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Options Corner: How To Maximize The Full Potential Of Zeta Global's Short-Squeeze Attempt - Zeta Global Holdings (NYSE:ZETA)
Benzinga· 2026-01-05 21:48
Core Viewpoint - Zeta Global Holdings Corp (NYSE:ZETA) has seen an approximate 8% increase in stock price, driven by speculation and its alignment with current market trends in artificial intelligence-powered marketing solutions [1][2]. Group 1: Business Model and Market Position - Zeta Global positions itself as an AI-driven marketing cloud, utilizing artificial intelligence to enhance customer engagement for enterprises [2]. - The company's innovations, including built-in AI agents, automate various marketing tasks, potentially giving it a competitive edge [3]. Group 2: Stock Movement and Trading Dynamics - The stock's recent performance may be influenced by a short-squeeze phenomenon, where bearish traders are forced to buy shares to cover their positions, contributing to price increases [4][6]. - ZETA stock has a short interest of 10.6% and a cover ratio of 5.03 days, indicating potential for continued upward movement [6]. Group 3: Volatility and Trading Opportunities - ZETA stock exhibits a 60-month beta of 1.26, suggesting higher volatility compared to benchmark indices, which may present opportunities for quantitative traders [7]. - Under certain market conditions, ZETA stock may show a bullish bias, making it less volatile than its long-term beta suggests [8]. Group 4: Price Projections and Trading Strategies - The expected price range for ZETA stock over the next 10 weeks is between $20.40 and $25.20, with a peak probability density around $22.70 [11]. - A more aggressive trading strategy could target a price range of $25 to $30, with a speculative idea that the stock could reach around $30 due to the potential short squeeze [18]. - The 25/30 bull call spread expiring on February 20, 2026, could offer a maximum payout of approximately 694%, with a breakeven price of $25.63 [19][20].
25 Stocks With Short Squeeze Potential
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-31 21:01
Core Insights - The article discusses potential short squeeze opportunities in the stock market as the new year approaches, highlighting stocks with significant short interest and potential losses for short sellers [1][2]. Group 1: Short Interest Data - The article presents a table detailing stocks with high short interest, including the percentage of float tied up in short positions and changes in short interest over the past month [4]. - Notable stocks with significant short interest include Applied Digital (APLD), Oklo (OKLO), IREN (IREN), and Rigetti Computing (RGTI) [3]. Group 2: Stock Performance Metrics - The table includes metrics such as last close price, percentage of float, and average short price for various stocks, indicating potential losses for short sellers [4]. - For example, SEI in the Energy Infrastructure sector has a last close of $45.07 with a short interest percentage of 28.7%, showing a 2417% increase off its low [4]. - APLD in the Cryptocurrency sector has a last close of $25.72 with a short interest percentage of 33.5%, reflecting a 446% increase off its low [4].
Signal Says "Buy the Dip" on This Struggling Tech Stock
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-29 19:34
Core Viewpoint - Dell Technologies Inc's stock is experiencing a decline of 1.4%, trading at $127.37, which ends a five-day winning streak due to challenges in the tech sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock has seen a 10% decrease in the fourth quarter and is currently 24% below its 12-month high of $168.08 reached on November 3 [1] - The stock is testing a long-term trendline, specifically its 12-month moving average, which has historically been bullish, closing above it 80% of the last 20 months [2] Group 2: Historical Trends - Over the past 20 years, there have been nine instances where the stock closed above this trendline, resulting in a one-month average return of 25.8%, with a success rate of 44% [2] - Three months following these instances, the average return was 56%, with a positive win rate exceeding 50% [2] Group 3: Short Interest and Options Activity - Short interest has increased by 11.1%, with 20.60 million shares sold short, representing 6.6% of Dell's total available float [4] - The stock's put/call open interest ratio stands at 1.23, ranking in the 99th percentile of its annual range, indicating a significant presence of short-term put traders [4] - A potential unwinding of these bearish positions could provide additional support for the stock [4] Group 4: Options Pricing - Dell's options are currently affordably priced, as indicated by a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 42%, which is higher than 89% of readings from the past year [5] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is rated at 83 out of 100, suggesting that the stock has consistently experienced higher volatility than what its options have priced in [5]
Trade Tracker: Joe Terranova sells Phillips 66, Spotify and the GLD
Youtube· 2025-12-29 18:31
Group 1: Precious Metals Market - The recent trading activity in precious metals, particularly gold and silver, has shown significant volatility, with a parabolic move followed by a dramatic reversal, indicating a need for traders to reduce risk [3][4][5] - There is a long-term bullish outlook for precious metals, with expectations for a favorable market in 2026, suggesting that investors should maintain their positions in these assets [2] - Silver is highlighted as a potential trading opportunity, especially given its structural deficit over the past five years, although caution is advised due to the speculative nature of recent price movements [6][7] Group 2: Energy Sector - The refiner trade has been a strong opportunity in the energy sector, with successful positions taken in companies like Marathon, Valero, and Philip 66, but there is a shift anticipated towards larger E&P companies as the market evolves [12][14] - Exxon Mobil is noted to be approaching a 52-week high, with expectations for it to reach an all-time high, indicating strong performance in the energy sector [15] - There are signs of economic stimulation in China and a stable U.S. economy, which could lead to higher oil prices, suggesting a favorable outlook for energy investments [16] Group 3: Spotify and Streaming Industry - Spotify has been experiencing a downtrend since June, leading to a decision to exit the position due to lack of performance over the past month [18] - Competitive pressures are increasing for Spotify, particularly with partnerships like the one between Netflix and iHeart, which could pose threats to Spotify's business model [19][20]
Top 10 Most Shorted Stocks: Lucid, MARA, Hims and More
Benzinga· 2025-12-29 15:30
Core Viewpoint - Investors are increasingly focusing on heavily shorted stocks, either to capitalize on further declines in value or to benefit from potential short squeezes [1][3]. Group 1: Characteristics of Heavily Shorted Stocks - A stock is considered "heavily shorted" when a significant number of traders and institutional investors believe it is fundamentally overvalued, leading to expectations of a price decline [2]. - High short interest often indicates a strong conviction among professional traders that the company faces serious risks, while retail traders may see it as an opportunity for rapid gains through a short squeeze [3]. Group 2: Short Squeeze Dynamics - A short squeeze occurs when a stock's price unexpectedly rises, forcing short sellers to buy back shares to cover their positions, which creates a spike in demand and further drives up the price [4]. - The volatility associated with a short squeeze can result in returns that significantly exceed typical stock movements within a short time frame [4]. Group 3: Most Heavily Shorted Stocks - As of December 29, the following stocks are the most heavily shorted, with market caps above $2 billion and free floats above 5 million: - Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCID) - 54.51% - Choice Hotels International, Inc. (NYSE:CHH) - 50.20% - Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CAR) - 48.80% - Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE:RVLV) - 43.14% - Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (NYSE:MPW) - 37.13% - MARA Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA) - 36.23% - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE:HIMS) - 35.22% - TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) - 35.11% - Kohl's Corporation (NYSE:KSS) - 34.27% - Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NYSE:NOG) - 33.27% [5][6].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-18 23:20
Tsuruha has become one of the most shorted stocks in Japan as investors position for its tender-offer-driven rally to fade. But analysts warn this strategy may end in a short squeeze if the drug store operator’s earnings beat expectations. https://t.co/2T2KJ32DgO ...
iRobot Just Filed for Bankruptcy. What Does That Mean for IRBT Stock? And Why Have Investors Been Chasing Shares Higher?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 20:52
Core Viewpoint - iRobot has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, transferring its business to two Chinese companies and going private, marking a significant decline from its previous market dominance [1][4][6]. Company Overview - iRobot was founded in 1990 by MIT engineers and initially focused on defense and space projects before launching the Roomba robotic vacuum in 2002, which revolutionized the consumer robotics market [3][9]. - The company achieved peak annual revenue of nearly $1.6 billion in 2021, selling over 40 million units and commanding approximately 60% of the global market share by value [10][11]. Recent Developments - The company has faced increasing competition from lower-priced Chinese rivals and rising costs due to tariffs, leading to a significant decline in stock value, with shares down 92% year-to-date as of the bankruptcy filing [2][4][11]. - iRobot's restructuring agreement involves acquisition by Shenzhen Picea Robotics Co. and a subsidiary, with the main lender forgiving $190 million in loans and an additional $74 million in debt [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape has shifted dramatically since 2021, with Chinese companies introducing advanced features at lower prices, which iRobot struggled to match until its 2025 product lineup [11][13]. - Tariffs have added significant costs, with iRobot reporting an increase of $23 million in 2025 due to tariff-related expenses, complicating future planning [13]. Stock Performance - iRobot's stock experienced extreme volatility, including a brief rally driven by retail traders speculating on a short squeeze, but the bankruptcy announcement led to a dramatic sell-off, erasing gains [2][5][15]. - Existing common shareholders are expected to be wiped out under the restructuring plan, with a high likelihood of Nasdaq delisting the stock [15].
Is Michael Burry Going to Supercharge GameStop Stock Again in 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 18:47
Core Insights - Michael Burry, known for his role in The Big Short, sold his entire GameStop position in late 2020, missing a significant short squeeze in January 2021, which could have resulted in a billion-dollar gain [1][2] - Burry's recent analysis titled "GameStop, The Prequel" discusses a unique market phenomenon involving retail traders and a gamma squeeze [2] - GameStop currently has $8.8 billion in cash and a market cap of $9.9 billion, despite a 27% decline in stock value in 2025 [3] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q3 of 2026, GameStop reported an operating income of $41 million, a significant improvement from a $33 million loss in the previous year, with net income rising from $17 million to $77 million [5] - The company ended Q1 with nearly $9 billion in cash and marketable securities, up from $4.6 billion a year ago [5] - Cost-cutting measures led to a 21% reduction in selling, general, and administrative expenses, decreasing from $282 million to $221 million year-over-year [6] Strategic Changes - GameStop is exiting underperforming international markets, including Canada and France, following previous exits in Germany and Italy, which has improved profitability in remaining locations [7] - The company's business model has been revamped under Ryan Cohen's leadership, with Burry noting that the current situation is similar to his 2018 thesis but with significantly larger numbers [4]
'Big Short' investor Michael Burry sold GameStop weeks before it skyrocketed: 'I had no idea what was coming'
Business Insider· 2025-12-16 14:30
Core Insights - Michael Burry, known for his role in "The Big Short," expressed regrets about selling his GameStop shares before the stock surged dramatically [1][6] Group 1: Investment Timeline - Burry initially invested in GameStop in summer 2018, identifying it as undervalued with potential catalysts such as a console refresh and strong cash flows [2] - After exiting his position in Q2 2019 due to stagnant stock performance, he reinvested in July 2019, citing high short interest as a new catalyst [3] - Burry held a nearly 5% stake for over 16 months, benefiting from lending his shares at high rates [4] Group 2: Selling and Market Dynamics - Burry sold his shares by the end of November 2020 for an average price of $3.38, significantly higher than his purchase price of $0.83 [5] - Following his exit, GameStop's stock experienced a historic surge, reaching over $120 on January 28, 2021, which could have turned his investment of $12 million into $1 billion [5] Group 3: Reflections on Market Behavior - Burry acknowledged a lack of foresight regarding the meme-stock phenomenon and the role of retail investors, expressing mixed feelings about the events of early 2021 [7] - He warned that retail investors could face significant losses in the meme-stock environment, drawing parallels to his previous experiences during the housing market bubble [7] Group 4: Current Perspective on GameStop - Burry indicated that GameStop's current situation resembles his initial assessment in 2018, with a capital structure that has changed significantly and Ryan Cohen now at the helm [8]
Analyst: Retailer to Keep Growing Amid Solid Macro Backdrop
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-15 15:21
Core Viewpoint - Dollar General Corp's stock has been upgraded to "overweight" by J.P. Morgan Securities, with a new price target set at $166, indicating expected sales growth driven by new store openings and a favorable macroeconomic environment [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Dollar General's stock is currently trading at $133.85, reflecting a 0.5% increase [1] - The stock reached a 52-week high of $135.52 and is on track for a fifth consecutive gain, with over 78% growth anticipated for 2025 [2] - The shares have shown consistent performance, being above all short- and long-term moving averages [2] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - Among the 29 firms covering Dollar General, 17 have a "hold" rating, indicating potential for further bullish notes [3] - The 12-month consensus target price is $132.16, which is a 1.7% discount to current trading levels [3] - There is potential for a short squeeze, as bearish bets have increased by 33%, with 12.34 million shares sold short, accounting for 5.6% of the available float [3] Group 3: Options Market Insights - Short-term options traders are currently more bearish than usual, as indicated by a put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.18, which is close to the annual peak [4] - An unwinding of this bearish sentiment could provide additional support for the stock [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 20%, which is higher than 89% of readings from the past year, suggesting that options are currently affordably priced [5]