Volatility
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X @Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒· 2025-08-07 19:40
Question 6:https://t.co/UqL6PAMYhxgiven the extreme volatility and speculative nature of memecoin trading, how do you balance the psychological pressures of managing multi million dollar positions with the discipline required to stick to your long term strategy/theis, especially during periods of significant drawdowns or market euphoria?Answer:1. detachment2. not investing more than i can afford to lose3. forming a strong thesis and truly believing in that thesis unless it gets invalidatedi believe a combin ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-08-07 06:42
💥REMINDER:🇺🇸 INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS DROPS TODAY AT 08:30 AM (EASTERN TIME).EXPECT VOLATILITY! https://t.co/zGsMhqI1jX ...
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-08-07 02:01
RT Anthony Pompliano 🌪 (@APompliano)Volatility is necessary.Don't run from it, embrace it. ...
Crypto Expert's DIRE WARNING On Inevitable Explosion
Altcoin Daily· 2025-08-06 20:42
Market Analysis & Volatility - Implied volatility is extremely low while open interest is near multi-year highs, suggesting explosive volatility is expected [2][3][6] - A potential hidden risk zone for Bitcoin is around the $105,000 level, supported by onchain data [19][21][22] - Bitcoin options are skewing bullish, with significant value stacked in calls and puts around August 29th, September 26th (60-day window), and December 26th [23][24] Supply Shock & Demand - A supply shock is anticipated within 60 days, potentially leading to upside volatility [2][7] - Bitcoin treasury companies are poised to inject approximately $15 billion into the market in Q3, exceeding the first half of 2024's Bitcoin ETF net flows [12][14] - ETF investors and treasury companies are primarily long-term holders, not looking for quick profits [9][10][11] Technical Indicators - Low implied volatility often precedes significant market movements [4] - Bitcoin futures open interest nearing $80 billion indicates a potentially explosive move, either up or down [5] - UTXO cost basis histogram reveals a significant accumulation or realization wall around $105,000 [21]
Offsetting market activity is suppressing volatility, says Invesco's John Burrello
CNBC Television· 2025-08-06 19:20
Market Volatility and Options Pricing - Options market volumes have surged in recent years, but the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) has returned to around 16, suggesting relatively cheap options given existing risks [2][3] - Suppressed correlations between stocks, as indicated by the SIBO correlation index in the teens (historically 40s-50s, crisis periods 90s), are contributing to lower volatility [3][4] - The current divergence between headline risk and options market pricing presents opportunities for investors and traders [5] Options Strategies and Risk Management - The options market is suitable for risk management, particularly through option income strategies (e g, covered calls, cash-secured puts) to reduce risk and generate monthly income [7] - Hedging strategies, such as buying protection (e g, purchasing insurance), can reduce risk independently of future correlations [8] - For option income strategies (selling options), shorter-dated expirations are preferred to capitalize on time decay [9] - For hedging strategies, longer-dated puts can be used to protect against market drawdowns [10] Speculative Activity - Increased volume in the options market is partly driven by speculative activity, such as lottery ticket buying through calls on meme stocks [6]
Policy Uncertainty Is Biggest Threat To The U.S. Economic Growth Right Now: Carmen Reinhart
CNBC· 2025-08-06 16:01
Economic Uncertainty & Recession Risks - Uncertainty, stemming from policy, geopolitical factors, and President Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve, poses a significant threat to US economic growth [1][2] - Recession risks are higher than average, though not overwhelming, as the US consumer remains resilient [7][9] - Corporate investment is hindered by uncertainty, impacting medium to longer-term plans [5] Monetary Policy & Inflation - It's difficult to argue for lower interest rates currently due to uncertainty about future inflation [11] - There are no overwhelming signs of weakening economic activity that would call for monetary policy stimulus [12] - The pass-through of tariffs into higher prices has been modest so far, but it's still early stages [11] Immigration & Demographics - Slower population growth due to immigration shocks negatively impacts medium-term potential output [8][9] - Aging populations and declining birth rates in the US and other advanced economies impact potential growth [14] - Immigration has historically contributed to trend growth in the US economy [8][14] Debt & Fiscal Policy - The US budget bill is estimated to add at least $3 trillion to the deficit over the next 9 to 10 years [15] - High debt levels and debt servicing costs are a concern, potentially hindering more productive investments [17][18] Globalization & Trade - Globalization has been off its peak since the global financial crisis [20] - While globalization has benefited consumers through cheaper products, it has also led to a hollowing out of various sectors in the US [20][22] - Increased global cooperation is preferred over a fragmented system [22] Global Debt Crisis - The unfolding debt crisis in low-income countries is something to watch, as it could amplify to emerging markets with bigger footprints [24][25]
Copper Faces a Volatile Outlook | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-08-06 15:31
Market Trends & Demand - Global copper consumption exceeds 25 million metric tons per year, driven by electric vehicles, renewable energy, and AI data centers [1] - Clean energy and electrification are projected to double global copper demand by 2050 [3] - China consumes over half of the world's copper, but a weaker property market may slow demand [4] Price Volatility & Supply Issues - Copper prices experienced significant volatility in 2025 due to US tariffs, with a 13% jump on July 8th and a subsequent 25% drop on July 30th after policy amendment [2] - New mines can take decades to come online, and existing mines face disruptions, potentially leading to supply issues [4] - Tariffs and supply issues could continue to cause wild price swings in the second half of 2025 [4] Long-Term Outlook - Long-term copper demand is strong due to the energy transition and AI, but supply may struggle to keep up [5] - Supply constraints create uncertainty and price risks for copper [5] - Electric vehicles use three to four times as much copper as gasoline-powered cars [3]
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-08-06 12:53
Volatility is necessary.Don't run from it, embrace it. ...
We're still in a global bull-market, but expect turbulence in August, says Carson's Ryan Detrick
CNBC Television· 2025-08-05 20:40
And it was another down day for the S&P 500 as investors digest weak economic data this morning. Our next guest sees volatility ahead, calling August one of the weakest months of the year, especially in post election periods, but he's not bearish. Let's bring in Carson Group chief market strategist Ryan Dietrich and our own senior markets commentator Mike Sani.Guys, welcome. Ryan, you're saying four to 6% pullback here in the S&P wouldn't be unusual yet. You're still overweight.uh tech uh and and some of th ...
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-08-05 13:23
Patience is required when it comes to $BTC.No breakout upwards, no breakout downwards.Volatility slowing down, which means a big move is on the horizon again. https://t.co/lUNTkzZ5MG ...