Let's talk about what's happening in Japan today. What message should global bond markets take away from the job picture. Yeah, I mean, I think the path of least resistance is for yields to keep climbing higher.I mean, I know the currency has been sending mixed signals. It's kind of been detached from what we're seeing in long term yields. But if you look globally at the moment, everything is just creeping higher.So GDP yields creeping higher because rate hikes in France, yields are climbing higher because ...

Gold rose to an all-time high, with heightened geopolitical tensions and bets on more Federal Reserve rate cuts adding impetus to the best annual performance in more than four decades. https://t.co/VJM7QTeoAa📷: Akos Stiller/Bloomberg https://t.co/VwnvSQVVwI ...

Silver rose to a record and gold edged higher on heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations for more Federal Reserve rate cuts next year https://t.co/HvnrIaENYn ...

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the macroverse. Today we're going to talk about the most recent CPI report. We're going to discuss how it has dropped to 2.7% and expectations that we might have based on further rate cuts and of course how it affects markets like Bitcoin.If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse. com. Link is in the description below.Again, ...

Core Insights - The financial sector is experiencing strong momentum, finishing 2024 with the third-best performance among the S&P 500's 100 sectors and rising 4.18% over the past month, positioning it well for 2026 following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [3][8]. Financial Sector Performance - The financial sector has gained nearly 13% this year, slightly trailing the S&P 500's more than 14% gains, indicating resilience despite a market focus on technology and communication services [5]. - The sector is benefiting from a market rotation towards value investments, particularly after concerns regarding tech valuations and the AI bubble [6][7]. Impact of Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's final interest rate cut of the year is expected to enhance net interest margins for banks and lenders, leading to increased profitability through higher loan volumes [8][9]. - The Vanguard Financials ETF is highlighted as a suitable investment vehicle for those seeking broad exposure to the financial sector [4][8].

Market Overview - The Dow is up by 0.5% today, but remains in the red for the week [1] - The NASDAQ has increased by over 1% today, turning positive for the week, while the S&P 500 is up just under 1% [2] - The bond market shows a slight increase in yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield up by 3 basis points today [3] Sector Performance - Technology has been a strong performer this week, with large-cap tech (XLK) up by 2% [4] - Consumer discretionary, led by Tesla and Amazon, is up by 1.3%, while energy has seen a decline of about 3% [5] - Notable stock movements include Nvidia up by 3.74% and Goldman Sachs up by 2% [6] Economic Outlook - Markets are reacting to cooler inflation data and a strong growth backdrop anticipated for 2026 [7] - Investors are focusing on potential rate cuts, earnings, and sector rotation as they prepare for the new year [7] - The Federal Reserve has cut rates by 175 basis points from the highs, indicating a move closer to a neutral rate [13] Fiscal Stimulus and Growth - Significant fiscal stimulus is expected to impact the economy in 2026, including corporate and personal tax changes [16] - The potential for increased capital expenditures (capex) is anticipated due to new corporate stimulus measures [16] AI and Technology Sector - The AI theme remains volatile, with a shift from broad market exposure to more selective stock picking expected in 2026 [18] - The MAG 7 tech stocks have shown mixed performance, with some like Alphabet and Nvidia performing well, while others like Microsoft and Meta have lagged [19] Small Cap Stocks - Small caps have recently rebounded, but there are concerns about sustainability given past performance trends [23] - The current small-cap index composition differs significantly from historical norms, leading to skepticism about future growth [25] Retail Sector Insights - Rivian's stock has been upgraded by Wedbush, citing 2026 as a pivotal year for the company [27] - KB Home reported fourth-quarter earnings that missed estimates, indicating ongoing challenges in the housing market [29] - Nike's second-quarter results reflect a turbulent year for retailers, with uneven performance across the sector [31] Honeywell's Performance - Honeywell's stock has underperformed compared to the broader industrial market, largely due to limited exposure to AI and data center growth [90] - The company is expected to benefit from the spin-off of its aerospace business, which could enhance its market position [92] EV Market Outlook - The EV market is facing headwinds, including the expiration of tax credits, but long-term demand is expected to remain strong [74] - ChargePoint's CEO emphasizes the importance of innovation and product development to drive growth in the EV charging sector [78] - The commercial and fleet markets for EVs are anticipated to grow as businesses seek lower total cost of ownership [86]

Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index declined to a reading of 43.7, entering the "Fear" zone from a previous reading of 46.9, indicating a shift in market sentiment [6] - U.S. stocks experienced a positive session, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining over 300 points, driven by a cooler-than-expected inflation report and strong earnings outlook from Micron Technology [1] Company Performance - Micron Technology's stock surged by 10% after exceeding earnings estimates and providing a positive outlook, alleviating concerns regarding the AI bubble [2] - Accenture Plc also reported better-than-expected first-quarter 2026 results, contributing to the overall positive market sentiment [2] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.7% year-over-year in November 2025, down from 3% previously and below the expected 3.1%, while core inflation fell to 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021 [2] - The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index dropped by 8.5 points to -10.2 in December, missing market expectations [3] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased by 13,000 to 224,000 for the week ending December 13 [3] Sector Performance - Most sectors in the S&P 500 closed positively, with information technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks showing the largest gains, while consumer staples and energy sectors closed lower [4] - The Dow Jones increased by approximately 66 points to 47,951.85, the S&P 500 rose by 0.79% to 6,774.76, and the Nasdaq Composite jumped by 1.38% to 23,006.36 during the session [4] Upcoming Earnings - Investors are anticipating earnings results from Conagra Brands Inc., Paychex Inc., and Carnival Corp. [5]

The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in the overall market sentiment, while the index moved to the “Fear” zone on Thursday.U.S. stocks settled higher on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining more than 300 points during the session as risk appetite snapped back after a cooler-than-expected inflation report revived hopes for rate cuts and a blowout earnings outlook from Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) eased AI bubble fears.Micron Technology rocketed 10% on Thursday after beating estima ...

The market is going to fucking rip here sooner than later imo.CPI came in SO cool.Inflation concerns with rate cuts are out teh window.3-5 rate cuts next year seems like an inevitable situation.Risk On assets will be going much higher.Bottom is in across crypto imo.The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter):This is absolutely insane:Inflation in the US just unexpectedly posted one of the largest monthly declines since 2023.While a +10 basis point increase in inflation was expected, it actually FELL by -40 basis ...

Market Overview - The NASDAQ composite closed down 1.7%, the S&P 500 down over 1%, and the Dow Jones down nearly 0.5% [1] - The 10-year Treasury yield increased to 4.15%, and the US dollar strengthened, putting pressure on risk assets [2] - Technology stocks, particularly affected by Oracle's decline due to AI funding concerns, saw significant losses [2][4] Sector Performance - Energy sector showed a rebound, while technology stocks faced declines, with Nvidia down over 3% and Alphabet and Tesla down more than 4% [2][3] - Cryptocurrency market saw Bitcoin down 2% and Ethereum down over 4% [5] - Commodities performed well, with crude oil up more than 2% and gold and silver near all-time highs, with silver up 125% year-to-date and gold up 64% [6] Micron's Earnings Report - Micron reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $4.78, beating the expected $3.95, and revenue of $13.64 billion, surpassing the consensus of $12.95 billion [7] - Guidance for Q2 EPS is projected between $8.22 to $8.62, significantly above the expected $4.71, with revenues forecasted between $18.3 billion to $19.1 billion, compared to the consensus of $14.38 billion [8] - Gross margins are expected to be between 67% to 69%, exceeding the street estimate of 55.7% [8] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - Micron's strong performance is attributed to high demand for memory chips, particularly for AI applications, leading to supply constraints and increased pricing [12] - Analysts remain optimistic about Micron, with 85% rating it as a buy, despite its stock already being up 170% this year prior to the earnings report [8] - The competitive landscape includes Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix, with Micron positioned as a strong player in high bandwidth memory (HBM) [19] Consumer Credit Trends - Higher income households are seeing improvements in delinquency rates, attributed to better income growth and access to credit [41][42] - Middle income households are experiencing slower increases in delinquency rates, while lower income households face persistently high rates of 7% to 9% [44][45] - Delinquency rates for auto loans and student loans are at their highest since the last financial crisis, while mortgage-related debt remains lower than in the 2010s [50] Economic Indicators - Upcoming economic data includes the November Consumer Price Index (CPI), with forecasts of total and core CPI at 3.1% and 3% year-over-year, respectively [57] - Earnings reports from major companies like Accenture, Nike, and FedEx are anticipated, with Nike expected to see a sales rebound in the second half of the year [58]