Key Takeaways Mission Produce's Q2 revenues jumped 28% to $380.3M, but gross profit fell 8% to $28.4M.Margins were hit by Mexican supply issues, tariffs and Canadian facility closure costs.Management points to sourcing shifts and easing tariffs as signs that the pressures may be temporary.Mission Produce, Inc.’s (AVO) second-quarter fiscal 2025 results highlight a classic margin squeeze that raises the question of whether the issue is temporary or structural. Despite record revenue growth of 28% to $380.3 m ...

Core Insights - Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) achieved a strong second quarter in fiscal 2025, driven by effective global sourcing and distribution strategies, particularly in managing Mexico's seasonal volatility and utilizing alternative sources like California and Peru [1][8] - The company is expanding its growth strategy beyond avocados into emerging categories such as mangoes and blueberries, leveraging existing customer relationships and operational flexibility, with mango volumes reaching record highs [2][8] - Future growth for AVO may depend on diversifying product categories, expanding global market reach, and capitalizing on increased production from Peruvian orchards, which are expected to see a 150% volume rebound this year [3][8] Competitive Landscape - AVO faces competition from Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) and Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP), both of which have distinct strategic advantages in the fresh produce industry [4] - CVGW relies on strong supply chain execution and deep ties to Mexican growers, while also needing to expand into value-added products and international markets for sustained growth [5] - FDP benefits from a vertically integrated global supply chain, but its future growth will depend on diversifying into higher-margin categories and enhancing product innovation [6] Financial Performance - AVO's shares have increased by 16.9% over the last three months, outperforming the industry growth of 6.3% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 24.81X, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.76X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 20.3% for both fiscal 2025 and 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past week [11]

Core Insights - Mission Produce Inc's vertically integrated business model enhances operational flexibility, supply consistency, and long-term margin potential [1] - The company's strong second-quarter 2025 results, with a 28% year-over-year revenue increase, demonstrate the effectiveness of its global sourcing network [2] - The vertical integration has led to improved cost control and margin enhancement, despite facing temporary pressures in early 2025 [3] - Ongoing investments in farming operations are expected to support sustainable growth and margin expansion [4] Company Performance - Mission Produce's revenue rose by 28% in Q2 2025, attributed to its ability to leverage global sourcing and optimize supply chain efficiency [9] - The company has seen a significant EBITDA turnaround from its international farming operations, including mango and blueberry production [3] - AVO's shares have gained 17.2% over the last three months, outperforming the industry's growth of 13.1% [8] Competitive Landscape - Mission Produce faces competition from Calavo Growers, Inc. and Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc., both of which have established global footprints [5] - Calavo has encountered operational efficiency challenges, contrasting with Mission Produce's improving EBITDA performance [6] - Fresh Del Monte's scale provides a competitive edge, but it lacks the avocado-specific infrastructure that supports Mission Produce's strategic advantage [7] Valuation and Estimates - Mission Produce trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 24.68X, significantly above the industry average of 15.18X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 20.3% for fiscal 2025 and 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past week [11]

Core Insights - Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) is focusing on a volume-driven strategy to enhance its competitive position in the fresh produce market, particularly in avocados, mangos, and blueberries, amid changing consumer preferences and global supply chain challenges [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - AVO has reported a significant increase in volume for its core products, with avocado volumes expected to rise over 100% this season due to a recovery from last year's weather-affected harvest [2] - The company is expanding its operations to meet rising global demand and penetrate new markets, including Europe and the U.K., supported by strong grower relationships and global sourcing flexibility [2] - Despite the volume increase, AVO anticipates a 10-15% year-over-year decline in avocado prices due to oversupply in the U.S. and international markets, which may compress gross margins [3][8] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - AVO faces strong competition from Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) and Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP), both of which have established operations in the avocado sector and focus on product quality and supply chain optimization [4][5][6] - Calavo emphasizes integrated operations and a broad customer base, while FDP is focused on enhancing profitability through innovation and strategic growth in emerging markets [5][6] Group 3: Financial Metrics - AVO's shares have increased by 15.1% over the last three months, outperforming the industry growth of 14.2% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 23.97X, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.36X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 20.3% for both fiscal 2025 and 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past week [10]

Core Insights - Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) has effectively managed price fluctuations through its vertically integrated model, which includes sourcing from multiple countries and controlling logistics, allowing it to remain resilient against regional disruptions [1][2] - The company reported a 29% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal 2025, driven by a 25% rise in per-unit avocado pricing and increased sales of mangoes and blueberries, despite facing margin pressures due to reliance on co-packers and the spot market [2][7] - Future growth for AVO is expected to be supported by higher volumes from Peru and ongoing investments in farming assets and technology, although maintaining momentum amid market volatility will be crucial [3] Competitive Landscape - Calavo Growers, Inc. (CVGW) is a significant competitor, facing similar supply challenges and declining margins due to rising costs and logistical issues, which has led to restructuring efforts [4] - Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (FDP) competes with a broader product portfolio but also experiences price instability and macroeconomic pressures, focusing on supply chain integration to mitigate margin erosion [5] Financial Performance - AVO's stock has increased by 20.8% over the last three months, outperforming the industry average growth of 18.5% [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 24X, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.53X, indicating a premium valuation [8] - Zacks Consensus Estimates predict a year-over-year earnings decline of 20.3% for both fiscal 2025 and 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past month [9]

Core Insights - Mission Produce, Inc. is strategically entering the mango category to diversify its offerings and leverage its successful avocado model, aiming to improve quality and consistency in a market that is currently underrepresented in North America [1][7] - The company plans to replicate its vertically integrated framework used in avocados, focusing on robust sourcing, efficient packing, and strong retail partnerships to position itself as a category builder in the mango market [2][7] - Mission Produce is optimistic about the growth potential for mangoes and complementary fruits like blueberries, driven by consumer preferences for healthy snacks and the company's ability to provide high-quality fruit year-round [3] Company Strategy - The mango program is in its early stages, but initial results are promising, with the company willing to absorb initial margin pressure as an investment for long-term market share gains [2][3] - The diversification strategy aims to stabilize financial performance against seasonal and geopolitical fluctuations, enhancing asset utilization across the supply chain [3] Peer Comparison - Calavo Growers, Inc. faces margin pressures due to limited diversification beyond avocados but is restructuring to improve efficiency and profitability [4] - Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. benefits from a broader product mix and is investing in automation and sustainability to enhance operational efficiency [5] Market Performance - Mission Produce shares have gained 20.7% in the past month, outperforming the industry growth of 7.4% [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 23.93X, significantly above the industry average of 16.58X [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year decline of 20.3% in earnings for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 [9]

Mission Produce® Investor Presentation June 2025 This presentation is for informational purposes only. Any information, content, or recommendations included herein shall not be construed as a guarantee of future results. We make no representations or warranties, and expressly disclaim any representations or warranties, as to the validity, accuracy, or completeness of the information contained herein. This presentation and its contents are the property of Mission Produce. Do not copy, modify, reproduce, or d ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record second quarter revenue of $380.3 million, an increase of 28% compared to the prior year period [5][14] - Adjusted EBITDA was $19.1 million, down from $20.2 million in the previous year, primarily due to lower per unit gross margins on avocados sold [17] - Gross profit was $28.4 million, compared to $31 million in the prior year, mainly due to challenges in obtaining necessary Mexican fruit supply [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Marketing and Distribution segment net sales increased 26% to $362.5 million, driven by favorable avocado pricing dynamics [17] - The International Farming segment saw net sales increase by $6.7 million to $8.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA improving by $3.7 million to a positive $1.5 million [18] - The blueberry segment's net sales increased 57% to $15.7 million, driven by higher volumes from increased acreage and yields [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The pricing environment remained favorable throughout the quarter, with a 26% increase in per unit avocado selling prices [14][15] - The company anticipates industry volumes to be approximately 10% to 15% higher in the fiscal third quarter compared to the prior year, primarily due to a strong Peruvian harvest outlook [21][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its competitive position globally by enhancing market access and leveraging its global sourcing network [5][7] - A forward distribution center in the UK has been established to accelerate reach in the European market, resulting in strong customer penetration and higher volumes [7] - The diversification strategy aims to optimize facility utilization year-round, positioning the company for stronger performance during peak harvest seasons [10][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the quality and sizing of the upcoming Peruvian avocado harvest, expecting good production and quality [26][30] - The company is optimistic about generating customary cash flow increases in the second half of the fiscal year, aided by a more normal Peruvian crop [11][12] - Management noted that the higher price environment has amplified normal seasonal dynamics but expects a meaningful step up in cash generation in the second half [20][21] Other Important Information - The company executed $5.2 million in share repurchases during the second quarter, reflecting belief that the share price is undervalued [12][21] - Capital expenditures for the fiscal year to date were $28 million, primarily for avocado and blueberry farming investments [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for the International Farming segment - Management indicated that fruit quality from Peru is expected to be good, with sizing also looking favorable [26][30] Question: Co-packer volume in the second quarter - Management confirmed that they were able to reach normalized levels of co-packer volume by leveraging other source markets [32][33] Question: Changes in behavior due to tariff uncertainty - Management noted that there was initial skittishness among suppliers during the tariff announcements, but by April, operations returned to normal [41][42] Question: Market share in the mango business - The company is now the second largest mango distributor in the U.S., with market share increasing from below 5% to closer to 10% [46][48]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record second quarter revenue of $380.3 million, an increase of 28% compared to the prior year period [5][14] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $8.7 million or $0.12 per diluted share, down from $9.8 million or $0.14 per diluted share last year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA was $19.1 million compared to $20.2 million last year, primarily driven by lower per unit gross margins on avocados sold [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Marketing and Distribution segment net sales increased 26% to $362.5 million, primarily due to favorable avocado pricing dynamics [16] - The International Farming segment saw net sales increase by $6.7 million to $8.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA improving by $3.7 million to a positive $1.5 million [17] - The blueberry segment's net sales increased 57% to $15.7 million, driven by higher volumes from increased acreage and yields [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The pricing environment remained favorable throughout the quarter, with a 26% increase in per unit avocado selling prices driven by strong consumer demand [14][16] - Exportable avocado production from the company's own farms in Peru is expected to range between 100 million to 110 million pounds, significantly higher than the previous year's 43 million pounds [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is applying its successful commercial strategy to enhance competitive positioning globally, including opening a forward distribution center in the UK to expand market reach [7] - The diversification strategy is aimed at optimizing facility utilization year-round while preparing for stronger performance during the avocado harvest season in South America [10] - The company is strategically expanding its blueberry acreage, expecting to add more than 200 hectares for the next season to capitalize on growing consumer demand [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the quality and sizing of the upcoming Peruvian avocado harvest, indicating expectations for a good year [26][28] - The company anticipates a meaningful step up in cash generation in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by improved production and market conditions [19] - Management noted that the pricing is expected to decrease by approximately 10% to 15% year-over-year due to higher volumes available in the market [22] Other Important Information - The company executed $5.2 million in share repurchases during the second quarter, reflecting belief that the share price is undervalued [12] - Capital expenditures for the fiscal year to date were $28 million, primarily for avocado and blueberry farming investments [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for the International Farming segment - Management indicated that fruit quality is expected to be good, with sizing also looking favorable [26][28] Question: Co-packer volume in the second quarter - Management confirmed that they were able to moderate co-packer volume to more normalized levels by leveraging other source markets [32][33] Question: Changes in behavior due to tariff uncertainty - Management noted that there was initial skittishness among suppliers, but by April, operations returned to normal with no significant disruptions [41][42] Question: Market share and growth potential in the Mango business - The company is now the second largest mango distributor in the U.S., with market share increasing from below 5% to closer to 10% [46][48]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record first quarter revenue of $334.2 million, a 29% increase compared to the same period last year [5][13] - Gross profit increased by $2.8 million to $31.5 million, although gross profit margin decreased by 170 basis points to 9.4% of revenue [13][15] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $7.1 million or $0.10 per diluted share, compared to $6.7 million or $0.09 per diluted share last year [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Marketing and Distribution segment net sales increased 32% to $295.8 million, driven by a 25% increase in per unit avocado selling prices and a 5% increase in avocado volume sold [5][16] - The International Farming segment sales increased 59% to $9.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA improving to $1.8 million from a loss of $0.5 million in the prior year [17] - The blueberry segment saw a 12% increase in revenue to $36.4 million, driven by a 70% increase in volumes sold, although average per unit selling prices decreased by 33% [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company faced industry supply challenges in Mexico, impacting avocado supply and necessitating increased procurement through co-packers and spot market purchases [5][8] - The company expects industry volumes in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 to be consistent with the prior year, with pricing expected to be higher by approximately 5% [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is strategically diversifying its sourcing footprint to include key growing regions such as Peru, Colombia, and Guatemala to ensure reliable year-round supply [9][10] - The company is expanding its blueberry and mango segments, investing in new plantings and premium varietals to capitalize on growing consumer demand for healthy snacks [6][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating supply challenges and highlighted the importance of their diversified business model [9][11] - The company remains optimistic about future opportunities and is focused on operational excellence and prudent capital allocation [11][12] Other Important Information - Cash and cash equivalents were $40.1 million as of January 31, 2025, with capital expenditures of $14.8 million for the quarter [19] - The company anticipates a normal seasonal unwinding of working capital strains in the second half of the fiscal year [31][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on sourcing from co-packers? - Management noted that sourcing from co-packers was higher than typical due to a slight decrease in the overall crop in Mexico, but they expect to secure more direct inventory soon [24][25][26] Question: What is the visibility on unwinding working capital? - Management indicated that working capital strains are normal for the first half of the fiscal year and expect to unwind in the second half as they transition to harvesting their own fruit [31][32] Question: Have you observed changes in supplier behavior due to tariffs? - Management observed more supplier conversations leading up to the March tariff announcement, but overall supply remained consistent and they were able to meet customer requirements [34][35]