StoneX® Earnings Call: 2nd Quarter 2025 StoneX Group Inc. May 8tʰ, 2025 Disclaimer the Stonels Group ho. group of comparise provides financial services worldwide, including physical commodites, securities, securities, excluditios, risk moncgement, gdod, p freeion everynance products, through his subsitionies; in occardinas with applicable any in the irristiations where se wices are provided. References to over the counter "O Stonel Mundels LLC (SM), o meember of the Notional Futures Association (NFA (ond pr ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net revenue for Q1 2025 increased by 5.7% to $510 million, driven by adjusted comparable store sales growth of 5.5% [30][33] - Adjusted operating income rose by 21.8% to $41.3 million, with adjusted diluted earnings per share increasing to $0.34 from $0.29 a year ago [15][34] - Adjusted operating margin increased by 110 basis points to 8.1% [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - America's Best comparable store sales grew by 5.9%, building on a 1.2% increase in the previous year [14] - Eyeglass World achieved a comparable store sales increase of 3.1%, marking its best quarter since 2021 [14] - All three target customer segments delivered double-digit comparable sales growth [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a positive shift in customer demographics, with higher income groups showing increased spending, offsetting declines from lower income consumers [12][60] - The company opened nine new America's Best stores while closing three, resulting in a net increase in store count [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on segmentation, personalization, and digitization in its messaging, product offerings, and customer experience [11][20] - A new strategy has been implemented to target three key customer cohorts, which represent about half of the customer base but a disproportionately large percentage of sales [12] - The company is enhancing its pricing structure and product assortment to better align with customer profiles [21][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing transformation strategy and the positive response to recent initiatives [16][20] - The company raised its guidance for the year based on strong Q1 results, anticipating continued momentum despite potential consumer demand uncertainties [16][38] - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by tariffs but believes they can mitigate the impact through pricing actions and cost reduction efforts [37][39] Other Important Information - The company is transitioning leadership, with Alex Wilkes set to succeed Reade Fahs as CEO [8][17] - The company has implemented remote exam capabilities in approximately two-thirds of its store base [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the expected run rate for ticket growth in the coming quarters? - Management indicated that ticket expansion has been positive, with no degradation in conversion rates, suggesting there is still room for growth [49][51] Question: How is revenue growth decomposed between managed care and customer pay? - Management noted that both segments are contributing to growth, with managed care customers responding positively to new premium products [52] Question: Can you provide insights on the cadence of Q1 performance and income demographics? - Management reported a strong January, a peculiar two-week period in February, and a strong recovery in March, with higher income customers trading into the brand [59][60] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on product costs? - Management confirmed that the estimated impact of tariffs for the year is between $10 million to $15 million, which they believe can be mitigated through pricing actions [74] Question: How is the recruitment and retention of optometrists being managed? - Management reported healthy retention and recruitment rates, particularly among students, with no significant cost increases anticipated [85]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Manufacturing - Electronics industry is poised for growth due to steady demand in electronic services, increased adoption of advanced manufacturing technologies, and product innovation efforts [1] - A surge in e-commerce activities is expected to further support the industry's growth [1] Current Challenges - A slowdown in manufacturing activities and a contraction in new orders may negatively impact industry performance [2] - The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index fell to 48.7% in April, indicating contraction, while the New Orders Index registered 47.2% for the third consecutive month [4] Market Trends - Despite manufacturing slowdowns, demand remains stable in key end markets, particularly in medical and life sciences, driven by the integration of advanced electronic components [5] - The industry is benefiting from technological advancements and digitization, enhancing operational productivity and product quality [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Manufacturing - Electronics industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 66, placing it in the top 27% of 246 Zacks industries, indicating bullish near-term prospects [7][8] - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed compared to the broader sector and the S&P 500, losing 17.7% against the sector's decline of 7% and the S&P 500's growth of 9.7% [10] - However, the industry rebounded in the past month with a 15.1% increase, outperforming both the sector's and S&P 500's growth [10] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.19X, slightly above the S&P 500's 20.97X and the sector's 17.94X [13] Notable Companies - **Eaton Corporation plc (ETN)**: Benefits from improving end market conditions and strong demand in AI data centers, with shares rebounding 18.3% in the past month [19][20] - **Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)**: Witnessing solid momentum in its Intelligent Devices and Software segments, with shares gaining 0.9% in the past year [23][25] - **EnerSys (ENS)**: Positioned to benefit from product innovation and trends like 5G expansion, with shares rebounding 11.9% in the past month [28][29] - **Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL)**: Experiencing favorable trends in oil, gas, and petrochemical markets, with shares gaining 21.1% in the past year [32][34]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the first quarter totaled $625 million, up 17% year over year, exceeding the high end of guidance [7][14] - Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.60, up 29% compared to the prior year [7][14] - Gross margins were 39.8%, an increase of 40 basis points year over year, marking the highest since the strategic transformation began in 2020 [7][15] - Adjusted EBITDA margins improved to 16.6%, up 80 basis points year over year [7][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automation Solutions revenue increased by 16% year over year, with orders up 22% [14][17] - Smart Infrastructure Solutions revenue grew by 17% year over year, with orders up 13% [14][18] - Organic growth for the overall business was 11%, with The Americas leading at 14% [8][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Orders were up 18% year over year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.05 [8][14] - The Americas and APAC regions showed strong growth, while EMEA was the slowest growing region but still achieved organic growth [17][18] - Broadband revenue increased year over year, driven by a 9% organic growth in fiber [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on solutions transformation, which is expected to drive future growth opportunities [7][10] - There is a strategic emphasis on reshoring and IT/OT convergence, with increased interest from customers in investing in these areas [38][39] - The company aims to maintain a disciplined capital allocation strategy, targeting acquisitions and share repurchases [9][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about long-term growth driven by trends such as reindustrialization, digitization, and automation [27][31] - There is an expectation of continued uncertainty in the near term due to trade policy, but a positive long-term outlook remains [28][29] - Signs of recovery in global manufacturing PMIs were noted, indicating potential for broader industrial recovery [30] Other Important Information - The company generated strong free cash flow of $220 million, representing 9% of total revenue [9][20] - The balance sheet remains strong, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.0 times [20] - The next debt maturity is not until 2027, with all debt fixed at an average rate of 3.5% [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comments on reshoring interest among manufacturers - Management noted increased confidence among large customers regarding reshoring manufacturing to the US, with discussions around long-term plans [36][38] Question: Insights on book-to-bill in smart infrastructure - Smart Buildings orders were up about 8%, while Broadband orders were up 18%, indicating stronger performance in broadband [40][41] Question: Quantifying discussions on reshoring - Management indicated that discussions around reshoring have increased significantly, with a sales funnel growth in the high teens [47][50] Question: Demand pull forward observations - No significant demand pull forward was observed, but there is increased interest and discussions from customers about future deployments [51][52] Question: Exposure to tariffs and sourcing changes - The largest exposure is to Mexico, with most products having exemptions under USMCA, and efforts are ongoing to adjust sourcing from China [56][57] Question: Long-term EPS growth target - The company reiterated its target of 10% to 12% EPS CAGR but did not provide updates on the specific $8 EPS goal for 2025 [58][59] Question: Margin performance between segments - Strong performance in Industrial Solutions was noted, while Smart Infrastructure experienced a sequential drop due to seasonal impacts [61][63] Question: Learnings from combined sales force - The transition to autonomous systems is seen as a multi-step journey, with customers increasingly seeking digitization and integration of IT and OT [66][68] Question: Free cash flow management - The focus remains on improving supply chain efficiency and managing working capital to enhance free cash flow margins [71][73]

Industry Overview - The Retail – Discount Stores industry is facing challenges from shifting consumer behaviors, intense competition, and evolving tariff policies, which are expected to impact the sector's trajectory [1] - Inflation is affecting household budgets, leading to more cautious spending even in traditionally resilient discount categories [1] - Rising labor and sourcing costs are significant hurdles for retailers operating on thin margins [1] - To regain momentum, discount retailers need to rebuild consumer confidence and spending capacity through strategic pricing, inventory optimization, and operational efficiencies [1] Key Industry Trends - **Muted Consumer Demand Raises Revenue Concerns**: Inflation and geopolitical issues are straining consumer purchasing power, with the consumer sentiment index dropping to 50.8 from 57.0, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline [4] - **Cost Overhang Likely to Keep Margins Under Pressure**: The competitive landscape, particularly from e-commerce, is pressuring margins due to high costs associated with digital enhancements and marketing [5] - **Consumers Seek Better Bargains**: There is a growing demand for discounted prices among low- to middle-income groups, prompting retailers to innovate and enhance their digital capabilities [6] - **Digitization Key to Sector's Resilient Growth**: Retailers are investing in digital platforms and improving supply chains to adapt to changing consumer shopping patterns, including curbside pickup and contactless payment solutions [7] Industry Performance - The Zacks Retail - Discount Stores industry currently ranks 167, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating bleak near-term prospects [8][9] - The industry's earnings estimate has declined by 5.6% since the beginning of 2025, reflecting a negative earnings outlook [10] Market Comparison - Over the past year, the Zacks Retail – Discount Stores industry has outperformed the broader Retail – Wholesale sector and the S&P 500, with a collective stock advance of 15.8% compared to 11.5% and 5.5% respectively [11] Current Valuation - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.47, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 19.94 and the sector's 22.09 [14] Notable Companies - **Costco**: The company is benefiting from growth strategies, better price management, and strong membership trends, with a projected revenue growth of 7.8% and EPS growth of 11.6% [17][18] - **Target**: Target is evolving its business model with a focus on omnichannel capabilities and advanced technologies, expecting sales growth of 0.9% and EPS growth of 1.4% [21][22] - **Dollar General**: The company is leveraging its value-creating initiatives and defensive product mix, with a projected sales growth of 3.7% [25][26] - **Burlington Stores**: The company is adapting to consumer trends and enhancing its merchandising capabilities, with expected revenue growth of 7.8% and EPS growth of 12.6% [29][30]

Core Viewpoint - Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. has demonstrated strong performance with a 21% stock gain over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 11% [1] Financial Performance - Earnings for fiscal 2025 and 2026 are projected to grow by 10.4% and 9.1% year over year, respectively [2] - Revenues are expected to rise by 6.6% in fiscal 2025 and 4.8% in fiscal 2026 [2] - Total revenues increased by 7.4% in fiscal 2024, following growth rates of 6%, 14%, and 10% in fiscal 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively [3] Growth Drivers - Fundamental trends such as rising demand for data and analytics, mutualization, and digitization are anticipated to drive sales growth for Broadridge [3] - The company has a robust business model with significant recurring revenue streams, providing good visibility on organic revenues in the near to mid-term [3] Strategic Focus - Broadridge's growth strategy emphasizes governance, capital markets, and wealth management [4] - In governance, the company utilizes advanced digital communication technologies and enhances print and mail services through tech innovations [4] - In capital markets, Broadridge is expanding its global platform capabilities and adopting next-generation solutions [5] - The wealth management sector features a comprehensive platform known for superior systems and data integration capabilities [5] Recent Developments - The acquisition of AdvisorTarget in 2024 is expected to enhance Broadridge's digital distribution and marketing capabilities for asset management and wealth firms [6] - This acquisition will strengthen the company's market position and drive growth in the digital marketing space by integrating advanced marketing automation and analytics technology [6] Shareholder Value - Broadridge has consistently increased its dividend payments, with $368.2 million paid in fiscal 2024, $331.0 million in 2023, and $290.7 million in 2022 [7] - The company's strong cash flow supports its ability to maintain stable and growing dividends, providing reliable income to shareholders [7]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The U.S. insurance industry is expected to experience a surge in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in 2025, driven by the need for greater scale, efficiency, and market expansion [1] - Global insurance M&A activity declined in 2024 due to economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and higher regulatory scrutiny, but the U.S. market is anticipated to rebound [1] Group 2: Factors Driving M&A - Deregulation efforts and lower capital costs are likely to fuel both domestic and international acquisitions [2] - U.S. insurers, supported by a strong dollar, may target undervalued assets to enhance their portfolios amid increasing competition [2] Group 3: Recent Strategic Acquisitions - ProAssurance Corporation is set to be acquired by The Doctors Company for $1.3 billion, with shareholders receiving $25 per share, a 60% premium over its March 18 closing price [3] - The acquisition will result in ProAssurance becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of The Doctors Company, with combined assets of approximately $12 billion [4] - Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. acquired AssuredPartners for $13.45 billion, marking a significant transaction in the insurance brokerage sector [5] Group 4: Future Trends - The insurance sector is poised for further consolidation, particularly in niche markets such as medical liability, real estate, construction, and specialty coverage [7] - Rising claims costs are likely to drive companies toward mergers to enhance financial stability and expand service offerings [7] - The emphasis on digitization and advanced risk management solutions may lead insurers to acquire technology-focused firms and insurtech startups [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the full year 2024, total Budweiser APAC volumes decreased by 8.8% and revenue decreased by 7%, while revenue per hectoliter grew by 2% [18] - Normalized EBITDA decreased by 6.3%, but the normalized EBITDA margin increased by 21 basis points [18] - Cost of sales increased by 0.7% on a per hectoliter basis, driven by cost management initiatives and commodity tailwinds [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, volumes decreased by 11.8% in 2024, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter decreasing by 13% and 14% respectively [19] - In APAC East, volumes increased by 3.6% in the full year, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter increasing by 12% and 8.7% respectively [20] - In South Korea, total market share reached its highest level in over a decade, with significant growth in brands like Kas and Casa [14][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The business in China faced challenges due to weak consumer sentiment and a decline in on-premise channels [10] - In India, the net revenue of the premium and triple premium portfolio grew by almost 20% in both the fourth quarter and the full year [15] - The in-home channel's volume and revenue contribution increased, reflecting ongoing efforts to premiumize this channel [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on market share growth in China, with a clear strategy to prioritize Budweiser and adapt to current consumption trends [11][32] - The geographic expansion strategy for the Budweiser brand remains on track, with distribution expanding from 220 cities to 235 cities in 2024 [11] - The company aims to leverage technology to enhance commercial capabilities and drive value creation [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a soft consumer environment in China, impacting overall beer market performance [26] - There is confidence in capturing a disproportionate share of category and profit growth in China, despite current challenges [36] - The company plans to continue focusing on premiumization and expanding its distribution network in the in-home channel [99] Other Important Information - The company announced a dividend of $750 million for the full year 2024, representing a 7% increase versus the prior year [21] - The number of carbon-neutral breweries in China doubled to six, with significant reductions in carbon emissions and water usage [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Recent sales performance in China and inventory management - Management acknowledged a soft consumer environment impacting sales, with proactive inventory management contributing to volume decline [26][29] Question: Strategic focus in China post-management change - The top priority for 2025 is market share growth, with a focus on Budweiser and adapting to current consumption trends [32] Question: Balancing market share recovery with margin and premiumization - The company aims to prioritize market share growth while maintaining long-term margin goals through operational efficiencies and brand mix [45][46] Question: Premiumization strategy and consumer trends - The company has a strong activation plan for Budweiser and is focusing on health and wellness trends with innovations like Zero Sugar [51][52] Question: In-home penetration strategy and challenges - The in-home channel is crucial for growth, with strategies focused on distribution and leveraging partnerships to enhance market presence [99][100] Question: Long-term growth pillars and geographic expansion - Geographic expansion remains a key strategic pillar, with tailored strategies based on market maturity and consumer demand [104]