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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in ADP Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 14:36
Group 1 - The stock of Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Jan. 16, 2025 $125 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a substantial price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - Currently, ADP holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Internet – Software industry, which is in the top 28% of the Zacks Industry Rank, but analysts have lowered earnings estimates for the current quarter from $2.61 to $2.51 per share [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility surrounding ADP may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility to capture decay [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Cabot Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 14:15
Core Insights - Investors in Cabot Corporation (CBT) should monitor the stock closely due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the Dec 19, 2025 $95.00 Put, which has high implied volatility [1] Company Overview - Cabot Corporation currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) in the Chemical - Diversified Industry, placing it in the bottom 9% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, there have been no upward or downward revisions in analyst estimates for the current quarter, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.97 per share to $1.66 per share [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility in Cabot's options suggests that traders are anticipating a significant price movement, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek high implied volatility options to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of options value if the stock does not move as much as expected [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in RB Global Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 16:21
Core Viewpoint - Investors in RB Global, Inc. (RBA) should closely monitor the stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Dec 19, 2025 $92.50 Call option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, with high levels suggesting anticipation of a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - The current high implied volatility for RB Global options may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - RB Global currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) within the Financial Transaction Services industry, which is in the bottom 38% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while one analyst has lowered the estimate, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.04 to $0.97 per share [3]
Options Corner: ORCL Bullish Trade After Breakdown
Youtube· 2025-11-26 14:17
Core Viewpoint - Oracle has experienced a significant decline, down over 40% from its all-time highs in September, but is still up approximately 3.5% year-to-date, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1][9]. Market Performance - The tech sector has risen about 19.5%, with Oracle lagging behind its competitors such as Salesforce, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, which have shown a more favorable trajectory [2]. - Oracle's recent performance stands out negatively among its peers, highlighting its struggles in the current market [2]. Technical Analysis - A falling wedge pattern is observed in Oracle's chart, with two downward-trending lines converging, suggesting potential support at current levels [3]. - The stock has bounced from a notable support area, with previous highs around 241 serving as a critical resistance point [4]. - Moving averages indicate a bearish trend, with the 5-day EMA drifting below longer-term indicators, and the RSI is in an oversold condition at 25, below the 30 threshold [5]. Trading Volume and Activity - The point of control for trading activity is near 233, where the stock faced rejection, but it is stabilizing at this level, indicating a potential for recovery [6]. - A significant volume node is identified around the 215 level, which may act as further resistance [7]. Options Strategy - Upcoming options indicate an expected move of under 15% by December 19 and about 18.9% by January 16, aligning closely with the resistance level of 241 [7]. - A bullish call vertical strategy is suggested, involving buying a 200 strike call and selling a 240 strike call, which could provide a risk-managed approach to capitalize on potential upside [11][12]. - The break-even point for this strategy is set at 214, slightly above the current share price, indicating a need for upward movement to realize gains [13].
Volatility Dispersion Forces Override Liquidity Headwinds
Mott Capital Management· 2025-11-26 00:04
Market Overview - On November 25th, stocks unexpectedly rose despite unfavorable conditions such as a Treasury settlement day, increased overnight funding rates, and a drop in Bitcoin [1][4] - The S&P 500 initially fell by nearly 80 basis points at the open but reversed to finish higher, indicating a mechanical force in the market that overcame tight liquidity conditions [1][4] Volatility Insights - Implied volatility was sold ahead of the holiday trading session, which is a common occurrence due to time decay and reduced trading days [2] - The CBOE VIX decomposition tool indicated that the drop in VIX from November 24 to 25 was primarily driven by mechanical factors rather than fundamentals, with Sticky Strike and Parallel Shift being the largest contributors [6][8] Stock Performance - Meta's stock gained nearly 4% on the day, contributing positively to the index, despite a widening of its credit default swaps (CDS) [11] - NVIDIA's stock fell more than 2% during the session, trading as low as 6% at one point, but this did not prevent the overall market from rising [4] Liquidity and Rates - The overnight repo rate rose to 4.04% from 3.97%, suggesting that the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is likely to increase above 4% in the following days [24] - Significant liquidity pressures are anticipated on the following Friday and Monday, with nearly $130 billion in Treasuries due to settle [24] Company-Specific Developments - SoftBank's stock fell by 10%, erasing all gains made since early September, indicating the end of a previous gamma squeeze [26]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Hawkins Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 15:05
Group 1 - Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Dec 19, 2025 $70.00 Call showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Hawkins currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) in the Chemical - Specialty industry, which is in the bottom 28% of the Zacks Industry Rank, indicating a negative outlook [3] Group 2 - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Hawkins, while three have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 87 cents to 72 cents per share for the current quarter [3] - The high implied volatility may present a trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with elevated implied volatility, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as expected at expiration [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Riverview Bancorp Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Riverview Bancorp, Inc. (RVSB) is experiencing significant implied volatility in its options market, particularly with the Dec 19, 2025 $01.00 Call, indicating potential for a major price movement in the near future [1]. Company Analysis - Riverview Bancorp is currently rated as Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) within the Financial - Savings and Loan Industry, which is positioned in the top 40% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3]. - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while one analyst has lowered their estimate, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from six cents per share to four cents per share [3]. Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Riverview Bancorp, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to either a rally or a sell-off [2][4]. - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4].
Optimistic on LULU? This Bull Put Spread May Fit Perfectly
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 12:00
Group 1 - Lululemon (LULU) has experienced significant selling pressure recently but is beginning to stabilize around the $160 mark [1] - The company currently has its lowest price-to-earnings (PE) ratio in several years at 11.20 [3] Group 2 - A bull put spread trade is being considered for LULU, focusing on a longer-term strategy rather than a regular monthly expiration [4] - The maximum profit for this bull put spread is limited to the premium received, while the maximum potential loss is also capped [5] - Implied volatility for LULU is at 65.15%, with an IV Percentile of 89% and an IV Rank of 80.21% [5] Group 3 - A specific bull put spread could involve selling the March 20 put with a strike price of $130 and buying the $125 put, trading for around $0.90 [6] - This trade would yield a maximum risk of $410, representing a 21.95% return on risk if LULU remains above $130 [6] - The breakeven point for this spread is calculated at $129.10, which is approximately 23.90% below the recent closing price [7] Group 4 - Risk management strategies for the bull put spread include setting a stop loss based on the premium received or adjusting the trade if LULU breaks below the key support level of $160 [8]
Biotech Stock Could Turn 4-Year Peak Into Records
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-24 20:29
Core Insights - BridgeBio Pharma Inc (NASDAQ:BBIO) stock has increased by 3.3% to $70.36, reaching a four-year high of $70.60, with a year-over-year gain of 154.9% [1] - The stock's recent performance is supported by low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 44%, ranking in the 13th percentile of its annual range, indicating potential for further gains [2] - A high put/call volume ratio of 1.03 and a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.52 suggest a prevailing pessimism in options trading, which could lead to continued upward momentum for the stock [4] - An increase in short interest by 12.8% indicates that 11.8% of BBIO's float is shorted, with a potential for a short squeeze as it would take over eight days for short sellers to cover their positions [5]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in IBKR Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 15:11
Group 1 - The stock of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Jan. 16, 2025 $11.25 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant price change or an upcoming event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Interactive Brokers Group holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) in the Financial - Investment Bank industry, which is in the top 9% of the Zacks Industry Rank, indicating a positive outlook [3] Group 2 - Over the past 60 days, two analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Interactive Brokers Group for the current quarter, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 46 cents per share to 49 cents [3] - The high implied volatility may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from time decay [4]