Core Insights - XRP's primary advantage lies in its management and business relationships, positioning it favorably in the cryptocurrency market [1] - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech is highly anticipated, with expectations of a 25 basis points rate cut during the December FOMC meeting [2][3] - Ripple has secured a significant regulatory win with the Monetary Authority of Singapore approving an expanded scope for its Major Payment Institution license, enhancing its digital payment services [5][6] Economic Indicators - FRED data indicates that US core inflation is slowing through Q3, while labor indicators show mixed signals, with initial unemployment claims at a seven-month low despite tech sector layoffs [3][4] - The correlation between rate cuts and market performance has weakened, although historically, markets tend to outperform in the months following rate cuts [3] Market Dynamics - The crypto market has seen a decline of approximately 20% over the past 30 days, with long-term BTC holders distributing their holdings [4] - Ripple's new licensing allows for a unified integration for corporate clients, enabling them to manage payments using XRP and RLUSD without additional banking infrastructure [6]

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Economic Activity - Overall economic activity remained largely stable, with some districts reporting slight softening [1] - Consumer spending continued to decline despite resilient high-end retail [1] Employment & Wages - Employment edged down [1] - Some contacts noted reduced hiring needs in certain roles due to AI [1] - Wages rose modestly [1] Prices & Costs - Prices increased slightly [1] - Manufacturers and retailers broadly faced tariff-related cost pressures [1]

Economic Outlook - The report suggests a potential slowdown in third-quarter growth due to a miss on the retail side, leading to lower consumer spending expectations for the fourth quarter [2] - The market anticipates the Fed to cut rates due to concerns about economic weakness, outweighing inflation concerns [3] - Consumer confidence data indicates increasing concern about the job market, with more people reporting difficulty finding jobs [5][6] - A survey indicates that 57% of respondents anticipate a weaker economy in 2026, potentially impacting holiday spending [7] - Consumers are expected to reduce spending and prioritize needs over wants during the holiday season, potentially leading to a softer season compared to the previous year [8][9] Federal Reserve (The Fed) - The market speculates that the White House may be considering Kevin Hasset as a potential Fed chair, which could influence interest rate policy [10][11][12][13][14] - The president may prefer a Fed chair who is more inclined to lower interest rates [14] - The bond market's reaction to the potential Fed chair appointment is muted, while the dollar's reaction suggests anticipation of a more dovish Fed [14][15]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging decision at its upcoming policy meeting regarding whether to cut borrowing costs to support the job market or maintain rates to combat inflation, with the possibility of delaying the meeting altogether due to delayed economic data [1][3][6] Economic Implications - A delay in the December policy meeting could allow the Fed to make a more informed decision based on crucial employment data scheduled for release after the current meeting date [2][6] - The Fed's policy committee is reportedly divided on whether to prioritize inflation control or support the job market, with financial markets indicating an 83% probability of a rate cut in December [8] Data Availability and Decision-Making - The government shutdown has created a data blackout, complicating the Fed's ability to calibrate monetary policy effectively, leading to speculation about postponing the meeting to gather more information [3][4][8] - Without key economic data for October and November, the upcoming meeting may rely more on sentiment rather than concrete evidence, raising concerns about the decision-making process [9]

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My next guest says markets shouldn't overreact to those doubbish comments though. Joining me now is Alon's chief economic adviser, Muhammad Elaran. And Muhammad, it's great to have you on here.I mean, I guess he tried to tilt the consensus of a conflicted committee in a uh dovish direction. We have incomplete economic data and clearly different ways of looking at things. So, uh how does it net out to you.>> It nets out as uncertain. it nets out as whatever the outcome is, it's going to be controversial. It' ...

Monetary policy is very focused on balancing the downside risks to our maximum employment goal and the upside risk to price stability. My assessment is that downside risks to employment have increased as the labour market has cooled, while the upside risks to inflation are less than somewhat. Underlying inflation continues to trend downward.Absent any evidence of second round effects emanating from tariffs. But for these reasons, I fully supported the FOMC decisions to reduce the target range for the federa ...

Group 1 - The articles do not provide any relevant information regarding companies or industries [1][2][3][4]

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