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Suzano Reports Increased Operational Efficiency With Lower Cash Cost in the Third Quarter of 2025
Businesswire· 2025-11-06 22:58
Core Insights - Suzano, the world's largest pulp producer, reported a 20% increase in combined pulp and paper sales, reaching 3.6 million tonnes in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, driven by the new Ribas do Rio Pardo mill and U.S. paper production integration [1] Financial Performance - The cash cost of pulp production decreased by 7% to R$801 per tonne compared to Q3 2024, reflecting a downward trend in production costs and improved competitiveness [2] - Net revenue for Q3 2025 was R$12.2 billion, remaining broadly flat year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA was R$5.2 billion and operating cash generation was R$3.4 billion, influenced by lower pulp prices and a weaker export exchange rate [3] - Net profit for the quarter totaled R$2 billion [3] Operational Highlights - Suzano Packaging achieved its first positive adjusted EBITDA from U.S. operations acquired in October 2024, indicating successful integration and value generation from the asset base [4] - The company's net leverage in U.S. dollars was 3.3 times at the end of the quarter, with a cash position of US$6.5 billion [4] Management Commentary - The CEO of Suzano emphasized the company's focus on improving competitiveness and cash generation, highlighting the efficiency of the Ribas do Rio Pardo mill and progress in establishing a joint venture with Kimberly-Clark [5]
RB (RBA) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16% on a 7% increase in gross transactional value (GTV) [3][14] - Adjusted earnings per share rose by 31%, driven by higher operating income and lower net interest expense [17] - Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of GTV expanded to 8.4%, up from 7.8% in the prior year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive GTV increased by 6%, driven by a 9% increase in unit volumes, partially offset by a decline in average price per vehicle sold [14] - Service revenue increased by 8% on higher GTV and a higher service revenue take rate [15] - GTV in the commercial, construction, and transportation sector increased by 9%, with a 14% increase when excluding the impact of the Yellow Corporation bankruptcy [9][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The US insurance average selling price (ASP) increased approximately 2.5% [14] - The total loss frequency across all categories rose by nearly 70 basis points to 22.6% [14] - The active buyer base expanded, indicating resilience in the platform [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a significant expansion of its partnership with the US General Services Administration (GSA), expecting to provide services for approximately 35,000 remarketed vehicles annually [4][5] - A new operating model was introduced to unlock sustainable growth and drive long-term value for shareholders [10][11] - The company is focused on strategic acquisitions and pruning to sharpen its focus and simplify operations [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strategy to deepen engagement with existing partners and expand into adjacent opportunities [6][7] - The macro environment remains favorable for salvage volumes, driven by inflation gaps between vehicle repair costs and used vehicle values [14] - Full-year 2025 GTV growth is expected to range between 0% and 1%, with adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $1.35 billion-$1.38 billion [18] Other Important Information - The company recognized approximately $10 million in restructuring charges during the quarter, primarily related to severance costs [16] - The new operating model is expected to generate over $25 million in total run rate savings by the second quarter of 2026 [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insights on the full-year guidance and segment performance? - Management clarified that the GTV guidance was tightened to 0%-1% and discussed the strong performance in Q3, which was in line with expectations [21][22] Question: Can you elaborate on the GSA agreement and its financial implications? - The GSA contract adds disposition services, which were not previously provided, and the ASPs will be accretive to the salvage space [24][26] Question: What are the motivations behind the recent acquisition in Western Australia? - The acquisition strengthens the geographic footprint and aligns with the broader growth strategy in the region [30][31] Question: How does the company view market share opportunities in the automotive sector? - Management emphasized focusing on performance and maintaining high service-level agreements, which they believe will enhance market share [32][33] Question: What factors led to narrowing the GTV range for Q4? - The range was narrowed to provide a more pointed guide as the company approaches the end of the year, considering the absence of significant CAT events [43][45] Question: What is the company's exposure to the used car market and subprime credit issues? - The company primarily deals with slightly damaged cars, minimizing exposure to higher-value vehicles and broader economic concerns [46][48] Question: Can you clarify the nature of the GSA contract vehicles? - The vehicles involved are primarily those with heavy usage, appealing to the buyer base, and will be a mix of different types of buyers [53][54]
NerdWallet(NRDS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $215 million, representing a 12% year-over-year increase, exceeding the guidance range of $189-$197 million [7] - Non-GAAP operating income for Q3 was $41 million, above the guidance range of $23 million-$27 million [8] - GAAP operating income for Q3 was $34 million, with trailing 12-month adjusted free cash flow increasing and a cash balance of $121 million at the end of Q3 [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Banking revenue increased by 96% year-over-year, while personal loans revenue rose by 91% year-over-year [7] - The insurance business saw a 3% year-over-year increase, slightly better than expected [7] - SMB products and credit cards experienced a decline year-over-year due to organic search headwinds [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is seeing momentum with referrals from large language models (LLMs), which convert at a higher rate than traditional organic traffic [5] - Traffic from LLMs is currently small but shows potential for growth, prompting continued investment in this channel [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its reach to below-prime consumers, enhancing its product offerings and operational efficiency [4][6] - There is a focus on converting traffic into a loyal audience through personalized engagement strategies [6] - The company plans to return to typical levels of brand marketing spend in Q4 after reevaluating its brand strategy [8][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in long-term prospects, emphasizing sustainable growth, strong free cash flow generation, and disciplined capital allocation [7] - For Q4, the company expects revenue in the range of $207 million-$250 million, with continued strength in banking and personal loans, but challenges in credit cards and SMB [9][10] - Non-GAAP operating income for Q4 is expected to be between $20 million and $24 million, reflecting improvements in shopping funnels and operational efficiency [10] Other Important Information - The company completed $19 million in share repurchases during the quarter, reflecting confidence in long-term prospects [9] - Management noted that the brand is a significant asset and is continuously looking for ways to enhance its impact [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on LLM traffic growth and investments - Management indicated that LLM traffic is converting at stronger rates and investments are similar to those made for organic search [12][14] Question: Drivers of banking category growth - The increase in banking demand is attributed to both consumer and partner demand, with improvements in product funnels to match user intent [16][18] Question: Reevaluation of brand spend - The company underspent on brand marketing by $8 million in Q3 due to a reevaluation of its brand strategy, with plans to return to typical spending levels in Q4 [19][20] Question: Content strategy for below-prime consumers - The company has historically had content for all consumers, and the focus is on filling out the marketplace to better serve unmet needs [21][22]
Barfresh(BRFH) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $4.2 million, representing a 16% year-over-year growth, marking the highest quarterly revenue in company history [6][11] - Gross margin improved to 37% in Q3 2025 compared to 31% in the first half of 2025, reflecting better operational efficiency and a favorable product mix [11][12] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was approximately $153,000, a significant improvement from a loss of approximately $124,000 in the prior year [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The successful start of the 2025-2026 school year contributed to revenue growth, with expanded distribution and improved production consistency from co-manufacturing partners [6][8] - The Pop-and-Go 100% Juice Freeze Pops gained traction in the lunch day part, addressing a larger market opportunity than breakfast [8] - The company is in the process of reintroducing products to customers who had temporarily removed them due to supply constraints, with many reintroductions expected in Q4 [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has achieved approximately 5% market penetration in the education channel, indicating substantial growth potential [8] - The 2025-2026 school year bidding process concluded positively, with strong uptake across the existing product portfolio [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The acquisition of Arp's Dairy is expected to enhance the business model by providing owned manufacturing capabilities, driving top-line growth [5][15] - The company aims to transition production to the new facility to capture long-term operational efficiencies and scale benefits [12][15] - The guidance for fiscal year 2025 is reiterated at $14.5 million-$15.5 million, with preliminary guidance for fiscal year 2026 set at $30 million-$35 million, reflecting confidence in growth initiatives [9][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal year 2026 as the benefits of the integrated manufacturing model are realized [13][16] - The operational improvements and successful integration with Arp's Dairy position the company for a breakthrough period of growth and profitability [15][16] Other Important Information - The Arp's Dairy acquisition was funded through the existing credit facility, and a $2.3 million government grant has been preliminarily approved to support the new facility [14] - Operating expenses were well-controlled, with selling, marketing, and distribution expenses at 22% of revenue, down from 27% in the previous year [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What has the company been doing to build trust with schools? - The company has maintained close contact with customers, communicating product availability and leveraging a broad broker network to rebuild relationships [19] Question: Is the Q4 to Q1 transition like a pilot trial? - The sales process does not require retrials; once products are available, schools can place orders immediately [22] Question: Can the company provide details on CapEx expectations for retrofitting facilities? - A $2.3 million government grant is expected to support the fit-out for the new facility, with existing operational facilities already in place [23][24]
RB (RBA) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16% on a 7% increase in gross transactional value (GTV) [3][16] - Adjusted earnings per share rose by 31%, driven by higher operating income and lower net interest expense [17] - Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of GTV improved to 8.4%, up from 7.8% in the prior year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive GTV increased by 6%, supported by a 9% increase in unit volumes, despite a decline in average price per vehicle sold [13][15] - Service revenue increased by 8% due to higher GTV and an increased service revenue take rate [15] - GTV in the commercial, construction, and transportation sector grew by 9%, with a higher average price per lot sold [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The US insurance average selling price (ASP) increased by approximately 2.5% [13] - The total loss frequency across all categories rose by nearly 70 basis points to 22.6% [14] - Excluding the impact of the Yellow Corporation bankruptcy, GTV growth in the commercial, construction, and transportation sector would have been approximately 14% [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a significant expansion of its partnership with the US General Services Administration (GSA), providing disposition services for approximately 35,000 remarketed vehicles annually [4][5] - A new operating model was introduced to enhance efficiency and drive long-term value for shareholders, expected to generate over $25 million in total run rate savings by Q2 2026 [12][60] - The company is focused on strategic acquisitions and geographic expansion, with a recent agreement to acquire Smith Broughton Auctioneers for approximately $38 million [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strategy to deepen engagement with existing partners while expanding into adjacent opportunities [6] - The macroeconomic environment remains complex, but the company is committed to investing in growth and enhancing operational efficiency [9] - Full-year 2025 GTV growth is expected to range between 0% and 1%, with adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $1.35 billion-$1.38 billion [18] Other Important Information - The company divested DDI Technologies to streamline operations and focus on core capabilities [11][12] - The new operating model aims to improve clarity and focus within the organization, reducing management layers from eight to four or five [59][60] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insights on the full-year guidance and segment performance? - Management clarified that the GTV guidance was tightened to 0%-1% and highlighted strong Q3 performance aligned with expectations [21][23] Question: What are the details of the GSA agreement regarding vehicle volume and economics? - The GSA contract adds disposition services, with ASPs expected to be accretive to salvage space ASPs [25][26] Question: What is the motivation behind the recent acquisition in Western Australia? - The acquisition enhances geographic coverage and aligns with the company's growth strategy in Australia [30] Question: How does the company view market share opportunities in the automotive sector? - Management emphasized focusing on performance and operational excellence to capture market share, without disclosing specific deals [33] Question: What factors influenced the decision to narrow the Q4 guidance range? - The tightening of the range was based on a clearer outlook as the year progresses, considering the absence of significant CAT events compared to the previous year [43][44] Question: What is the company's exposure to the used car market and subprime credit issues? - The company primarily deals with slightly damaged cars, minimizing exposure to higher-value vehicles and benefiting from a repossession business [46][48]
KLX Energy Services(KLXE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - KLX Energy Services reported Q3 2025 revenue of $167 million, a 5% increase from Q2 2025, but 12% lower than Q3 2024 [5][10] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $21 million, up 14% from Q2 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin improving to 13% [5][10] - Revenue and adjusted EBITDA per rig were $318,000 and $40,000 respectively, significantly above levels from Q4 2021 by 20% and 227% [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Northeast Mid-con segment saw a 29% revenue increase quarter-over-quarter, contributing $59.3 million to total revenue [5][10] - The Southwest segment represented 34% of Q3 revenue, down from 37% in Q2, with revenue decreasing 4% due to reduced activity [8][12] - The Rockies segment accounted for 30% of revenue, down from 34% in Q2, with revenue of $50.8 million, reflecting a 6% sequential decrease [8][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average US land rig count declined by 6% and the average frac spread count decreased by 12% during the quarter [5][10] - By end market, drilling, completion, and production intervention services contributed approximately 15%, 60%, and 25% of Q3 revenue respectively [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - KLX is focusing on operational discipline, margin optimization, and proactive capital stewardship to navigate market volatility [17][19] - The company anticipates a mid-single-digit revenue decline from Q3 to Q4, indicating a less pronounced reduction compared to previous years [17][31] - KLX expects to benefit from increased natural gas demand and new LNG export capacity, positioning itself for growth in 2026 [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the operating environment remains challenging due to OPEC Plus supply growth and depressed rig counts [6] - There are signs of stabilization in rig activity and incremental activity in natural gas basins, which could support future growth [17][19] - The company is optimistic about maintaining stable adjusted EBITDA margins despite anticipated revenue declines [18] Other Important Information - KLX ended Q3 with approximately $65 million in liquidity, including $8.3 million in cash and $56.9 million available on its revolving credit facility [13] - Total debt as of September 30 was $259.2 million, with compliance to debt covenants maintained [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of Northeast Mid-con - Management highlighted that the Northeast Mid-con segment's strong performance was driven by rentals and fishing, with less white space contributing to margin expansion [25][26] Question: Rockies Market Performance - Management noted that the Rockies segment was generally flat, with episodic completion programs impacting revenue due to fixed cost structures [28][29] Question: Year-End Slowdown and Future Outlook - Management indicated a mid-single-digit revenue decline for Q4, which is less severe than previous years, and expressed optimism for 2026 based on gas market stability [31][34] Question: Balance Sheet and Liquidity - Management discussed the balance sheet's strength, with $65 million in liquidity and a focus on managing PIK versus cash decisions to maintain flexibility [36][37]
Do Wall Street Analysts Like Halliburton Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-05 08:41
Core Insights - Halliburton Company (HAL) is one of the largest oilfield service providers globally, with a market cap of $22.9 billion, offering a range of services to the energy sector [1] Financial Performance - HAL's stock has underperformed the broader market, with a year-to-date decline of 1.4% and a 52-week drop of 4.7%, while the S&P 500 Index gained 15.1% in 2025 and 18.5% over the past year [2] - The company also lagged behind the iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF, which saw a 2.2% increase in 2025 and a 2.9% rise over the past year [3] - Following the release of better-than-expected Q3 results on October 21, HAL's stock surged 11.6%. The company's Q3 revenue decreased 1.7% year-over-year to $5.6 billion but exceeded expectations by 4%. Adjusted net income fell 22.6% year-over-year to $496 million, while adjusted EPS of $0.58 surpassed consensus estimates by 16% [4] Future Outlook - For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts project HAL to deliver an adjusted EPS of $2.16, reflecting a 27.8% year-over-year decline. However, the company has a strong earnings surprise history, exceeding bottom-line projections in the last four quarters. The consensus rating among 24 analysts is a "Moderate Buy," with 13 "Strong Buys," three "Moderate Buys," and eight "Holds" [5] - A month ago, the stock had a "Strong Sell" rating, indicating a more optimistic outlook now [6] - On November 3, Rothschild & Co analyst initiated coverage on HAL with a "Buy" rating and set a price target of $35. The mean price target of $29.59 suggests a 10.4% premium, while the highest target of $41.50 indicates a potential upside of 54.8% from current levels [7]
Higher Volumes, Lower Prices: Can Mission Produce Balance the Equation?
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 19:46
Core Insights - Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) is a leading player in the premium fresh produce market, particularly in avocados, while also expanding into other categories like mangos and blueberries [1][2] - The company is experiencing increased sales volume due to improved supply conditions, but this has led to price pressures that may impact profitability [2][4] Financial Performance - In Q3 fiscal 2025, total revenues increased by 10%, primarily due to a 10% rise in avocado volumes sold, although this was partially offset by a 5% decline in average selling prices [2][9] - The company anticipates a 15% increase in industry volumes in Q4 fiscal 2025, driven by strong Peruvian supply and a new Mexican crop, but expects prices to drop by 20-25% compared to the previous year [3][9] Market Dynamics - The blueberry harvest season in Peru is expected to ramp up, contributing to higher volumes from owned farms, which may counterbalance revenue growth due to lower average selling prices [4] - Mission Produce is focusing on operational efficiency, cost control, and diversification to mitigate the impact of declining prices on margins [4] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors include Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) and Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO), both of which are enhancing their market positions through innovation and operational agility [5][6][7] Valuation and Estimates - Mission Produce shares have declined by 20.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry’s growth of 1.5% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 28.09X, significantly higher than the industry average of 13.03X [10] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates indicate a year-over-year decline of 9.5% for fiscal 2025 and 28.4% for fiscal 2026, with stable estimates over the past 30 days [11]
Rollins(ROL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue growth of 12% year-over-year, with organic growth of 7.2% [5][15] - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 120 basis points to 25.2%, driven by leverage across the P&L [15][18] - GAAP earnings increased over 21% to $0.34 per share, while adjusted earnings were $0.35 per share [15][20] - Operating cash flow improved by over 30%, and free cash flow was up 31% compared to the same period last year [15][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Residential revenues increased by 11.2%, commercial pest control rose by 11.8%, and termite and ancillary services increased by 15.2% [15][16] - Organic growth rates were 5.2% in residential, 8.3% in commercial, and 10.8% in termite and ancillary services [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced double-digit growth across all service offerings in the third quarter [15][16] - The effective tax rate decreased to 24.8% from 26.1% a year ago, benefiting from tax planning efforts [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on continuous improvement initiatives to develop its workforce and enhance profitability [12][22] - Strategic investments in M&A and organic growth are expected to drive future growth, with a target of 7% to 8% organic growth and 3% to 4% from acquisitions [23][22] - The company is enhancing its talent development programs to create a robust pipeline of future leaders [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's position for continued growth, both organically and through acquisitions [12][22] - The integration of Saela has exceeded expectations, contributing positively to revenue and margins [31][33] - The company anticipates maintaining a healthy backlog and strong demand as it enters Q4 [56] Other Important Information - The company announced an 11% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, marking an 80% increase since early 2022 [21][22] - The company has made acquisitions totaling nearly $300 million year-to-date and paid approximately $250 million in dividends [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance in residential and momentum into October - Management noted that the momentum from June and July was sustained through the quarter, with early indications for October remaining positive [29] Question: Details on Saela's performance - Saela is expected to generate mid-$70 million in revenue in its first year, outperforming initial expectations [31] Question: Investments in commercial and competitive dynamics - Significant investments in the commercial division have resulted in strong growth, with double-digit recurring revenue growth reported [39][40] Question: Pricing strategy and customer acceptance - The company is targeting consumer price inflation plus, with expectations for continued margin contributions [48] Question: Competitive landscape in the pest control industry - The competitive landscape remains healthy, with the company focused on leveraging its multiple brands to capture market share [66][68] Question: Cash flow drivers and sustainability - Cash flow growth is attributed to better receivables management and is expected to remain sustainable [78][80] Question: Cost inflation and expectations for 2026 - The company is not seeing significant changes in inflation for materials and labor, with pricing strategies effectively managing costs [116]
Deutsche Bank AG(DB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 07:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Record profitability was achieved in the first nine months of 2025, with revenues at €24.4 billion, aligning with the full year goal of around €32 billion before FX effects [3][4] - Post-tax return on tangible equity reached 10.9%, meeting the full year target of above 10%, while the cost-income ratio stood at 63%, consistent with the target of below 65% [4] - Pre-provision profit was €9 billion, up nearly 50% year on year, and profit before tax increased by 36% when adjusted for litigation impacts [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Corporate Bank reported strong fee growth of 5% and maintained a post-tax return on tangible equity of 16.2% [9][22] - Investment Bank revenues increased by 18% year on year, driven by strong performance in FICC and significant improvements in origination and advisory [24] - Private Bank profits before tax doubled, with a 13% operating leverage and a return on tangible equity of 12.6% [27] - Asset Management saw a 42% increase in profit before tax, with revenues up 11% and assets under management growing to €1.05 trillion [30][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The liquidity coverage ratio finished the quarter at 140%, and the net stable funding ratio was 119% [14] - The tax rate for the third quarter was 26%, benefiting from a reduction in deferred tax liabilities due to changes in the German corporate tax rate [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is on track to meet or exceed all 2025 strategic goals, with a compound annual revenue growth of 6% since 2021 [7] - A second share buyback program worth €250 million was launched, bringing total buybacks in 2025 to €1 billion [8] - The company aims for distributions to shareholders exceeding €8 billion between 2022 and 2026, with cumulative distributions since 2022 reaching €5.6 billion [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong foundations for the next phase of the strategic agenda, benefiting from German fiscal stimulus and structural reforms [12] - Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company anticipates lower provisioning levels in the second half of the year [19][32] - The outlook remains positive, with expectations to deliver a return on tangible equity above 10% and a cost-income ratio below 65% [32] Other Important Information - Asset quality remained solid, with no exposure to recent high-profile cases, and provisions were in line with expectations [5][20] - The company completed its second buyback program, reiterating its commitment to shareholder distributions [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the fourth quarter? - The pipeline for the fourth quarter is encouraging, particularly in the Investment Bank, with strong origination activity expected [25] Question: How is the company managing credit risks? - The company is actively monitoring and managing risks from private credit, which accounts for about 5% of the loan book, with a focus on conservative underwriting standards [19][20] Question: What is the outlook for provisioning levels? - The company expects lower provisioning levels in the second half of the year compared to the first half, primarily due to the absence of notable model effects [19][32]