of around 0.6 [5] Group 3: Historical Context - Citigroup's recent decline is relatively minor compared to other sell-offs over the past decade, suggesting that the current drop may not be as significant [6] - There is a possibility that Citigroup's stock could decline further based on its current valuation metrics [6] Group 4: Investment Considerations - Despite the recent price drop, Citigroup does not appear to be a compelling buy for value-oriented investors, as it has not fallen to a level that would warrant immediate purchase [7]
Here is What to Know Beyond Why ADMA Biologics Inc (ADMA) is a Trending Stock
ZACKS· 2025-03-21 21:45
Core Viewpoint - Adma Biologics has shown strong stock performance recently, significantly outperforming the broader market and its industry, raising questions about its future trajectory [2][16]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - For the current quarter, Adma Biologics is expected to report earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a 100% increase year-over-year, with a 6.7% upward revision in estimates over the last 30 days [5]. - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $0.71, indicating a 44.9% year-over-year increase, with a 3.7% upward revision in the last month [5]. - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is $0.93, representing a 31% increase from the previous year, with a 6.9% upward revision [6]. - The Zacks Rank for Adma Biologics is 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on recent earnings estimate revisions [7]. Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $119.1 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 45.5% [9]. - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $495.8 million, indicating a 16.3% increase, while the next fiscal year's estimate is $611.5 million, reflecting a 23.3% increase [9]. Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Adma Biologics achieved revenues of $117.55 million, a 59.1% year-over-year increase, and an EPS of $0.14 compared to $0.04 a year ago [11]. - The company exceeded consensus revenue estimates in all four of the last quarters and surpassed EPS estimates three times [11]. Valuation - Adma Biologics has a Zacks Value Style Score of D, indicating it is trading at a premium compared to its peers [15].