Earnings ESP
Search documents
Why Trane Technologies (TT) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 18:10
Core Viewpoint - Trane Technologies (TT) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, supported by a solid history of performance and positive earnings expectations [1][5]. Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, Trane Technologies reported earnings of $3.88 per share, exceeding the expected $3.80 per share, resulting in a surprise of 2.11% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company also surpassed expectations, reporting $3.88 per share against a consensus estimate of $3.76 per share, achieving a surprise of 3.19% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Trane Technologies, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [5][8]. - The current Earnings ESP for Trane Technologies is +0.54%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8]. Zacks Rank and Success Rate - The stock holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, indicates a high likelihood of beating consensus estimates, with a success rate of nearly 70% for stocks with this combination [6][8].
Why First American Financial (FAF) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 18:10
Core Insights - First American Financial (FAF) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 14.50% in the last two quarters [1] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, First American Financial reported earnings of $1.7 per share, exceeding the expected $1.42 per share by 19.72% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $1.53 per share against an estimate of $1.4 per share, resulting in a surprise of 9.29% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for First American Financial have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for the company is +1.25%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8] Zacks Rank and Predictive Power - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high probability of a positive earnings surprise, with historical data indicating that nearly 70% of stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates [6][8] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions which may be more accurate [7]
Will Alkermes (ALKS) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 18:10
Core Insights - Alkermes (ALKS) has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 21.75% [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $0.49 per share for the last quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share by 16.67% [2] - In the previous quarter, Alkermes achieved earnings of $0.52 per share against an expectation of $0.41 per share, resulting in a surprise of 26.83% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent changes in earnings estimates for Alkermes have been favorable, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Alkermes is +11.29%, suggesting that analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] Zacks Rank and Earnings ESP - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - A positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) indicates a high probability of another earnings beat for Alkermes [8] - It is crucial to check a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases to enhance the likelihood of successful investment decisions [9]
Why AerCap (AER) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 18:10
Core Viewpoint - AerCap (AER) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1]. Earnings Performance - AerCap has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 30.09% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, AerCap achieved earnings of $4.97 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.16 per share, resulting in a surprise of 57.28% [3]. - For the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $2.75 per share but delivered $2.83 per share, yielding a surprise of 2.91% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for AerCap have been trending upward, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [6]. - The stock currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +8.70%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that this combination results in positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [7][9]. Upcoming Earnings Report - AerCap's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on February 6, 2026 [9].
Will Credicorp (BAP) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 18:10
Core Insights - Credicorp (BAP) has a strong history of beating earnings estimates and is well-positioned for future earnings growth [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $6.17 per share for the most recent quarter, exceeding the expected $6.05, resulting in a surprise of 1.98% [2] - In the previous quarter, Credicorp's earnings were $6.24 per share against an estimate of $5.73, leading to a surprise of 8.90% [2] Earnings Performance - The average surprise for Credicorp over the last two quarters was 5.44%, indicating consistent performance above expectations [1] - The company's Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) is currently +1.39%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8] Analyst Sentiment - Credicorp's positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] - Research shows that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] Upcoming Earnings - The next earnings report for Credicorp is anticipated to be released on February 12, 2026 [8]
Growth in NII, Robust IB Performance to Aid KeyCorp's Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 17:00
Core Viewpoint - KeyCorp (KEY) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter and 2025 results, driven by robust lending activities and solid demand for commercial and industrial loans, as well as consumer loans [1][11]. Lending and Earnings - The demand for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, which constitute about 50% of KeyCorp's average loan balances, was solid in the quarter [1]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KEY's average earning assets for the fourth quarter is $171.65 billion, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year [2]. - Management anticipates a 2% increase in period-end loans for 2025, with commercial loans expected to rise by 5% [1]. Net Interest Income (NII) - The consensus estimate for fourth-quarter NII (on a fully tax-equivalent basis) is $1.21 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 14% [4]. - Management expects NII to grow by 13% or more year-over-year, with a projected 22% increase for 2025 [4]. - Despite interest rate cuts, the company's net interest margin (NIM) is expected to improve, supported by loan growth and stabilizing deposit costs, with an expected NIM of 2.75-2.8% in the fourth quarter of 2025 [5][4]. Non-Interest Income - Mortgage rates declined significantly in the fourth quarter, leading to improved refinancing activities and origination volumes, positively impacting KeyCorp's mortgage banking income [6]. - The consensus estimate for commercial mortgage servicing fees is $69 million, reflecting a 1.5% year-over-year increase, while consumer mortgage income is estimated at $13.99 million, indicating a 12.6% decline [7]. - The total non-interest income estimate is pegged at $748 million, showing improvement from negative income reported in the prior year [13]. Investment Banking and Trading - The investment banking business is expected to benefit from robust deal-making activities, with a consensus estimate for investment banking and debt placement fees of $230 million, indicating a 4.1% year-over-year rise [9]. - Increased trading activities, influenced by market volatility and a significant U.S. government shutdown, are anticipated to positively impact KeyCorp's trading business [8]. Expenses and Asset Quality - KeyCorp's cost-saving measures and operational efficiency initiatives are likely to have curbed expense growth, although investments in technology may lead to a rise in total non-interest expenses [14]. - The consensus estimate for non-performing assets (NPAs) is $689 million, indicating a 10.8% year-over-year decline, while non-performing loans (NPLs) are estimated at $691 million, reflecting an 8.8% decline [16]. Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is 38 cents per share, unchanged from the prior year, while the estimate for 2025 earnings is $1.47, indicating a 26.7% increase [18]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly sales is $1.94 billion, reflecting a year-over-year rise of 10.3%, with full-year sales estimated at $7.43 billion, indicating 16% growth from 2024 [19].
Halliburton (HAL) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Halliburton (HAL) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on its near-term stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $0.54 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 22.9%, while revenues are projected to be $5.41 billion, down 3.6% from the previous year [3]. - A positive movement in stock price may occur if the reported numbers exceed expectations, whereas a miss could lead to a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.13% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - Halliburton's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +4.32%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Halliburton currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Halliburton exceeded the expected earnings of $0.50 per share by delivering $0.58, resulting in a surprise of +16.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - Halliburton is viewed as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors are advised to consider other factors that may influence stock performance beyond earnings results [17].
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) Reports Next Week: What to Know Ahead of the Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) is expected to report flat earnings of $0.36 per share for the quarter ended December 2025, with revenues projected at $1.9 billion, reflecting a 1.9% increase from the previous year [3]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is anticipated to be released on January 21, and the stock may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 8.4% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Knight-Swift is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.04%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. - Knight-Swift currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a neutral outlook [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Knight-Swift was expected to earn $0.38 per share but only achieved $0.32, resulting in a surprise of -15.79% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - Knight-Swift does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider additional factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) due to higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Johnson & Johnson is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.50 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +22.6% [3][19]. - Revenues are projected to be $24.12 billion, which is a 7.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3][19]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.36% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4][19]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.80%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12][19]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but its predictive power is stronger for positive readings [9][10]. - Johnson & Johnson's current Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12][20]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Johnson & Johnson exceeded the expected earnings of $2.77 per share by delivering $2.80, resulting in a surprise of +1.08% [13]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters [14][20]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, various factors may influence stock movement, and the current indicators suggest that Johnson & Johnson may not be a compelling candidate for an earnings surprise [15][17].
Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Teledyne Technologies (TDY) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Teledyne is expected to report quarterly earnings of $5.83 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +5.6% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $1.57 billion, which is a 4.5% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.27% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - However, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.52%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Teledyne's current Zacks Rank is 2 (Buy), but the negative Earnings ESP complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Teledyne exceeded the expected earnings of $5.5 per share, achieving $5.57, resulting in a surprise of +1.27% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Teledyne has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While Teledyne may not be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].