Earnings Surprise
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GXO Logistics (GXO) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 15:07
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for GXO Logistics despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - GXO Logistics is expected to report earnings of $0.26 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 42.2%, while revenues are projected to be $2.91 billion, an increase of 18.6% from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for May 7, 2025, and could lead to stock price increases if results exceed expectations, or declines if they fall short [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.82% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +1.18% suggests analysts have recently become more optimistic about GXO Logistics' earnings prospects [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - GXO Logistics currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, GXO Logistics exceeded the expected earnings of $0.94 per share by reporting $1, resulting in a surprise of +6.38% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - While GXO Logistics is positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].
Murphy Oil (MUR) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 15:07
The market expects Murphy Oil (MUR) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on M ...
Earnings Preview: Ormat Technologies (ORA) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 15:07
Core Viewpoint - Ormat Technologies (ORA) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending March 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing the stock price in the near term [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Ormat Technologies is an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.59, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.2%, while revenues are projected to be $234.55 million, representing a 4.6% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 7.41% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Ormat Technologies is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -20.34%, which indicates a bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a consensus EPS beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ormat Technologies was expected to post earnings of $0.47 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $0.72, resulting in a surprise of +53.19% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - While Ormat Technologies does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, it is essential for investors to consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [16].
Coterra Energy to Report Q1 Earnings: Key Metrics to Watch
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 14:50
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is set to release first-quarter 2025 results on May 5. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is a profit of 76 cents per share on revenues of $1.9 billion.Let’s delve into the factors that might have influenced the oil and gas exploration and production firm’s performance in the March quarter. But it’s worth taking a look at CTRA’s previous-quarter performance first.Highlights of CTRA's Q4 Earnings & Surprise HistoryIn the last reported quarter, the Houston, ...
Vulcan (VMC) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 14:35
Core Insights - Vulcan Materials (VMC) reported revenue of $1.63 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.8% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was $1.00, up from $0.80 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +26.58% against the consensus estimate of $0.79 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Revenue was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.68 billion by -2.56% [1] - Average unit sales price per ton for Aggregates was $22.03, slightly above the estimated $21.93 [4] - Unit shipments for Aggregates were reported at 47,800 KTon, lower than the average estimate of 48,615.59 KTon [4] - Net sales for Aggregates reached $1.34 billion, compared to the average estimate of $1.37 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of +3.5% [4] - Net sales for Asphalt were $208.70 million, exceeding the average estimate of $197.61 million, with a year-over-year change of +12.1% [4] - Net sales for Concrete were $177 million, below the average estimate of $186.98 million, but reflecting a year-over-year increase of +19.4% [4] Stock Performance - Vulcan's shares returned +3.4% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a -0.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3]
Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 13:15
Core Viewpoint - Vita Coco Company, Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.31 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.22 per share, and showing an increase from $0.24 per share a year ago, representing a 40.91% earnings surprise [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $130.92 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.85% and increasing from $111.7 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Vita Coco shares have declined approximately 14.5% since the beginning of the year, compared to a 5.5% decline in the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.39 on revenues of $161.53 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.13 on revenues of $570.33 million [7] Industry Context - The Beverages - Soft drinks industry, to which Vita Coco belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8]
XPO (XPO) Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 12:55
Core Insights - XPO reported quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.65 per share, but down from $0.81 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of 12.31% [1] - The company generated revenues of $1.95 billion for the quarter, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.76% and down from $2.02 billion year-over-year [2] - XPO has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters, while it has topped revenue estimates three times during the same period [2] Earnings Outlook - The sustainability of XPO's stock price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1 on revenues of $2.05 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.81 on revenues of $8.13 billion [7] Industry Context - The Transportation - Truck industry, to which XPO belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 1% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may negatively impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that the outlook for the industry can significantly affect stock performance [5][8] Stock Performance - XPO shares have declined approximately 25.7% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of 5.5% [3] - The estimate revisions trend for XPO is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6]
Ensign Group (ENSG) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 01:30
Core Insights - Ensign Group (ENSG) reported revenue of $1.17 billion for Q1 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 16.1% and a slight surprise of +0.23% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same quarter was $1.52, compared to $1.30 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +1.33% against the consensus estimate of $1.50 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Actual patient days were reported at 2,538,135, slightly below the average estimate of 2,554,506 from two analysts [4] - Rental revenue was $6 million, compared to the average estimate of $6.60 million from two analysts [4] - Skilled services revenue was reported at $1.12 billion, matching the average estimate from two analysts [4] - Total service revenue was $1.17 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.16 billion from two analysts [4] Stock Performance - Ensign Group's shares have returned -1.8% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a -0.8% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting potential outperformance against the broader market in the near term [3]
Compared to Estimates, Orion Marine (ORN) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 00:30
Core Insights - Orion Marine Group reported revenue of $188.65 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.4% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.70% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $0.01, a significant improvement from -$0.12 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of 109.09% compared to the consensus estimate of -$0.11 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Concrete Segment contract revenues were $61.49 million, exceeding the average estimate of $56.30 million by analysts, marking a year-over-year increase of 13.1% [4] - Marine Segment contract revenues reached $127.16 million, surpassing the average estimate of $109.42 million, with a year-over-year growth of 19.6% [4] Operating Income Analysis - The Concrete Segment reported an operating loss of $3.95 million, which was worse than the average estimate of a loss of $0.58 million from analysts [4] - In contrast, the Marine Segment achieved an operating income of $4.78 million, significantly better than the average estimate of a loss of $3.54 million [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Orion Marine have returned +16.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a decline of -0.8% [3] - Despite the recent performance, the stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]
Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 22:25
Core Insights - Arch Capital Group (ACGL) reported quarterly earnings of $1.54 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.37 per share, but down from $2.45 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 12.41% [1] - The company posted revenues of $4.56 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.99%, compared to $3.76 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Arch Capital has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters and has topped consensus revenue estimates three times during the same period [2] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.36 on revenues of $4.66 billion, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $7.85 on revenues of $18.96 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Arch Capital is mixed, leading to a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Insurance - Property and Casualty industry, to which Arch Capital belongs, is currently ranked in the top 15% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]